Observations / Local Statememts - Puerto Rico / USVI / BVI

[gerrit]

Radar is back on as far as I can see: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

It looks like the system is moving west. It's dry here and it looks like the sky is brighter..

[bvigal]

Hearing thunder and radar shows tstorms moving N from Caribbean toward all the islands. We have another tropical wave here right now. (What happens when it catches up to 93L?)

[caribepr]

The sky is absolutely brighter here, by the minute and the drizzle has subsided as well. There is water standing in the yard, the streets are a mess of run off mud and debris but we have nothing to complain about compared to many on the big island.

As for your other tropical wave news...ouch!

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
123 PM AST MON SEP 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO EXCEPT THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR AND THE NORTH COAST...

* UNTIL 715 PM AST

NWS SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND RECENT SATELLITE PHOTOS INDICATED
CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE
CARIBBEAN WATERS...MOVING NORTHWARD AROUND 10 MPH...AND INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL COASTAL MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. THIS TREND OF HEAVY
RAINFALL MOVING NORTHWARD INTO THE ISLAND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ENTIRE SOUTH HALF OF THE ISLAND HAS
BEEN AFFECTED WITH VERY HIGH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS AND MAJOR
FLOODING IN THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL
WORSEN FLOOD AND SOIL CONDITIONS.

MUDSLIDES WILL ALSO BECOME LIKELY AGAIN THROUGH THIS
EVENING IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ACROSS
THESE PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND SHOULD REMAIN ON HIGH ALERT.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS
AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1822 6718 1829 6669 1825 6644 1828 6621
1827 6562 1824 6556 1796 6589 1792 6623
1795 6665 1792 6722

$$

AAS/OB

[msbee]

Man, I hope people will be safe and are careful there, Luis.
It looks like the worst of the convection is offshore but just enough onshore over your southern coast to still cause real problems.

[cycloneye]

After a period of around six hours without rain,San Juan is getting it.This means that the situation will turn worse in terms of more flooding as the grounds are oversaturated especially in Southern PR.

[cycloneye]

The agricultural sector has suffered geatly with the floods.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
421 PM AST MON SEP 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE LOW ALONG THE NE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND ASSOCIATED LLVL TROUGH ARCHING S AND THEN SW INTO
CENTRAL CARIB GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...BROAD MID LEVEL TROF ACROSS THE AREA AND
RELATIVELY STRONG S TO SE LLVL FLOW CONTINUES TO FEED ABUNDANT
TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE E/SE SIDE OF LLVL TROF...AND AIDED BY
DIVERGENCE ALOFT INDUCED BY UPPER LOW TO OUR NW...SCT DEEP CNVTV
CLUSTERS CONTINUE TO FIRE ACROSS THE LOCAL OFFSHORE CARIB WATERS
ALONG THE MID LEVEL TROF AXIS...AND ARE PROPAGATING N AND NNE
ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...FINE LINES OF TCU
STREAMING OFF OF THE LEEWARDS ARE BLOWING UP INVOF OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED TSTORMS THERE...MOVING NWD.
STLT IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS AMPLE MOISTURE STILL FEEDING
INTO THE MCS TO OUR S...AND PORTIONS OF THIS BROAD AREA ARE LIKELY
TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
AND MAINTAIN LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY PRECIP ACROSS S HALF OF PR AND TO
A SLIGHTLY LESSER EXTENT...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND ALL THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

SINCE THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT DEEPENED...IT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ON
THIS MORE WNW TRAJECTORY AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM...BEFORE
MOVING MORE NW AND THEN N AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE W ATLC
RIDGE. THIS WILL CERTAINLY HAVE AN EFFECT ON HOW MUCH AND WHERE
ALL THIS MOISTURE AND WEATHER TO OUR S MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF PRECIP IS A GOOD
BET ACROSS THE S HALF OF PR...EAST COASTAL SECTIONS...AND THE
ISLANDS TO THE EAST...WITH A CHANCE FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE 6 TO
8 INCH RANGE STILL A POSSIBILITY ACROSS S AND SW SECTIONS OF PR
SHOULD ONE OF THESE LARGE TSTORM CLUSTERS OR BANDS LIFT SLOWLY
ACROSS THE ISLAND TONIGHT. THUS FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDE
POTENTIAL REMAIN HIGH. N SECTIONS OF PR...N OF THE CORDILLERA...
WILL LIKELY SEE INTERMITTENT STRATOFORM PRECIP WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE AMOUNTS...AND PERIODS OF EMBEDDED HEAVY PRECIP. THIS
LIKELY TO KEEP PRECIP ACCUMULATIONS AOB 2 INCHES FOR THE N HALF OF
PR THROUGH TUE MORNING. LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN
HIGH...AND N COASTAL RIVER SYSTEMS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR OUT OF
THEIR BANKS THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

