Katrina Strengthening

[Bocadude85]

Frank2 wrote:
Chris, Katrina is now at the same latitude of Miami, and is currently moving northwestward around the backside of the ULL to it's west, so, a more likely track is now towards areas along the central Florida coast.

At this time it's still a poorly organized tropical storm, though I agree that we should continue to monitor it for any changes.

Frank
miami isnt south of 25 north

[Frank2]

Re: DESTRUCTION5's post

Yipes - now that's a real story!

Thanks,

Frank

[gatorcane]

I think Katrina is beginning to bomb out, look how much the convection has blown up in the last several hours and the circulation is getting tighter....

[cjrciadt]

I think Katrina is beginning to bomb out, look how much the convection has blown up in the last several hours and the circulation is getting tighter....

Bombing, maybe. Getting more intense, DUH!!!!!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[jax]

I think Katrina is beginning to bomb out, look how much the convection has blown up in the last several hours and the circulation is getting tighter....

I can appreciate your enthusiasm... but the term BOMB OUT usually
applies to a Cat 2 storm deepening into a Major... like from 100mph
accelerating to 145mph in just a few ours.

No need to create panic here IMHO. It's forcast to be a TS for the
next few days.

[MortisFL]

I think Katrina is beginning to bomb out, look how much the convection has blown up in the last several hours and the circulation is getting tighter....

I can appreciate your enthusiasm... but the term BOMB OUT usually
applies to a Cat 2 storm deepening into a Major... like from 100mph
accelerating to 145mph in just a few ours.

No need to create panic here IMHO. It's forcast to be a TS for the
next few days.

Jax, still think its going to miss FL?

[Frank2]

Re: bocadude85's post

I stand corrected - Miami is at 25.4N 80.2W (I have a habit of using 25N 80W as a reference - that's what happens when you live here for as long as I've been). Still, Katrina will be nearing that shortly, so, hopefully it will continue around the ULL for at least the daylight hours today, and this jog would make a difference in it's landfall.

We'll see if the NHC makes any adjustments in the next package.

Frank

[gatorcane]

No need to create panic here IMHO. It's forcast to be a TS for the
next few days.

That is about the change later this morning....you'll see.

[jax]

I think Katrina is beginning to bomb out, look how much the convection has blown up in the last several hours and the circulation is getting tighter....

I can appreciate your enthusiasm... but the term BOMB OUT usually
applies to a Cat 2 storm deepening into a Major... like from 100mph
accelerating to 145mph in just a few ours.

No need to create panic here IMHO. It's forcast to be a TS for the
next few days.

Jax, still think its going to miss FL?

south of Miami... yea...
I hope it does hit Florida... it'll be the only thing that can keep in
under hurricane strength for the next few days...

[cycloneye]

OK Boca-Chris dont continue to be an alarmist or this thread will be locked.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Re: bocadude85's post

I stand corrected - Miami is at 25.4N 80.2W (I have a habit of using 25N 80W as a reference - that's what happens when you live here for as long as I've been). Still, Katrina will be nearing that shortly, so, hopefully it will continue around the ULL for at least the daylight hours today, and this jog would make a difference in it's landfall.

We'll see if the NHC makes any adjustments in the next package.

Frank

Stronger this gets more N it will shift the track

[jax]

No need to create panic here IMHO. It's forcast to be a TS for the
next few days.

That is about the change later this morning....you'll see.

so... your saying there will be a need to create panic later this morning?

[Rainband]

OK Boca-Chris dont continue to be an alarmist or this thread will be locked.

[Bocadude85]

Frank2 wrote:
Re: bocadude85's post

I stand corrected - Miami is at 25.4N 80.2W (I have a habit of using 25N 80W as a reference - that's what happens when you live here for as long as I've been). Still, Katrina will be nearing that shortly, so, hopefully it will continue around the ULL for at least the daylight hours today, and this jog would make a difference in it's landfall.

We'll see if the NHC makes any adjustments in the next package.

Frank
Yea I agree it will hit farther north then Ft Lauderdale, IM thinking somewhere in Palm Beach County

[curtinnc]

That axis they are dealing with on the ridge to the north is going to tell the tale on this one... Models gonna be burnin' up some odd scenarios probably when they come out with the new recon data added in...

[Frank2]

Yes, and there's the weakness that the NHC mentioned earlier, so, any northward movement will move it closer to the influence of the weakness.

Frank

[Frank2]

Here's a link to the half-mile visible loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

click on "LatLon" and "Trop Fcst Pts" to get a good indicator of where the system is in reference to Miami.

I might be wrong, but, it now appears to be moving faster than was mentioned in the previous advisory.

Frank

P.S. Even if it does swing westward again, as we say locally, "It doesn't look like a whole lot", so, hopefully it'll just be a well-needed rain event.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Here's a link to the half-mile visible loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

click on "LatLon" and "Trop Fcst Pts" to get a good indicator of where the system is in reference to Miami.

I might be wrong, but, it now appears to be moving faster than was mentioned in the previous advisory.

Frank

P.S. Even if it does swing westward again, as we say locally, "It doesn't look like a whole lot", so, hopefully it'll just be a well-needed rain event.

Center looks way north of ther plots...

[Frank2]

Yes, the center appears to be near 25.0N 76.0W - northeast of their forecast plot.

If it's current forward speed continues, it would be nearing the Florida coast much sooner than earlier forecast - that would be a good thing, as far as preventing any substantial increase in strength.

We'll see,

Frank

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yes, the center appears to be near 25.0N 76.0W - northeast of their forecast plot.

Frank

No way it makes landfall In Broward...I see PB even martin now!