Akash and Gonu thread

[KWT]

Wow Peter, thats impressive, quite a large inflow there as well, windstorm's image is even more impressive, I know estimates say 920mbs but I wouldn't be al lthat suprised to see it sub 910mbs given the Sat estimates that we have been seeing today!
textbook cat-5 IMO.

[Meso]

Another image

[Stratosphere747]

[curtadams]

Another image

Them colored vis shots are sure purty! You can see the dry air on the left side of the storm - lots of high outflow but very little convection.

[Coredesat]

Any accusations I've ever made about the IMD underforecasting are now a thing of the past. 130 knots 10-min is huge.

[curtadams]

The oil facility is in Muscat and not predicted to see worse than tropical storm conditions. That might be a problem if the Omanis didn't build the thing to withstand storms but typical TS conditions don't damage industrial structures much. Floods could potentially be a problem. However Omani natural gas export goes through a terminal on Sur which is forecast to see Cat 1 conditions with onshore winds, for a significant surge hazard, although the shape of the coast will protect it from deep-ocean boomer waves. Note how close the LNG tanks are to the ocean. That won't affect us too much, since the natural gas goes to Asia mostly, but it could be quite bad for India, which is already facing NG shortages.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Any modeling on this beast?

[Coredesat]

I was afraid to post it because it could lead to political-type posts, but here:



Most of the models send it into Iran. The GFS is unrepresentative because it dissipates the system in 12 hours or moves it against steering currents.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I was afraid to post it because it could lead to political-type posts, but here:



Most of the models send it into Iran. The GFS is unrepresentative because it dissipates the system in 12 hours or moves it against steering currents.

Iran! Now were talking..

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If it go's more northward it could stay farther from Oman, in as its making its run at Iran? Cat2??? We will see.

[Scorpion]

What's the conversion from 10 min to 1 min winds?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This is an extremely violent storm
Category 5 Monster

[windstorm99]

CIMSS mimic 48hour loop

[Weatherfreak000]

The eye closed up, i'm expecting weakening to a Cat 4 coming soon.


Don't see re-strengthening in it's future either, so don't blink Cat 5 status is gonna end fast.

[HurricaneRobert]

Is it an eyewall replacement cycle? I was following Gonu with NRL satellite images, but that site has been down. Maybe Gonu blew it apart.

[terstorm1012]

Is it an eyewall replacement cycle? I was following Gonu with NRL satellite images, but that site has been down. Maybe Gonu blew it apart.

The site's likely down because every oil trader and speculator in the world is looking at it and they've overloaded the servers.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I think it's likely dry air will start to get sucked into Gonu and it should start to weaken.

[HURAKAN]

Still looking good but not as good as before.

[Cyclenall]

Is it an eyewall replacement cycle? I was following Gonu with NRL satellite images, but that site has been down. Maybe Gonu blew it apart.

I don't think the NRL servers are on a ship if that is even possible. Gonu blowing apart a tropical cyclone website would be class. Why the NRL down anyways?

I think Gonu has been increadible TC to track and could make tropical cyclone history in the coming days.

[HURAKAN]

HOLD ON TIGHT, THE ROLLER COASTER IS GOING DOWN!!!

[Cyclenall]

HOLD ON TIGHT, THE ROLLER COASTER IS GOING DOWN!!!

The last time you said that, the "roller coaster" went up! . The cyclone does look symmetrical then before but the eye has filled up because of a ERC?