91L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[terstorm1012]

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/regions/atl-seusplot.php some more plots from the coast.

[Cyclenall]

Check the NHC site, they removed the STD box. What does that mean?

[mtm4319]

Check the NHC site, they removed the STD box. What does that mean?

Probably because it's not that new anymore... either that, or they're preparing to make a special advisory.

[Derek Ortt]

the two is more up to date anyways

[Cyclenall]

Check the NHC site, they removed the STD box. What does that mean?

Probably because it's not that new anymore... either that, or they're preparing to make a special advisory.

That's what I thought exactly. I'm not sure though.

[Scorpion]

Since it is in the process of forming an LLC still, it can still become a TS over land, correct?

[clfenwi]

2:05 TWD

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
SATELLITE AND RADAR INFORMATION CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SMALL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR IT TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY
TIME AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT
20 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
INVESTIGATED THE SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION
EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 30.5N-35W BETWEEN
75.5W-78.5W AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTER BANKS IN NORTH
CAROLINA. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD ONSHORE
THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

[storms NC]

didn't they say this at 7:30 this morning? wasn't it 140 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. If so then it hasn't moved

[Scorpion]

I believe that it was 140 miles south of Cape Fear, which is the southern tip of NC.

[Bane]

Cape Lookout is actually just south of the Outer Banks.

[mtm4319]

I believe that it was 140 miles south of Cape Fear, which is the southern tip of NC. Cape Lookout is near the VA border.

Cape Lookout is between Cape Fear and Cape Hatteras.

[Jim Cantore]

this thing is running out of time

[Derek Ortt]

may want to remove the STDS from the system, since NHC no longer has the STDS out on the storm

[storms NC]

ABNT20 KNHC 271501
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE AND RADAR INFORMATION CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SMALL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY... AND POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR IT TO DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY TIME AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF A CLOSED
CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. RESIDENTS ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED.
EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD ONSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA
AND VIRGINIA COASTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

[shaggy]

well regardless of development this storm is going to pose a problem for the east coast.The flood warnings are already starting to roll out in eastern NC expect them to become widespread later as the bulk of rain moves onshore.Most of my county has recieved more than 2-3 inches last 2 days with some isolated amounts over 5.For the month the airport here is reporting 10.65 inches of rain.So name or noname who cares the outcome will be the same!

[CHRISTY]

2:05 Discussion...

SATELLITE AND RADAR INFORMATION CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SMALL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR IT TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY
TIME AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT
20 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
INVESTIGATED THE SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION
EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 30.5N-35W BETWEEN
75.5W-78.5W AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTER BANKS IN NORTH
CAROLINA. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD ONSHORE
THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS TODAY AND TONIGHT


Sourse...http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Aquawind]

Post a source link please CHRISTY..

Thanks for adding the 2:05 discussion..

[O Town]

Clouds tops are not as cold as they were earlier. It is looking like convection is dying down some in the past few frames, not as intense.

[storms NC]

well regardless of development this storm is going to pose a problem for the east coast.The flood warnings are already starting to roll out in eastern NC expect them to become widespread later as the bulk of rain moves onshore.Most of my county has recieved more than 2-3 inches last 2 days with some isolated amounts over 5.For the month the airport here is reporting 10.65 inches of rain.So name or noname who cares the outcome will be the same!

This is very true. We have been in mud trying to pull the corn. This is not fun. I lost my shoes in the mud so bare feet it is.

[JonathanBelles]

000
WONT41 KNHC 271829
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
228 PM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

RECENT INFORMATION FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATES THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 35 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE THERE IS A SMALL
AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS ON ITS EAST SIDE... THE SYSTEM DOES NOT
HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION... AND IS THEREFORE NOT A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25
MPH. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA... VIRGINIA...
AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED WITH
LITTLE NOTICE. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE... IT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$