2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Another outbreak on the horizon.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The other global models also has an outbreak in the monsoon trough.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
EURO
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The models (EURO, GFS, NAVGEM, CMC) continue to indicate a very active month of August for the WPAC and has storms developing in the SCS to near the dateline. Super crazy.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Wow. The latest ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a very active month of August with enhance convection everywhere.
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1022624467648827392
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1022624467648827392
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Next 2...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Kelvin Wave about to move through the basin and the dry phrase of the MJO locked in place.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
There's a reason why it's the most active basin in the world...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
With 16W developing, that makes it 7 TC's developing during the month of July compared to the long-term average of 3-4 cyclones.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The Western Pacific is expected to stay active during Week-1, before the suppressed convective signal moves in, lessening the likelihood for tropical cyclone (TC) development for the Week-2 period. With input from JTWC, two areas of possible formation are highlighted for Week-1; an area near Guam where there is high confidence for a TC formation toward the middle of Week-1 and an area of moderate confidence further east toward the central Pacific toward the end of Week-1. If formed, these systems will likely be short-lived, due to their expected tracks northward toward the mid-latitudes.
93W
94W
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
EURO has 2 more and 3 for GFS around the Philippines.
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Hector is now increasingly likely to enter the Western Pacific as a powerful typhoon. We could get lots of ACE. It could be a repeat of Ioke.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
I have a question. Does storms entering the WPAC from the EPAC/CPAC get counted to the WPAC?
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- NotSparta
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:I have a question. Does storms entering the WPAC from the EPAC/CPAC get counted to the WPAC?
If you mean ACE, yes, as soon as they cross the dateline, until they either leave the basin or dissipate
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
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