INVEST 99L near Leewards,comments,sat pics,etc #4

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storms in NC
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#301 Postby storms in NC » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

I would think so
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#302 Postby RattleMan » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

NRL has it as TD3!!!
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#303 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

Yeah that supports it...The convection is slowly pulling over the center.
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#304 Postby Windtalker1 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

cycloneye wrote:31/2345 UTC 15.9N 57.8W T2.0/2.0 99L -- Atlantic Ocean


TD now with those numbers?
Surprise :lol:
Last edited by Windtalker1 on Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#305 Postby caribepr » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

Thanks Stephanie 8-)

Hmm, just looked at the plots again...north and south of us (first south, then north, now straddled), which means they will move LOTS more before it gets weird...hey, days to go before I worry...much.
Air Flamenco, Wednesday! 11:30. FLY!
Last edited by caribepr on Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#306 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:42 pm

2.0!?! this must be a TD...if not, ill...ill...do something!
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#307 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 pm

WAHOOOO!!!
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#308 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:31/2345 UTC 15.9N 57.8W T2.0/2.0 99L -- Atlantic Ocean


TD now with those numbers?


:slime:
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#309 Postby Beam » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 pm

Well, the 5:30 mentioned that it only needed a slight boost in organization to be classified. Those T-numbers should be enough for it to be declared, in that case. (Wasn't it 1.0 yesterday?)
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#310 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:44 pm

RattleMan wrote:NRL has it as TD3!!!


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

:?:

Still says 99L there.
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#311 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:44 pm

Brent wrote:
RattleMan wrote:NRL has it as TD3!!!


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

:?:

Still says 99L there.


Brent check it again it's say 03L No Name
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#312 Postby rockyman » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:45 pm

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#313 Postby shaggy » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:45 pm

well if it gets a classification at 11 then i guess we need to start watching the models. a stronger system may head more north and a weaker one may stay south but lets all just wait and see IF it gets a classification and IF it maintains that just because it might become TD3 doesn't mean it will become chris!
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#314 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:45 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Brent wrote:
RattleMan wrote:NRL has it as TD3!!!


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

:?:

Still says 99L there.


Brent check it again it's say 03L No Name


Oh I see now... the Refresh button is wonderful. :P
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#315 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:45 pm

It's borderline depression/wave. However, as btangy mentioned, the air is bone dry (the skew-t sure puts an exclamation mark to that!), and the shear is blowing that right into the circulation. In fact, although it's near a TD right now - the only thing keeping 99L alive right now is the UL divergence! Still, I would not be surprised to see a depression later tonight or tomorrow. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised to see it degenerate back into a wave either.
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#316 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:47 pm

Brent wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
Brent wrote:
RattleMan wrote:NRL has it as TD3!!!


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

:?:

Still says 99L there.


Brent check it again it's say 03L No Name


Oh I see now... the Refresh button is wonderful. :P
finally! It now looks like it is official! The arguments can end! TD #3 is here! I expect an official NHC upgrade at 8pm or 11pm.
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#317 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:47 pm

So does that mean an upgrade? It certainly seems like the upgrade is coming up now..
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#318 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:49 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:So does that mean an upgrade? It certainly seems like the upgrade is coming up now..
Usually when they change the wording from an invest to a no-name it means an upgrade. I would think it would be the same this time.
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#319 Postby shaggy » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:51 pm

i think they might upgrade but they could easily wait till tomorrow when the vis.. images and recon get there because this new LLC is weak and not very well defined it could be gone by the time morning gets here so dont be surprised if they wait!
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#320 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:52 pm

lets get aparty goin down in here!!! TD 3!!!
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