TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Ixolib · #341 Postby **Ixolib** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:39 pm

mvtrucking wrote:Looking at this loop (0145) is that dot an eye @ 26N 78W ?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

If it is, it's certainly a tad NE of the forecast track... {wispers - wobble}

Scorpion · #342 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:40 pm

Its looking very good. Also could come in earlier than expected. Looks to be a Palm Beach landfall.

gkrangers · #343 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:41 pm

Motion appears to be very slow now...

LaBreeze · #344 Postby **LaBreeze** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:43 pm

Slowing down, hmmm - making a turn maybe?

#345 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:44 pm

LaBreeze wrote:Slowing down, hmmm - making a turn maybe?

Pressure at almost 1000 flat moving due west now.

#346 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:45 pm

LaBreeze wrote:Slowing down, hmmm - making a turn maybe?

Turning where, she is already made the turn and is moving westward as predicted by the NHC. Now the question is if and when will she begin her northward movement.

floridahurricaneguy · #347 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:46 pm

Funny. Who was right for 11pm update. lol

Matt

Sanibel · #348 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:46 pm

Another surge west 275-280*

johngaltfla · #349 Postby **johngaltfla** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:46 pm

ALhurricane wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Steve Lyons believe an eyewall is forming rather rapidly, and the IR on TWC shows it VERY well. Could become a hurricane overnight if the trend continues, and hurricane WARNINGS are quite possible at 11.

I definitely agree. You can see it well (if it will load) off of the Nassau radar.

http://bahamasweather.org.bs/satelliteradar/radar/

Hurricane Warnings are now up, from Florida City north to Vero Beach.

Also the path is more unfriendly to us west coasters as it turns north closer to us.

Time to break out the coffee maker...... :eek:

LaBreeze · #350 Postby **LaBreeze** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:47 pm

That's what I was referring to - a turn possibly to the north or nw.

jkt21787 · #351 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:47 pm

floridahurricaneguy wrote:Funny. Who was right for 11pm update. lol

Matt

You obviously have an inside source.

There are several people here and on other boards who listen into the NHC conference an hour before the advisory and have posted the information, didn't see it tonight so I'm not sure where you got it from this time...

#352 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:53 pm

I agree, the speed burst has ended. Back to a slow W-WNW movement. It looks like the center is closer to 26.1N rather than 26.0 as per 10pm NHC advisory.

jkt21787 · #353 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:55 pm

Read the portion of the discussion where Avila makes mention of the recent GFDL and its quite honestly doomsday scenario for S. Florida.

I'm surprised he mentioned it given its extreme solution, but did speak of it as unrealistic. Still he seems to be concerned about it.

caneseddy · #354 Postby **caneseddy** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:56 pm

current NHC future coordinates keep it straight at 26.0 all the way to landfall, which is roughly the Dade-Broward line

floridahurricaneguy · #355 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:57 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
floridahurricaneguy wrote:Funny. Who was right for 11pm update. lol

Matt

You obviously have an inside source.

There are several people here and on other boards who listen into the NHC conference an hour before the advisory and have posted the information, didn't see it tonight so I'm not sure where you got it from this time...

I just feel proud having an inside source. Hope to help out in the future. Sorry if I am showing off. Hey I rarely get things right being new but inside sources help me out now.

Matt

#356 Postby **CronkPSU** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:58 pm

floridahurricaneguy wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
floridahurricaneguy wrote:Funny. Who was right for 11pm update. lol

Matt

You obviously have an inside source.

There are several people here and on other boards who listen into the NHC conference an hour before the advisory and have posted the information, didn't see it tonight so I'm not sure where you got it from this time...

I just feel proud having an inside source. Hope to help out in the future. Sorry if I am showing off. Hey I rarely get things right being new but inside sources help me out now.

Matt

don't worry about showing off, just keep giving us the info

jkt21787 · #357 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:59 pm

floridahurricaneguy wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
floridahurricaneguy wrote:Funny. Who was right for 11pm update. lol

Matt

You obviously have an inside source.

There are several people here and on other boards who listen into the NHC conference an hour before the advisory and have posted the information, didn't see it tonight so I'm not sure where you got it from this time...

I just feel proud having an inside source. Hope to help out in the future. Sorry if I am showing off. Hey I rarely get things right being new but inside sources help me out now.

Matt

Keep giving the info. Spann from AL usually posts it on his blog, but didn't see it tonight. I've seen it on many other boards and blogs too, but nowhere tonight. As long as that remains the case, your info will be key!

timeflow · #358 Postby **timeflow** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:00 pm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml

I'm trying to make out the center of circulation in this radar loop. What do you think? Is it the right corner of the larger dry area or is it the small circle of green surrounding a small eye-like feature just east of that? The larger dry area seems to be moving generally west, but the eye-like feature slightly north of west.

rockyman · #359 Postby **rockyman** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:01 pm

Looks like "The Fist" is developing...now if the area to the NE of the center wraps around, we could have rapid development:

gkrangers · #360 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:03 pm

We are pretty much getting to see the entire transformation from weak TS to hurricane via radar.

Something we normally don't get to see.

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