98L Invest Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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last satellite frame seems to be showing it at the surface now -
also - here is latest from Jamaica weather site -
http://pages.zdnet.com/glen72/jawx/id1.html
also - here is latest from Jamaica weather site -
http://pages.zdnet.com/glen72/jawx/id1.html
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fasterdisaster
- Category 5
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cycloneye
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Ok let's wait for the recon reports that soon will be available to see if this is officially a TD or not.
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Florida_TSR
http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/
The Goes images site is moving very,very slowly, so be patient.
The Goes images site is moving very,very slowly, so be patient.
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Slow movement, low shear, and warm waters equal another massive hurricane......another CAT 5 for the season.......could be possible.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Aqua Teen Hunger Force
Aqua Teen Hunger Force wrote:Can someone please explain to me what 98L is? Will it be a fish or hit land??
Why has the NHC not put up an advisory yet?
98L is the disturbance near Jamaica. No one knows yet what its trajectory will be, models are split, but it will in all likelyhood be a land hitter. Hard for it to be a fish in its current location.
NHC has not put out an advisory because its not an official TD yet, recon will tell us in a few hours though and if it is, advisories will be initiated at 5.
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Sat Oct 15, 2005
Upgrade to Flash Flood Warning
A Flash Flood Warning is in effect for all parishes.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING means flash flooding has been reported or will occur shortly.
Motorists and pedestrians should not attempt to cross flooded roadways or other low-lying areas as strong currents are likely.
According to the Met Service there is an Area of Low Pressure south of Jamaica.
The Met Service says this system continues to become better organised and tropical cyclone formation is likely later today.
Doppler radar reports and satellite imagery indicate that light to moderate and sometimes heavy showers and thunderstorms continue to affect sections of most parishes as well as inshore and offshore areas of the north and south coasts.
The forecast is for showers and thunderstorms, which may be heavy at times, to continue affecting all parishes Saturday and into Saturday night.
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from -
http://www.televisionjamaica.com/news/s ... tory=20705
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cycloneye
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TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 17.8N 77.8W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 15.10.2005 17.8N 77.8W WEAK
00UTC 16.10.2005 18.1N 78.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 16.10.2005 18.3N 78.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 17.10.2005 18.2N 78.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.10.2005 18.0N 78.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 18.10.2005 17.8N 79.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 18.10.2005 17.7N 79.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 19.10.2005 17.7N 79.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.10.2005 17.8N 80.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.10.2005 18.1N 81.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.10.2005 18.4N 81.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 21.10.2005 18.8N 82.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.10.2005 19.3N 82.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12z UKMET.
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 15.10.2005 17.8N 77.8W WEAK
00UTC 16.10.2005 18.1N 78.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 16.10.2005 18.3N 78.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 17.10.2005 18.2N 78.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.10.2005 18.0N 78.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 18.10.2005 17.8N 79.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 18.10.2005 17.7N 79.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 19.10.2005 17.7N 79.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.10.2005 17.8N 80.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.10.2005 18.1N 81.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.10.2005 18.4N 81.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 21.10.2005 18.8N 82.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.10.2005 19.3N 82.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12z UKMET.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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