Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2
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Looking better organized on VIS SAT. Probably tropical depression status based on quickscat, buoy winds, pressure, and increasing convective bursts. The LLC is developing convection bridging the east and west blobs now.
LINK
EDIT: URL changed to hyperlink. -senorpepr
LINK
EDIT: URL changed to hyperlink. -senorpepr
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It appears to be getting stronger. Maybe it will become a TC before hitting cooler waters.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Thanks. The image does a lot to explain the west winds at 41010, which I now think are outflow from the blob to the west of that buoy...
So many outflow boundaries (again) today. My guess is that they are doing a lot of the initiation of new convection, especially based on where some of the new convection is forming (right where outflow boundaries collide)
WJS3
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Noah wrote:Hey, is southwest florida going to see some rain from what is coming in from the gulf? You guys think broken andrea will merge with this. IS this gulf low going to turn into something? Im sure you all are watching
The upper low coming out of the gulf is dying out, but its troughiness will kick out whatever comes out of Andrea's remnants, with a combination of a back door cold front coming down the east coast, central and southern FL, including SW FL, should see a decent chance of rain on Monday and maybe into Tuesday, and continuing chance of rain for SW FL with the easterly winds setting in for the rest of the week, hopefully, it will at least clear the smoky skies.
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wjs3 wrote:
Thanks. The image does a lot to explain the west winds at 41010, which I now think are outflow from the blob to the west of that buoy...
So many outflow boundaries (again) today. My guess is that they are doing a lot of the initiation of new convection, especially based on where some of the new convection is forming (right where outflow boundaries collide)
WJS3
Buoy 41010 has been reporting a westerly wind since around 8 am, is now NNW wind, it was not an outflow, the center of low pressure is now just to the NE of the buoy, when I plotted the low pressure center from looking at radar and high res satellite pics, it clearly showed the ill defined center moving just north of the buoy and east of its longitude.
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I guess they are still flying into the remnants of Andrea later on today at 18z, they have moved the flight plan under "Plan of the day"
Plan of the Day
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT FRI 11 MAY 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z MAY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-004
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA
A. 12/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A ANDREA
C. 12/1600Z
D. 29.0N 79.0W
E. 12/1700Z TO 12/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL MISSION INTO
ANDREA NEAR 32N AND 73W FOR 13/1800Z IF SYSTEM IS
A THREAT.
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