Disturbed area in East Atlantic (No Development)

[MiamiensisWx]

The latest pic at 6:30 PM EDT:

How do you acquire these images? The link requests a registration...

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/latest_image_640_meteosat.asp?

[cheezyWXguy]

looks pretty decent enough, how come this is not yet an invest?

Mecklenburg, don't worry about what's out there at the moment in about a week or so, perhaps 2, you'll have to much more to track...I enjoy it when it's not too busy, because when it gets really busy I can't pull myself away from these board, and I get absolutely nothing done(it's like an obsession)...so think of it as a blessing that's it's slow NOW....

I think our quiet period is about to end...theres likely going to be 1, possibly 2 storms out there within the next week.

[cycloneye]

That wave at 30w really is trying to organize tonight.

[GeneratorPower]

TWO in 20 minutes should mention this wave. I vote ORANGE.

[cycloneye]

801
ABNT20 KNHC 092345
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

[ConvergenceZone]

SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

Woot! there it is.........

[canetracker]

It got a yellow.

[ConvergenceZone]

I agree with the yellow since it's a 48 hour time frame. I'm thinking development within 72 hours is much more likely. Although the conditions are better than before, they are still far from ideal, so I agree with "slow" aspect.

[cycloneye]

To avoid any confusion about the waves,the title was edited to correspond to what the Tropical Weather Outlook said at their 8 PM release about the 30w disturbed weather area.

[Blown Away]

To avoid any confusion about the waves,the title was edited to correspond to what the Tropical Weather Outlook said at their 8 PM release about the 30w disturbed weather area.

Yes the longitude helps, it does get real confusing. Is this the wave the models have been sending W into the Islands, Bahamas, SFL, etc.

[Praxus]

Well, here we go. Its always an adventure when the models have somewhat of a consensus.

[Blown Away]

Here is the complete 18z GFS loop.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

In this loop is the low that moves up the EC the same one that went through SFL into the Panhandle a few runs ago?

[jhamps10]

Here is the complete 18z GFS loop.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

In this loop is the low that moves up the EC the same one that went through SFL into the Panhandle a few runs ago?

yeah, actually that was as recent as the 12z run.

[vacanechaser]

Here is the complete 18z GFS loop.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

In this loop is the low that moves up the EC the same one that went through SFL into the Panhandle a few runs ago?

yep.. but lets not forget that it did in the 6z run too.... however, the 6z and the 18z runs are extrapolated from the 0z and the 12z runs respectively....only the 0z and the 12z run have full data input.. 6z and 18z are run off the other 2 runs...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Scorpion]

Yes, and the 0z and 12z had it hitting the CONUS while 6z and 18z recurved it.

[Weatherfreak14]

This is looking really healthy right now, I think we will see an invest by morning....

[jhamps10]

starting to get some red convection spots in this thing... time sensitive image update every 30 minutes now:

[KWT]

This really should IMO be our next invest given the way its flaring up over the last 6-12hrs or so.

[caribepr]

Well, I'm leaving on Thursday for the states for a month; everything is just about ready to fly away from - prepared for the worst (including it all blowing away? probably not) and hoping for the best...

[Scorpion]

Possible 2 invests tomorrow?