TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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jkt21787
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#281 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:12 pm

Happy Birthday Wxman! Enjoy your cake! :D
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FlSteel
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#282 Postby FlSteel » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:12 pm

Happy B-Day there WxMan. :lol:
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Rainband

#283 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:12 pm

Happy Birthday Chris 8-)
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gkrangers

#284 Postby gkrangers » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:12 pm

wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour! ;-)
44 years of hurricane following...since you were 4? I'm raising the BS flag on 48. :lol:
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mahicks
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#285 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:13 pm

Rebelstorm wrote:Haapy B'day from a former Texan.


Ditto on both of those!
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CYCLONE MIKE
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#286 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:13 pm

wxman57, you mentioned a faster and further westward track for now that could cause a more westard landfall position #2. What is your thinking on this? A stronger than forecast ridge that will not weaken as quickly? Or the fact that she is moving westward quicker and therefore the track will shift to the left a little becasue of it? If you have a good idea how long do you think this west to wnw direction will go before the turn to the nw/north? Thanks.
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#287 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:13 pm

Congrats 57 and have many more. :new-bday:
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#288 Postby Amanzi » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:15 pm

HAPPY B'Day!!!!!! PS.. fedex me some cake... PLEASE :lol:
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mahicks
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#289 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:16 pm

gkrangers wrote:
wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour! ;-)
44 years of hurricane following...since you were 4? I'm raising the BS flag on 48. :lol:


My sons been tracking w/ me since he was 4...
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#290 Postby Recurve » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:17 pm

Another.... Happy Birthday to youuuuuu, Happy birthday to youuuuuuu!
Enjoy....but get back soon! We appreciate every insight.

-- Dave
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gkrangers

#291 Postby gkrangers » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:17 pm

mahicks wrote:
gkrangers wrote:
wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour! ;-)
44 years of hurricane following...since you were 4? I'm raising the BS flag on 48. :lol:


My sons been tracking w/ me since he was 4...
Ok, I was just making a joke at his expense.
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Frank P
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#292 Postby Frank P » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:18 pm

wxmn57 is one of the best around... I certainly appreciate his comments, insight, experience and knowledge.... plus all his great graphics.... a quientessential professional....

mods need to take that poster out to the woodshed....
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mahicks
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#293 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:18 pm

gkrangers wrote:
mahicks wrote:
gkrangers wrote:
wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour! ;-)
44 years of hurricane following...since you were 4? I'm raising the BS flag on 48. :lol:


My sons been tracking w/ me since he was 4...
Ok, I was just making a joke at his expense.


Dude...I figured you were just kiddin around as usual
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Rainband

#294 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:23 pm

Frank P wrote:wxmn57 is one of the best around... I certainly appreciate his comments, insight, experience and knowledge.... plus all his great graphics.... a quientessential professional....

mods need to take that poster out to the woodshed....
It's been done :wink:
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Eyes2theSkies
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#295 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:24 pm

when are the new model runs due out..and does anyone have a link to the spaghetti runs
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Ivanhater
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#296 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:25 pm

ya, wernt the models supposed to come out at 8?
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Javlin
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#297 Postby Javlin » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:27 pm

That Frank P guy must have some serious weight.hehe
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shaggy
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#298 Postby shaggy » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:30 pm

GFS came out with a much further east solution but nobody is giving it any credit so i guess its still a Florida into the gulf forecast for now even though i think the models that were showing the sharper right hook are more inline with the right idea and that it may turn sharp enough to hit the upper west side of the Pennisula near the big bend area.

IMO anyways

8pm discussion from Morehead city NC has a few concerns:

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE WEEKEND...IMPACT OF TS KATRINA STILL UNCERTAIN
BUT IT LOOKS LIKE AT THE VERY LEAST ONSHORE FLOW/COASTAL TROUGHINESS
WILL LEAD TO A WETTER SCENARIO THAN WHAT WE ARE CURRENTLY
PORTRAYING. I WILL RECOMMEND TO THE THE NEXT SHIFT TO RAISE POPS SAT
AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY/MONDAY IF CURRENT TRENDS IN THE MODELS
CONTINUE.

atleast will have to deal with the troughiness or the remnants we could use the rain though
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SapphireSea
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#299 Postby SapphireSea » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:35 pm

And GFDL still going gung ho with the storm, and a sharp SW turn. Im starting to think that it's consistency is incredible on a *relatively* unlikely scenario. I believe that a WNW (275) W/WSW (265-270) track is now very likely to continue.
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Javlin
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#300 Postby Javlin » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:38 pm

That could be Ncdowneast providing the storm crosses in the alotted time frame but if it goes faster that messes with the models.Clark over at FLHurricane also made mention of this faster movement scenario yesterday and a play further W.For the time being the right bending models are not coming to fruitation.
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