Invest 99L,Near Windwards,Thread #4

[DESTRUCTION5]

I smell TD 4..Now..

[Eyewall]

they have found WSW winds, max winds of about 30mph and 1005.8mb.. this should be a depression.. especialy because its near land

[Extremeweatherguy]

they have found WSW winds, max winds of about 30mph and 1005.8mb.. this should be a depression.. especialy because its near land

yeah, I think we are probably going to see TD #4 get announced later today.

[HURAKAN]

TWD 205:

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 11N57W IS ABOUT 200 NM E OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS PRESENTLY
ENROUTE TO THE LOW CENTER. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO
NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 KT.
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BRING SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.

[miamicanes177]

AF303 01DDA INVEST HDOB 16 20070801
175030 1124N 05752W 9772 00291 0102 +231 +220 196013 013 000 010 00

Can someone tell me which numbers the winds are? I forgot

[DESTRUCTION5]

AF303 01DDA INVEST HDOB 16 20070801
175030 1124N 05752W 9772 00291 0102 +231 +220 196013 013 000 010 00

Can someone tell me which numbers the winds are? I forgot

013

[storms in NC]

AF303 01DDA INVEST HDOB 16 20070801
175030 1124N 05752W 9772 00291 0102 +231 +220 196013 013 000 010 00

Can someone tell me which numbers the winds are? I forgot

3 row from the right

[HURAKAN]

01/1745 UTC 12.1N 58.2W T1.0/1.5 99L -- Atlantic Ocean

[Eyewall]

AF303 01DDA INVEST HDOB 16 20070801
175030 1124N 05752W 9772 00291 0102 +231 +220 196013 013 000 010 00

Can someone tell me which numbers the winds are? I forgot

if im not mistaken its the bold... 196 degrees at 13kts

[jasons2k]

I agree, I think we have TD#4.

Between this an the GOM

And who said "Season Cancel" a week ago?

[storms in NC]

TWD 205:

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 11N57W IS ABOUT 200 NM E OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS PRESENTLY
ENROUTE TO THE LOW CENTER. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO
NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 KT.
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BRING SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.

I can't beleive that it is not a TD now. I got to get a laptop tonight. I don't want to miss all the chat.

Some times it is better than the stormLOLOLOLOL

[skysummit]

I agree, I think we have TD#4.

Between this an the GOM

And who said "Season Cancel" a week ago?

You really want to know? I can give names if you wish LOL

[storms in NC]

AF303 01DDA INVEST HDOB 16 20070801
175030 1124N 05752W 9772 00291 0102 +231 +220 196013 013 000 010 00

Can someone tell me which numbers the winds are? I forgot

if im not mistaken its the bold... 196 degrees at 13kts

It is the third row from the right.

[HURAKAN]

Lets wait for the final results from the RECON. SO far just SSW-SW winds have been found and we don't know the intensity of the winds at the surface. It's close to a depression but we have to wait.

As I get older I become more conservative, and I'm only 20!!!

That's what watching the tropics causes.

[Ivanhater]

I agree, I think we have TD#4.

Between this an the GOM

And who said "Season Cancel" a week ago?

You really want to know? I can give names if you wish LOL

[Brent]

I agree, I think we have TD#4.

Between this an the GOM

And who said "Season Cancel" a week ago?

You really want to know? I can give names if you wish LOL

I think this will be a TD at 5.

[vaffie]

Lets wait for the final results from the RECON. SO far just SSW-SW winds have been found and we don't know the intensity of the winds at the surface.

They found a 30 mph due west wind at the surface (and also a weak due west wind at flight level) briefly.


Due west (265 degrees) wind at 25 knots

17:43:30Z 11.65N 58.13W 977.1 mb
(~ 28.85 inHg) 289 meters
(~ 948 feet) 1010.0 mb
(~ 29.83 inHg) - From 265° at 5 knots
(From the W at ~ 5.8 mph) 22.0°C
(~ 71.6°F) 22.0°C
(~ 71.6°F) 6 knots
(~ 6.9 mph) 25 knots
(~ 28.7 mph) 16 mm/hr
(~ 0.63 in/hr)

[chadtm80]

If recon finds a TD they wont wait till 5

[windstorm99]

Any thoughts on a potential weakness left by the mess in the gulf?

[SouthFloridawx]

527
AXNT20 KNHC 011800
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED AUG 01 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 11N57W IS ABOUT 200 NM E OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS PRESENTLY
ENROUTE TO THE LOW CENTER. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO
NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 KT.
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BRING SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.