GOM System (Ex 95L)

[SouthFloridawx]

not here
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
The Main Site

[beachbum_al]

I was going to say not another wannebe but then I saw 95L ex

[Portastorm]

Well, synoptically speaking ... several NWS discussions from this morning I saw referred to this area as an inverted trough.

While I know upper lows mean bad things for TC development, I wonder if inverted troughs also preclude development or not?

Convection is certainly flaring up this morning along the 28th latitude line it seems.

[teal61]

Well, synoptically speaking ... several NWS discussions from this morning I saw referred to this area as an inverted trough.

While I know upper lows mean bad things for TC development, I wonder if inverted troughs also preclude development or not?

Convection is certainly flaring up this morning along the 28th latitude line it seems.

An inverted trough is another way of saying tropical wave... I believe.

Looking at the water vapor loop, it seems that the upper low is now west of the lower level feature and continuing to move off to the west at a faster pace. I would assume that eventually it would be in a position to ventilate the surface system if it were to continue to develop. I'm sure JB will have some insight on this later today.

[Stratosphere747]

The ULL is not as well defined either. As teal mentioned it is moving off to the west. Also looks to be moving faster than forcasted.

[Thunder44]

not here
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
The Main Site

I think NRL is having problems with taking it off the main site. There doesn't seem to be anything organized to invest in anymore.

[jenmrk]

Is this EX -95L or something else?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

[Stratosphere747]

Whatever is left of 95L is being depicted as right in the middle of this latest burst of convection.

When you run that loop, check the box with "Fronts" and it shows you....

[jenmrk]

Thank you...still trying to learn. I am just a bench warmer at this point. I get a little worried when I see anything in the GOM.
Thanks

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Convection has certainly flared up in association with Ex-95L...or
I'll just call it the GOM Disturbance.
The ULL is moving away quickly, so shear is lessening.
I think development is possible.
By the way, the water temperature at Egmont Key, Florida
was 91 degrees F yesterday...one of the hottest readings
I have ever seen for that location!

[jenmrk]

Well at least I am not seeing things. I sure don't wish for anything though.

[Thunder44]

It's off the main site now:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[southerngale]

Whatever is left of 95L is being depicted as right in the middle of this latest burst of convection.

When you run that loop, check the box with "Fronts" and it shows you....

Thanks for the info, because I get sick of waiting on JAVA loops to load. New computer, not so new computer, IE, or Firefox...makes no difference...it still takes FOREVER, assuming they ever load.

[beachbum_al]

I agree with southerngale. My computer is fairly new and I am running DSL along with firefox and JAVA takes so long to load. And if it doesn't load right it crashes my browser which really gets me going with the steam coming out of my ears.

[duris]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
401 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY
HIGH PRESSURE. SEVERAL IMPULSES ARE BEING DRIVEN AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE MAIN ONE OF INTEREST IS THE
UPPER LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
MOVING WESTWARD/SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF. THE NAM IS
VERY VIGOROUS WITH THIS SYSTEM, SHOWING AN OMINOUS CLOSED LOW
MOVING TOWARDS THE TEXAS COAST. HAVE NOT CHOSEN TO BITE OFF ON
THIS SOLUTION, GOING INSTEAD WITH THE GFS WHICH SHOWS A POCKET OF
MOISTURE AND ENERGY TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL GULF. NONETHELESS, OUR
AREA IS IN SOUTHEAST FLOW, WITH MOISTURE ON THE INCREASE. ON A
SIDE NOTE, SOUTHEAST FLOW IS A MORE STABLE FLOW REGIME FOR OUR
AREA. WE HAVE NOT SEEN AS MUCH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS WE HAD
YESTERDAY, AND THIS ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Here is that NAM at 36 hrs:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_036l.gif

Looks like a 1005-1008mb low making landfall on Matagorda bay.

[Stratosphere747]

Whatever is left of 95L is being depicted as right in the middle of this latest burst of convection.

When you run that loop, check the box with "Fronts" and it shows you....

Thanks for the info, because I get sick of waiting on JAVA loops to load. New computer, not so new computer, IE, or Firefox...makes no difference...it still takes FOREVER, assuming they ever load.

Not sure, but this might help...

Information about using the Sun Java Plug-in with AniS

September 10th, 2003
(Updated October, 2005)

If you are using the Sun Java Plug-in for your browser's Java Runtime, and have not already done so, please do the following steps to allow applets with 64MB of memory requirements to run properly:

1. Normally, you should first, shut down (exit) your browser(s). The exception to this is if you already are running a newer version of the Java Plug-in on Windows, and when you right-click the Java icon in the taskbar, you get the option "Open Control Panel". If you do, just click on it, and jump to Step #3.
2. Then run the "Java(TM) Plugin Control Panel"
* On a Mac: Use "Finder" to get to: Applications -> Utilities -> Java and then, run the Java Plugin 1.4.x Setup or whatever version you have.
* On a Windows machine, Start -> Settings -> Control Panel -> Java Plug-in
* On Linux, locate the shell script ControlPanel in the Java install's bin/ directory and run it.
3. Click on "Advanced" (or, on a Mac, the "General" tab), and in the space provided under "Java Runtime Parameters", please type the following (exactly as shown):

-Xmx256m

Then click "Apply" button (or "Apply Now" on a Mac).

These steps will allow your browser that uses the Plugin to run Java to use up to 256MB of memory. You can change the number 256 to a different value if needed -- this should be less than the total amount of memory your machine has. You may need to do this every time you update the Java Plugin, as well.

[southerngale]

Thanks, Scott. I was gonna try that, but it's not in my taskbar. So I looked in my Add/Remove programs and my Java is J2SE Runtime Environment 5.0 Update 6

[rockyman]

Not sure if I should resurrect this thread...but...

Convection is increasing in the central Gomex (south of the heavy shear in the NE Gomex)...and there is some low-level convergence...You can see this on the visible loops (low clouds are moving TOWARD the system instead of away)...and the CIMSS convergence map confirms this...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8conv.html

[Hyperstorm]

This system looks interesting and it reminds me of the beginnings of Charley 1998. Today's increase of convection, with lots of convergence going on, could strengthen the weak area of low pressure there. This could be a quick developer for the Texas coastline.

If it does develop, it will have less than 72 hours for strengthening, so hopefully, it'll be just a blessing for Texas. Upper-level winds are not very conducive for development, but not prohibitive of a tropical depression or storm.

This has caught my eye...