Gulf of Mexico Disturbance--PGI37L

[greg_kfdm_tv]

It really hasn't moved much at all in the past 18 hours. I would expect little movement today with a slow drift to the west or northwest Saturday and Sunday as the overall steering flow becomes more southeasterly. Could bring some rain to the upper Texas coast late Saturday and especially Sunday.

[tailgater]

If that deep convection continues for much longer we will probably see a sheared system develop.

[rainshine]

Thanks for the reply, Greg. Glad to see you back!

[srainhoutx]

The convection certainly has persisted...

[Bailey1777]

twc shows a low where the convection is but with everything else going on in the tropics nobody is really talking about it.

[Sanibel]

I'm amazed to see a hanging GOM front not develop in prime season.


Danielle going to category 4 should mean the lingering GOM unfavorability should shift soon.

[poof121]

Something is happening, SW Pass is showing a 27 kt South wind.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pstl1&unit=E&tz=STN

And they're not in a storm at the moment.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=LIX&loop=yes

[Bailey1777]

greg any chance we see an invest out of this today or is it pretty much a non event?

[greg_kfdm_tv]

It is possible that we could see an invest if it persists this evening. Still just a broad surface trough extending all the way from the Mexican coast to near the mouth of the Mississippi.

[HURAKAN]

Loop - http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=4

Looks quite impressive this morning. I think we can't rule out a sheared system out of this.

[TexWx]

Is this whole system itself drifting eastward, or the cloud tops just getting blown off in that direction?

[HeeBGBz]

There have been ominous black clouds all over the gulf south of Gulfport and Biloxi all morning. It's raining pretty heavy now. Nothing much to speak of north of I-10. Looks pretty rough though. I had to pop in here to see if there was anything brewing out there.

[greg_kfdm_tv]

Is this whole system itself drifting eastward, or the cloud tops just getting blown off in that direction?

Little movemnt with the trough axis. You are seeing the upper level westerlies blowing the tops off to the east.

[TexWx]

Thank you....

[poof121]

Is this whole system itself drifting eastward, or the cloud tops just getting blown off in that direction?

Definitely some westerly shear...

[Portastorm]

20-30 knots ... yeah, I would definitely call that some shear.

[Stormcenter]

There is definitely a spin right on/off the SE LA. coastline. IMO

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

[Aric Dunn]

I guess we cant ignore it this morning lol...

[Stormcenter]

Radar confirms the "spin" right off the SE LA. coastline.


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[Bailey1777]

is the spin at the surface and shouldnt there be plenty of bouys to tell us whats going on?