Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

johngaltfla · #321 Postby **johngaltfla** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:25 pm

TampaFl wrote:Any chance that Wilma could follow a similar track to the Hurricane of Oct. 25, 1921 that affected the Tampa Bay area as the last major hurricane to hit here? Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert

Always a chance. I'd say in 48 to 72 hours we'll either be relaxing or watching the Tampa Bay area erupt into mass hysteria.

Scorpion · #322 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:26 pm

[quote="Brent"]Exiting right over Palm Beach County at 8pm Saturday...

[/quote

Right on top of my house. Ouch. At least its the 18z.

#323 Postby **HollynLA** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:27 pm

I've read somewhere else about the strong front that may bring very cold weather. I sure as hell hope so, that would be great BUT I do hope everyone from the FL panhandle down to the Keys is watching Wilma. She looks like she's gonna tick someone off by this weekend.

I'm so ready to come to storm2k to read about the possibility of snow in the south like last year. Now that's exciting! :lol:

truballer#1 · #324 Postby **truballer#1** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:28 pm

calculatedrisk · #325 Postby **calculatedrisk** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:33 pm

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 17

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.

FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 16.0 80.0 190./ 2.9
6 16.2 80.0 0./ 2.3
12 16.6 80.3 322./ 4.3
18 17.1 80.6 337./ 6.1
24 18.0 81.2 326./10.6
30 18.6 82.2 297./11.0
36 18.6 82.9 271./ 7.4
42 19.0 83.3 321./ 4.9
48 19.2 83.8 296./ 5.4
54 19.6 84.1 320./ 4.7
60 20.1 84.3 332./ 5.2
66 20.8 84.6 340./ 7.5
72 21.5 84.7 354./ 6.9
78 22.2 84.8 353./ 7.6
84 22.9 84.8 0./ 6.7
90 23.8 84.7 3./ 8.9
96 24.6 84.6 11./ 8.1
102 25.3 84.1 36./ 8.6
108 26.2 83.2 43./12.0
114 27.6 82.1 40./16.7
120 29.1 80.3 49./21.9
126 30.9 77.9 52./27.3

#326 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:34 pm

Looks like Wilma decided to get into the sauna for a couple days. She's got lots of warm water in the area near Cuba and close to the FL coast.

Website · #327 Postby **Brent** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:35 pm

HollynLA wrote:I'm so ready to come to storm2k to read about the possibility of snow in the south like last year. Now that's exciting!

Me too.

and yes... it looks like a significant cooldown, even colder than this one.

CHRISTY · #328 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:49 pm

#329 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:50 pm

WOW

This could get big...

truballer#1 · #330 Postby **truballer#1** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:51 pm

if it wosn't for the dry air it would probally be close to a cane or be a cane

#331 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:52 pm

Thanks Wilma! You made our avatars go away :grrr:

ronjon · #332 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:53 pm

looks like sarasota bradenton landfall according to latest 18z gfdl sat morning - moving at 18 mph too.

Scorpion · #333 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:55 pm

Definitely wrapping around to become a monster. Its got the look.

cinlfla · #334 Postby **cinlfla** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:55 pm

looks like sarasota bradenton landfall according to latest 18z gfdl sat morning - moving at 18 mph too.

Do you have a link for that or maybe an image?

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #335 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:56 pm

GFDL speeds it up and puts it over sarasota

LanceW · #336 Postby **LanceW** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:57 pm

Couple of pages back is the latest model plot. Glad this is 5 days out, as I am under that pretty red line... I know it's not coming here though, as I changed the oil and put the generator up for the season.

cinlfla wrote:
Do you have a link for that or maybe an image?

Rainband · #337 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:58 pm

AT this point it's all speculation. All the models were west this morning now they shifted. TOO early to tell. This may go sw for all we know. :wink:

dld · #338 Postby **dld** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:59 pm

It should only be a 2 though right? Not that a 2 is good but its better than a 4..

ronjon · #339 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:59 pm

cinlfla wrote:
looks like sarasota bradenton landfall according to latest 18z gfdl sat morning - moving at 18 mph too.

Do you have a link for that or maybe an image?

coming soon - estimated position from a couple of posts back - at 114 hrs near 27.6 north 82.1 west moving at 16.7 kts/hr.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #340 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 7:00 pm

Hey it might turn to the southwest in do another Mitch???

Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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