AS ADVERTISED IN PAST DAYS...IT LOOKS LIKE THE MOISTURE WILL BEGIN
TO DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK...DAYTIME HEATING AND DIURNAL EFFECTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN FORCING MECHANISMS. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE
THE REST OF THE WEEK FOR LOCAL SOILS TO DRY OR DRAIN
SUFFICIENTLY.

[cycloneye]

These cars were grounded by all the mud.No fatalities here as it was a parking lot and anyone was in those cars.

[msbee]

OMG Luis
I can't believe how hard you are getting hit by this.. TS or not, it is doing a lot of damage.
this is a recent stormcarib update from St. Croix:

RAIN! RAIN! RAIN!

* From: "Isabel Cerni" <hicerni at viaccess.net>
* Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2008 17:42:13 -0400

Good Evening, All!
Conditions at the moment. Whiteout! Constant rain, sometimes heavier, with thunder, and no end in sight.(Attached is a photo taken earlier today when the RAIN started, it got worse as the day progressed ). On Tuesday we are to expect a 90% chance of the same, why not just add another 10%.? Let's face it, 93L likes it here just fine; it has no intention of leaving. It wants to go west but prayers are pulling it up away from the islands. Which one will win out? Well, I hope enough people are praying. DO NOT CROSS YOUR FINGERS! That does not help. Put your hands together in prayer. We do not want Haiti to get anymore of this type of weather for the rest of the season!
As for Puerto Rico, they are under water in some areas, but the same kind of curious people will drive out to see what they can see and end by being dragged away. They seem totally ignorant of the power of water. So many times we hear of people trying to cross rushing waters and are taken away by the same. Unfortunately, little children are also in the vehicles.
Remember September! It's not over with this one. There's more to come. Let's do everything we can to stay safe, but also to help others in whatever way we can. God bless us all!

[canetracker]

Very Sad News:

"4 dead in Puerto Rico amid heavy rains
Haiti, Dominican Republic and Bahamas could also see flooding"

MSNBC News Services updated 12:56 p.m. CT, Mon., Sept. 22, 2008......'Police Superintendent Pedro Toledo said that among the dead was a 76-year-old man who suffered a heart attack as he swept water from his house. Two people drowned and the fourth victim also had a heart attack related to the storm.'

Full Story Here

[cycloneye]

Horrible scene.This is a casket that was rescued as it was pushed out of the grave by the river that went over bank in that area in a cemetary.

[cycloneye]

The deludge continues.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1042 PM AST MON SEP 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS REISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING TO EXTEND IT IN TIME AND AREAL COVERAGE FOR...
TWO THIRDS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHWEST
PORTION OF THE ISLAND

* UNTIL 230 AM AST

* AT 1024 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM THE NEAR AND OFF SHORE
CARIBBEAN WATERS TOWARD THE SOUTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO. THESE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTERACTING WITH BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE MOVING FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS TOWARD THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE ISLAND...RESULTING IN MERGING CELLS THAT ARE
PRODUCING HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL RAINS WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
WINDS. RIVERS HAVE COME DOWN A BIT WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT
THIS NEW SURGE OF SHOWERS WILL CAUSE THE RIVERS TO RAPIDLY INCREASE
AS SHOWERS MOVE BY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS
AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1822 6719 1829 6669 1852 6669 1841 6560
1828 6562 1825 6555 1796 6588 1792 6623
1795 6662 1793 6722

$$

OB

[JonathanBelles]

Local news just said 24" in 24 hours in Puerto Rico. WOW! I hope everyone is ok.

