bvigal wrote:I agree about TUTT. The last couple days our thunderstorms carried gusts over 35kt (one local buoy recorded 48kt), courtesy reflected surface trough from TUTT. This is unusual here, not like on the mainland, where any old summer thunderstorm could gust to 45kt and nobody think anything of it. Today we have the trough sandwiched between two waves, with the next one, the subject of this thread, barreling west at 20kt. I'm wondering if our boring period has ended, we just don't know it yet.Blown Away wrote:Circulation is very broad at best, but we are seeing a reduction in the dry air and convection is on the increase. I expect the convection to continue increasing as this wave approaches the TUTT.
WV Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html
wxman57 wrote:Have to keep an eye on the SW Caribbean with all the scattered storms there, but there is currently no model support for development. Canadian develops something, but always toward the end of the run. Earlier this past week, development was forecast to be today by the Canadian, now it's next Thursday.
Yes, wxman makes a good point, and makes me realize my comment might be misunderstood. I think TUTT is causing the enhanced tstorms we're having in PR/VI, not cyclonic development, and the wave may interact with it, too. Makes for lots of interesting satellite pictures to keep everyone watching and interested.
