SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#261 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 09, 2007 6:32 am

36 knots .8=28.8 knots at surface. 30 knot depression?

Edit
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Wed May 09, 2007 6:36 am, edited 6 times in total.
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#262 Postby drezee » Wed May 09, 2007 6:33 am

outflow has become esthablished...especially in the NE and SE quads!
Last edited by drezee on Wed May 09, 2007 6:35 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#263 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 6:33 am

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#264 Postby StormTracker » Wed May 09, 2007 6:35 am

:eek: Looks like a lot of popping going on in the SE/SW quads!!!
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#265 Postby vbhoutex » Wed May 09, 2007 6:37 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:36 knots .8=28.8 knots at surface. 30 knot depression?

Edit
NO!!! It is cold core!!!!It is not a depression!!!
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#266 Postby Windtalker1 » Wed May 09, 2007 6:39 am

vbhoutex wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:36 knots .8=28.8 knots at surface. 30 knot depression?

Edit
NO!!! It is cold core!!!!It is not a depression!!!
Guess you have to come to reality......Hurricane Season is Here......WOOOOOHOOOOO :coaster:
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#267 Postby punkyg » Wed May 09, 2007 6:42 am

Yay! :woo:
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#268 Postby bvigal » Wed May 09, 2007 6:45 am

vbhoutex wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:36 knots .8=28.8 knots at surface. 30 knot depression?

Edit
NO!!! It is cold core!!!!It is not a depression!!!

He's right, everyone just calm down. This system had hurricane-force winds 2 days ago, so the wind speed has nothing to do with if it's a cyclone or not.
Image
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#269 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 09, 2007 6:48 am

bvigal wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:36 knots .8=28.8 knots at surface. 30 knot depression?

Edit
NO!!! It is cold core!!!!It is not a depression!!!

He's right, everyone just calm down. This system had hurricane-force winds 2 days ago, so the wind speed has nothing to do with if it's a cyclone or not.
Image


I should of said depression winds, but its all a wait in see right now. As for a few days ago, that was a purely cold core like cyclone. Something like this has not formed in may in many years. So yes its interesting.
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#270 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 6:51 am

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#271 Postby bvigal » Wed May 09, 2007 6:53 am

Well if you'd asked me yesterday if this thing would still look this well-organized this morning, I'd have said 'no way'. It certainly has something going for it!
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#272 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 09, 2007 6:56 am

Looks so much better than last night, I hope recon will report that the first STC of the season has formed.
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#273 Postby bvigal » Wed May 09, 2007 7:02 am

UKMet 6z model:
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#274 Postby punkyg » Wed May 09, 2007 7:09 am

Will this be the earliest storm in may. if it develope.
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#275 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 7:09 am

Image

Continues to generate convection.
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#276 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed May 09, 2007 7:13 am

can someone please link me to the latest model map?
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#277 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 7:13 am

punkyg wrote:Will this be the earliest storm in may. if it develope.


Arlene, 1981: Formed on the 7th of May.

An storm in 1932 formed on the 5th of May.

If Andrea forms today, it will be the third earliest storm in May.
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#278 Postby tomboudreau » Wed May 09, 2007 7:14 am

HURAKAN wrote:
punkyg wrote:Will this be the earliest storm in may. if it develope.


Arlene, 1981: Formed on the 7th of May.

An storm in 1932 formed on the 5th of May.

If Andrea forms today, it will be the third earliest storm in May.


Don't forget that Ana formed in April of 2003 as a STS and then converted fully over to a full blown TS.
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#279 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 7:14 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:can someone please link me to the latest model map?


Image
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#280 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 7:15 am

tomboudreau wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:
punkyg wrote:Will this be the earliest storm in may. if it develope.


Arlene, 1981: Formed on the 7th of May.

An storm in 1932 formed on the 5th of May.

If Andrea forms today, it will be the third earliest storm in May.


Don't forget that Ana formed in April of 2003 as a STS and then converted fully over to a full blown TS.


We're talking about storms in May!!!! Not April.
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