[canetracker]

NWS Radar PR / Virgin Islands:
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=JUA&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[cycloneye]

Local news just said 24" in 24 hours in Puerto Rico. WOW! I hope everyone is ok.

I am fine,but many are not with this new record of rainfall amount in 24 hours as you can see in the posts of this thread.

[cycloneye]

Its not over yet for Puerto Rico as another batch of rain moves in this morning.But the trend is for improving weather as the day goes on.I will have a detailed report of what is going on with the flooding and stats of rainfall updates later today.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
631 AM AST TUE SEP 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND THEN BUILD NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL DROOP INTO
THE EASTERN SEABOARD OF THE UNITED STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND
INTO SATURDAY. EARLY NEXT WEEK A CUT OFF LOW NEAR 20 NORTH 58 WEST
WILL SPLIT THE NORTHEAST SOUTHWEST HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER
HISPANIOLA INTO TWO PARTS LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE OVER HISPANIOLA BY
MID WEEK NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL MOVE NORTH AND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
IN STRENGTH DRAMATICALLY ONCE IT BEGINS TO MOVE. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN FILL IN OVER THE ARC OF THE ANTILLES FORMING A NORTHEAST
SOUTHWEST RIDGE FROM THE HIGH IN THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC ACROSS
PUERTO RICO. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT WEST DURING THE WEEKEND AND
SETTLE OVER CUBA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...THE LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS BROUGHT SO MUCH
MOISTURE TO PUERTO RICO IN THE TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO LIFT
NORTH BEGINNING TODAY AND CONTINUE TOWARD MAINE. THIS WILL LEAVE
THE AREA IN SOUTH FLOW UNTIL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN JUST NORTH OF
THE LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY. FLOW WILL REMAIN EASTERLY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK BETWEEN THE LOW PRESSURE IN THE
SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS MOVING INTO
SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO AS THE LEADING EDGE OF A CONVECTIVE BAND
MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. THIS SHOULD MARK THE
BEGINNING OF A WET MORNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST TWO THIRDS OF PUERTO
RICO AS MODERATE RAIN FOLLOWS THE BAND AND SLOWLY SPREADS NORTH
INTO THE ISLAND. IT SHOULD ALSO KEEPS MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LOWER
TODAY AS WELL...BUT NOT AS LOW AS YESTERDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS
DIFFICULT TO DISCERN FROM SATELLITE PICTURES...BUT WINDS AND
PRESSURE FIELDS FROM SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SEEM TO CONFIRM A
LOCATION JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE GFS MOVES THE LOW IN A ZIG ZAG PATH NORTHWARD FROM
ITS POSITION NEAR 19.1 NORTH 69.6 WEST. THE NAM ON THE OTHER HAND
FIRST MOVES THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST NORTHWEST TO 20.4 NORTH 72.8
WEST WEDNESDAY. BOTH MODELS SEEM TO DEVELOP THE LOW EQUALLY. HAVE
LEANED TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION...IF ONLY BECAUSE THIS WAVE`S
HISTORY OF SLOW WESTWARD MOVEMENT FITS THE SOLUTION BETTER AND IT
THE LOW WILL FIND IT DIFFICULT TO BUTT UP AGAINST LOWER SURFACE
PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST AND OPPOSING UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. USING THIS EAST-HOLDING TRAJECTORY...WILL
KEEP THE LOCAL WATERS NEAREST THE LOW IN HIGHER WINDS...AND HAVE
READJUSTED THE GRIDS TO MAKE THEM MORE CONSISTENT WITH SEVERAL
SHIP OBSERVATION NOTED AT 06Z. THIS WILL ALSO PLACE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES IN THE LOCAL NORTHWEST ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. AS THE SYSTEM PULLS OUT IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...AND
WHILE THE MODELS HAVE BEEN PROMISING THIS TO NO AVAIL FOR QUITE
SOME TIME...THE MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH SEEMS TO GIVE NEW REASON TO
BELIEVE THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN. SHOULD IT INTENSIFY AS
EXPECTED...THE WINDS SHOULD BE FAIRLY SLOW TO DIE DOWN OVER THOSE
SAME WATERS AND BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL BE PULLED OVER THE AREA.
ALTHOUGH THIS SOUNDS RATHER FOREBODING...IT SHOULD PROVE TO BE
MUCH LESS SERIOUS THAN THE BANDS OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALREADY
EXPERIENCED SO FAR AND THIS RETREAT OF THE LOW SHOULD GIVE PUERTO
RICO A GRADUAL DRYING TREND THROUGH THURSDAY. BECAUSE SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES DURING THIS CLEARING TREND...WOULD EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO BE ALMOST 10 DEGREES WARMER ON THE NORTHEAST COAST
THURSDAY THAN THEY WERE YESTERDAY. UNFORTUNATELY...AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE HIGH PRESSURE MORE MOISTURE WILL
MOVE FROM THE EAST INTO THE AREA AND STALL OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER ACTIVITY AND KEEP SCATTERED
SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR BOTH THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A DRYING TREND IS THEN
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE
AREA FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST AND WE ENTER INTO SOME INFLUENCE OF
THE WEST SIDE SUBSIDENCE OF THAT LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL COVER THE LOCAL FLYING AREA
TODAY AS A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
REGION AT LEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS MOST TAF SITES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. TJPS MAY
EXPERIENCE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10-16Z. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS TJSJ FROM 10-16...AND BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS
AFTER 16Z. TJBQ WILL EXPERIENCE MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FROM
10-18Z...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS AFTER 18Z. WINDS
WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.


