Disturbed weather in Eastern Atlantic (Is invest 95L)

[gatorcane]

looks like it will recurve looking at the 00Z GFS.

[MiamiHurricanes10]

174 hours. We have a strong hurricane at this point.

Much quicker recurvature on this run along with a more intense cyclone. Part 2 continues to take shape.

[cycloneye]

192 hours. Intense hurricane in fish territory.

[gatorcane]

yeah its headed to fishland........for sure looking at this run.

As I said, we need to look at development in the Caribbean and Bahamas for any U.S. or Caribbean threats. The weakness in the Atlantic is going to recurve anything that develops for the next couple of weeks.

2010 may be the season of strong systems recurving in the Atlantic.....maybe. Still early to say for sure but hopefully that is what happens.

[hurricaneCW]

Very sharp recurve very likely. Looks like it'll recurve around 50-55W on this run. We'll see what the wave behind does. Will it follow the same path?

[cycloneye]

Wave behind enters Caribbean

Oh boy, a strong hurricane entering the Caribbean.

[gatorcane]

oh boy....well yeah that is not good news......there may be 1 or 2 that make a run west and don't recurve......

[cycloneye]

Moves thru NE Caribbean to just north of Puerto Rico.

[Florida1118]

Is that another system behind it? Even longer range,get your kits ready just in case. It could be a late season anyway.

[gatorcane]

South FL:

[cycloneye]

A parade at end of 00z GFS run

One at Bahamas,another entering Caribbean and another in Atlantic.

[Hurricaneman]

Wave behind enters Caribbean

Oh boy, a strong hurricane entering the Caribbean.

according to this run wave 1 fishes at 57 west, but wave 2 nails the northeastern carribean islands but because its day 13 I would take it with a pinch of salt

[Florida1118]

Even if you dont look at the systems, you can see it will be getting very moist in the MDR

[hurricaneCW]

The 2nd wave is the one to watch. The 1st one is 90% likely to recurve now. The wave behind is comes off at a much lower latitude and hangs low making it just off the Florida coast. Another one develops after that one in the central Atlantic and enters the eastern Caribbean. As of now the 1st wave is very likely to develop and chances are increasing for the 2nd one to develop as well.

[MiamiHurricanes10]

A total of 4 named storm, 3 of which hurricanes in the 00z run of the GFS. Wouldn't surprise me at all, about time the things pop with the pattern we are in.

[cycloneye]

Well,the good news is that is long range and you know the drill. The bad news is that the switch will be on.

[gatorcane]

yeah in about 7-10 days should be tracking multiple systems...

Things are going to get busy in the Atlantic very quickly especially after Aug. 20th....

[ConvergenceZone]

Wow! I know it's far out, but very interesting GFS model runs......
Looks like this will be the last weekend of nothing to track for awhile......

[BigA]

Perhaps we should have modified the old adage a bit to say "Powerful storms come to those who wait." In any event, the Atlantic is going to start cranking, and while it's hard to be sure about the tracks of any of these cyclones (even the first one, really), we can be reasonably confident that the switch, so long awaited, and in many cases feared, has been turned "on." And in a La Nina, it appears the MDR on switch can stay on a bit later than in neutral years.

Regardless of exactly what transpires, the next month is sure to be fascinating.

[SCHurricane]

Has anyone even thought about how much dust is coming off the African coast?!?! It's significant into the Cape Verde Islands.