2018 WPAC Season

[Twisted-core]

https://imgur.com/ZmjyqGL

[euro6208]

[euro6208]

Another outbreak on the horizon.

[euro6208]

The other global models also has an outbreak in the monsoon trough.

[euro6208]

EURO

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1023522241416314881




Just look at the WPAC.

[euro6208]

[euro6208]

The models (EURO, GFS, NAVGEM, CMC) continue to indicate a very active month of August for the WPAC and has storms developing in the SCS to near the dateline. Super crazy.

[euro6208]

Wow. The latest ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a very active month of August with enhance convection everywhere.

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1022624467648827392

[Twisted-core]

https://imgur.com/d3xJTes

The GFS is @ it again.

[euro6208]

https://imgur.com/d3xJTes

The GFS is @ it again.

GFS very aggressive on this.

93W THREAD

[euro6208]

Next 2...

[euro6208]

Kelvin Wave about to move through the basin and the dry phrase of the MJO locked in place.

[euro6208]

There's a reason why it's the most active basin in the world...

[euro6208]

With 16W developing, that makes it 7 TC's developing during the month of July compared to the long-term average of 3-4 cyclones.

[euro6208]

The Western Pacific is expected to stay active during Week-1, before the suppressed convective signal moves in, lessening the likelihood for tropical cyclone (TC) development for the Week-2 period. With input from JTWC, two areas of possible formation are highlighted for Week-1; an area near Guam where there is high confidence for a TC formation toward the middle of Week-1 and an area of moderate confidence further east toward the central Pacific toward the end of Week-1. If formed, these systems will likely be short-lived, due to their expected tracks northward toward the mid-latitudes.

93W
94W

[euro6208]

EURO has 2 more and 3 for GFS around the Philippines.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Hector is now increasingly likely to enter the Western Pacific as a powerful typhoon. We could get lots of ACE. It could be a repeat of Ioke.

[euro6208]

I have a question. Does storms entering the WPAC from the EPAC/CPAC get counted to the WPAC?

[NotSparta]

I have a question. Does storms entering the WPAC from the EPAC/CPAC get counted to the WPAC?

If you mean ACE, yes, as soon as they cross the dateline, until they either leave the basin or dissipate