&&

.MARINE...ROUGH SEAS AND INCREASING WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT OF THE FORECAST AREA DUE TO THE DEVELOPING LOW JUST
NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL
KEEP SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES UP THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AN
EXTENSION MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED DEPENDING IN THE MOVEMENT OF
THE LOW. SEAS WILL DIMINISH BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTERWARD INCREASING EAST NORTHEAST TRADE
WINDS WILL CAUSE SLOWLY RISING SEAS IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE. IN
THE CARIBBEAN A SIMILAR TREND WILL BE SEEN BUT TO A LESSER
DEGREE.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...ALL BUT TWO RIVERS...THE MAUNABO AND THE GUAYANES...HAVE
SUBSIDED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AS OF 6 AM AST. THESE WILL LIKELY NOT
COME DOWN DUE TO THE ADDITIONAL RAIN FALLING THERE. THEREFORE
EXPECT TO REMOVE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING BEFORE 8 AM AST THIS
MORNING AND WARN ON A CASE BY CASE BASIS AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
MOVES ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING. UNLESS THERE IS
CONSIDERABLY MORE CLEARING TODAY THAN YESTERDAY...AND THAT IS NOT
REALLY EXPECTED...THERE SHOULD BE LESS RAIN THIS AFTERNOON THAN
THIS MORNING...BUT IF CONVECTION REDEVELOPS OVER THE ISLAND WILL
HAVE TO RE-CONSIDER. WILL MAINTAIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL ALL
DANGER OF CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP HAS PASSED

[caribepr]

I guess 93L needed to give us one more smacking around. I actually thought I might get the cart open today...that won't be happening, at least this morning. I cannot believe how fast this is moving. The temp has dropped 2 degrees already in about 5 minutes. Fast is good.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
750 AM AST TUE SEP 23 2008

PRC095-109-151-231730-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0021.080923T1150Z-080923T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
750 AM AST TUE SEP 23 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR RIO MAUNABO AND RIO GUAYANES...
INCLUDES...
MAUNABO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
PATILLAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
YABUCOA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF YABUCOA...

* UNTIL 130 PM AST

* AT 740 AM AST...USGS GAGES INDICATE THAT THE RIO MAUNABO AND RIO
GUAYANES REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...THE RIO MAUNABO AND RIO
GUAYANES REMAIN OUT OF THEIR BANKS THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
FLUCTUATE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. WHILE THESE RIVERS ARE SHOWING A DOWNWARD TREND...
INTERMITTENT SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISED
MUNICIPALITIES TODAY...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL SLOW THE
RECESSION ON THESE RIVERS.

IN THE MEANTIME...A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER
CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 1809 6593 1805 6578 1801 6583 1796 6594
1808 6603 1809 6598

$$

AAS