2015 EPAC Season

[cycloneye]

I now think it has picked on two different storms. At 120 hours.

[Yellow Evan]

Second system has the GFS ensemble support as of last check. Don't think its a glitch.

[cycloneye]

144 hours.

[cycloneye]

At 192 hours look at those pair of Hurricanes.

[cycloneye]

Wow,975 mbs close to Mexican coast.216 hours.

[cycloneye]

12z ECMWF run ends with a landfall of hurricane near Acapulco.

[Kingarabian]

Double trouble for Mexico to begin June if that run materializes. That Western system looks like it's going to track towards Baja/Mexico.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[td100]

[cycloneye]

30/80 at 5 PM PDT.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low
pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

[Yellow Evan]

18z GFS

[Yellow Evan]

12z ECMWF run ends with a landfall of hurricane near Acapulco.

Your links broke Luis.

But it appears that FYI, the 30/80 is the 991 and the 975 is not on the TWO.

[Yellow Evan]

Todd Kimberlain ‏@ToddKimberlain 15s15 seconds ago

ECMWF says two TCs in the epac within 5days. Disturbances there < 10 deg apart, so seems unlikely. #tropics #WXGeeks #hurricane #wea

[Yellow Evan]

0z GFs coming out, but 18z GFS has another near MX hurricane.

[cycloneye]

40/80 at 11 PM PDT:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low
pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by late this week while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

[cycloneye]

Up to 60%/90%

Showers and thunderstorms in association with a broad area of
low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
coast of Mexico have become better organized. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development of this system and a
tropical depression is likely to form in the next couple of days as
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

[cycloneye]

Invest 92E is up

[Yellow Evan]

0z GFs still has a landfall hurricane in mid-June.

[Yellow Evan]

The NOAA EPAC outlook comes out today, right?

[cycloneye]

The NOAA EPAC outlook comes out today, right?

Yes.

[TheStormExpert]

The NOAA EPAC outlook comes out today, right?

Yes.

Does the Atlantic Outlook come out today too, or tomorrow?

[Yellow Evan]

The NOAA EPAC outlook comes out today, right?

Yes.

Does the Atlantic Outlook come out today too, or tomorrow?

They usually come out the same day.