Western Caribbean Thread

[boca]

Hey Tampa Bay lets do the rain dance so this low will move north instead of west into the Yucatan like the NHC are forecasting.

[boca]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

That darn low is moving west. Move north young man move north I say.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Land interaction and dry air
may prevent development.

[Sanibel]

Too weak. Dry air to north.

[boca]

According to the NWS in Miami the High pressure will move east and weaken as it moves into the Atlantic which will produce S to SE winds which will transport the Caribbean moisture if its still there at that point.

[gatorcane]

Is it me or nothing wants to move north this year. Everything just moves west and plows through Central America. Here we are in October and this thing is moving west? Most systems would move North this time of year.

Its a very strange season that is for sure.

[Coredesat]

If there is nothing to steer something north, it will not go north. Simple as that. Steering currents have strongly favored western movement due to the way the ridge was set up.

[Thunder44]

892
ABNT20 KNHC 140905
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT BEFORE
THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN A DAY OR SO. HEAVY
RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[wxman57]

Tropical development is looking less likely across the NW Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico over the coming week. Energy from the wave south of Jamaica will merge with remnants of 94L in the NW Caribbean Sea tomorrow and begin moving northward into the southern Gulf. High pressure off the east U.S. Coast should steer the area of thunderstorms northward into the Gulf Coast between Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle by Thursday. But upper-level winds across the Gulf are not very favorable for development, particularly north of 25N. Could just bring some rain to the northern Gulf Coast late in the week.

Tropical development chances over the next week look pretty low.

[Sanibel]

The trough helps form the convection but then also helps form the dry air divide and shear. If this were to relax we might see more depth to those weak Lows.

[Blown Away]

Is this 99L now?

[cycloneye]

Yes,is 99L.Go to active storms forum for more details and discussions.