Large wave in Central Atlantic

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#41 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 04, 2008 9:25 am

Wow, this SAL outbreak looks evens stronger than before!!!... Carib or Gulf activity might be all we see for quite some time, at least until September, and then maybe the SAL will start to subside...
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#42 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 9:38 am

The SAL outbreaks are big but many seasons have had this, take 1998/99, those two didn't get anything major coming out of Africa till late August.
0 likes   

Mecklenburg

Re:

#43 Postby Mecklenburg » Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:43 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:Wow, this SAL outbreak looks evens stronger than before!!!... Carib or Gulf activity might be all we see for quite some time, at least until September, and then maybe the SAL will start to subside...


i hate this SAL
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re: Re:

#44 Postby Category 5 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:49 am

Mecklenburg wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Wow, this SAL outbreak looks evens stronger than before!!!... Carib or Gulf activity might be all we see for quite some time, at least until September, and then maybe the SAL will start to subside...


i hate this SAL


Oh well, at least it greatly reduces the chances of a long track U.S landfall.
0 likes   

User avatar
catastrophic
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 35
Joined: Wed Jul 23, 2008 1:50 pm
Location: palm bay FL

#45 Postby catastrophic » Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:33 pm

heres a QuikSCAT. is that area SouthWest of cv associated with the wave

Image

the area has a little convection over it
Image
0 likes   

Mecklenburg

Re: Large Wave Exiting African Coast

#46 Postby Mecklenburg » Tue Aug 05, 2008 1:04 am

sal is so intense right now
0 likes   

Scorpion

#47 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:10 am

SAL should lessen later this month just in time for the heart of the season
0 likes   

Honeyko

ITCZ blob at 9N/33W

#48 Postby Honeyko » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:45 am

(Not yet an Invest.... Moderators rename when appropriate.)

See: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ir2.html

This has been remarkably persistent, has impressive westerly inflow on the southern edge of the SAL, excellent outflow, and no other nearby systems to interfere with it.

Image
Image
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#49 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:49 am

wrong forum....
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#50 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:03 am

If it's not yet an invest it doesn't go in the active storms forum.
0 likes   

jhamps10

Re: ITCZ blob at 9N/33W

#51 Postby jhamps10 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:41 am

although that would be the area that previous 90L would be in by now wouldn't it?

anyway it does deserve to be in the talkin tropics main forum instead of active zones.
0 likes   

jhamps10

#52 Postby jhamps10 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 5:10 am

central atlantic IR images look good right now...

Image

and if we have a bit of something on quikscat, then I wonder if we will see an invest today on it.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

Re: ITCZ blob at 9N/33W

#53 Postby O Town » Tue Aug 05, 2008 6:21 am

jhamps10 wrote:although that would be the area that previous 90L would be in by now wouldn't it?

anyway it does deserve to be in the talkin tropics main forum instead of active zones.

Yeah its getting kinda confusing with a thread on each wave, lol.
ex90L is out in front of this blob, with not really any convection associated with it, around 44W 17N as stated in the TWD.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0604.shtml?
The blob being discussed here is also the being discussed in another thread tho.
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=102269&start=40
So I believe there are 2 threads on this one........
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145277
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Large Wave Exiting African Coast

#54 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 05, 2008 6:51 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145277
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Large Wave in East Atlantic

#55 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 05, 2008 6:55 am

Honeyko,I merged your thread with the other one that was first in the forum about the same system,to not have duplicity of threads about one system.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145277
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Large Wave in East Atlantic

#56 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 05, 2008 7:16 am

From 8 AM EDT discussion:

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST NEAR 20
KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N31W. CYCLONIC
TURNING IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND ALONG
THE ITCZ FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 26W-35W. AN EARLIER QSCAT PASS
CONFIRMED THE EXISTENCE OF THE LOW CENTER ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10145
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: Large Wave in East Atlantic

#57 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 05, 2008 7:39 am

cycloneye wrote:From 8 AM EDT discussion:

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST NEAR 20
KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N31W. CYCLONIC
TURNING IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND ALONG
THE ITCZ FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 26W-35W. AN EARLIER QSCAT PASS
CONFIRMED THE EXISTENCE OF THE LOW CENTER ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/


Looks good for now, we need something to track, Edouard is on shore.
0 likes   

Jimsot
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 157
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:31 pm
Location: Upstate SC

Re: Re:

#58 Postby Jimsot » Tue Aug 05, 2008 8:06 am

Mecklenburg wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Wow, this SAL outbreak looks evens stronger than before!!!... Carib or Gulf activity might be all we see for quite some time, at least until September, and then maybe the SAL will start to subside...


i hate this SAL


I LOVE SAL! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#59 Postby ConvergenceZone » Tue Aug 05, 2008 9:26 am

This wave is holding together more than the previous one, so this may develop down the road....Should be away from the SAL before long.
0 likes   

User avatar
alan1961
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 771
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:58 am
Location: Derby, Derbyshire, England
Contact:

Re: Large Wave Exiting African Coast

#60 Postby alan1961 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 11:20 am

Mecklenburg wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:Now that it is August, poofation isn't a near certainty anymore on storm clusters leaving Africa.


i guess so, but this SAL outbreak could be seasonwide... just like 2005 where poofations in CV is rampant


so you were dissapointed mecklenburg that 2005 wasn't much of a CV season? who cares about a CV season in 2005 when that year was just about a record breaker for activity! :wink:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 32 guests