2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season is here!

[Terry]

As much as I totally enjoy tropical storm watching, and tracking, I am quite concerned about any storms hitting FLA. The insurance cupboard is bare.

Let's just hope that we have an interesting year that brings nothing bad to the Atlantic/Caribbean regions.

[cycloneye]

Let's just hope that we have an interesting year that brings nothing bad to the Atlantic/Caribbean regions.

We hope that is the case here in the Eastern Caribbean and all the systems are fish,but we have to be prepared for anything that mother nature has instore.We dont need another San Felipe in 1928 (Cat 5 in Puerto Rico),Hugo,1989,Luis,1995,Georges,1998,Ivan,2004,Dean,Felix,2007 to mention only a handfull of systems from a little more than 200 that had affected the islands in the Eastern Caribbean since 1851.

Eastern Caribbean



ST Marteen



Puerto Rico



Guadeloupe



Barbados



http://stormcarib.com/climatology/

[cycloneye]

Countdown to 2009 Storm2k Poll:

Time until Sunday, March 1, 2009 at 12:00:00 Noon (New York time)
13 days
335 hours
20159 minutes
1209596 seconds

Alternative version
It is 13 days, 23 hours, 59 minutes and 56 seconds until Sunday, March 1, 2009 at 12:00:00 Noon (New York time)

http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/cus ... ec=&p0=179

Less than 2 weeks left for the 2009 Storm2k poll to start so get ready to post your numbers as the poll starts on March 1 at Noon EST.

[cycloneye]

Can you believe the season is almost upon us?

Time until Monday, June 1, 2009 (UTC time)
100 days
2423 hours
145438 minutes
8726305 seconds

Alternative version
It is 100 days, 23 hours, 58 minutes and 25 seconds until Monday, June 1, 2009 (UTC time)

http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/cus ... &sec=&p0=0

[Ed Mahmoud]

Not a prediction...


Texas, as a whole, gets a tropical storm every other year, and a hurricane, about half as often, and Southeast Texas, once a decade,


Well, after Humberto and Ike, Houston/BPT area has a few years of break due.



But probabilities are only probabilities,


Texas, a standard 60 mph tropical storm, and Delaware to Massachusetts, due for a high end Cat 2.


All unofficial, of course.

And if JB's 1960s analogs hold, New Orleans to Pensacola, a rough August ahead.

[cycloneye]

The countdown is down to two digits.

http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/cus ... &sec=&p0=0

[Cookie]

If you're bored there are other basins that are active now.

theirs no much tbh

[cycloneye]

Only a few hours left until (Noon EST on March 1) before the 2009 Storm2k poll is up so get ready to participate by posting your numbers.Lets see if this poll can break last years 189 members that posted their numbers.Will the 2009 poll reach and pass the 200 number?

http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/cus ... ec=&p0=179

[cycloneye]

Wow,time is flying,as here we are we are already in March,the 2009 poll is up and less than three months for the Atlantic Hurricane season to start (Dont tell that to the folks in the SE U.S. that are still dealing with old winter)

[Ivanhater]

Not a prediction...


Texas, as a whole, gets a tropical storm every other year, and a hurricane, about half as often, and Southeast Texas, once a decade,


Well, after Humberto and Ike, Houston/BPT area has a few years of break due.



But probabilities are only probabilities,


Texas, a standard 60 mph tropical storm, and Delaware to Massachusetts, due for a high end Cat 2.


All unofficial, of course.

And if JB's 1960s analogs hold, New Orleans to Pensacola, a rough August ahead.

Interesting

[Vortex]

Hello All,

I haven't posted since last Novemebr but felt the urge to check in as well be in full TROPICAL mode in less than 3 months!!

[Typhoon_Willie]

Yes it is starting to get close now. Not very far off at all. If the season is going to be a busy one, then it is my hope that we have a lot of fish storms to talk about. Peace...

[RL3AO]

Soon we will be watching for the first tropical wave of the season.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Forecasters Bring Preparedness Message to Bahamas, Mexico and Caribbean
Public Invited to Tour Air Force Reserve “Hurricane Hunter” Aircraft
March 16, 2009

NOAA and the U.S. Air Force Reserve will host a series of public events the week of March 22 in five coastal communities in the Bahamas, Mexico and the Caribbean to urge residents to prepare for the upcoming hurricane season.

The public, school groups and media are invited to meet with National Hurricane Center Director Bill Read, Senior Hurricane Specialist Lixion Avila, Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch meteorologist Gladys Rubio and personnel from the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron of the 403rd Wing. They also may tour the Air Force Reserve Command’s WC-130J “hurricane hunter” aircraft.

“The Caribbean was hit hard last season by three major hurricanes striking Cuba and two other storms brought devastating floods to Haiti,” said Read. “We want to help save lives through preparedness and awareness before the season begins on June 1.”

Since 1944, air crews from the Air Force Reserve squadron have been flying their aircraft directly into the core of tropical cyclones to gather critical weather data. The data are sent via satellite communications directly to the National Hurricane Center for analysis and use by hurricane forecasters.

“The information collected by the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters increases the accuracy of the National Hurricane Center forecast by 10 to 20 percent, which is critical to those in the path of an impending storm,” said Maj. Chad Gibson, chief of Public Affairs for the 403rd Wing. “We will continue to be an integral part of the effort to save lives.”

Locations and times for public tours are listed below (all times are local):

Monday, March 23: Nassau, Bahamas; 1:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m.
Tuesday, March 24: Poza Rica, Mexico; 1:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m.
Wednesday, March 25: Villahermosa, Mexico; 1:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m.
Friday, March 27: Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago; 1:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m.
Saturday, March 28: San Juan, Puerto Rico; 9:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m.

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories200 ... unter.html



Above is last years visit to Ponce,Puerto Rico.

[Stormcenter]

I believe the entire Atlantic seaboard and Gulf coast is under the gun in 2009. Now that should make everyone either happy or worried.
Come on guys lets be realistic here. No one and I mean no one knows how active or inactive this season will be. They also don't have a clue as to if,when and where a hurricane will make landfall in 2009.

Not a prediction...


Texas, as a whole, gets a tropical storm every other year, and a hurricane, about half as often, and Southeast Texas, once a decade,


Well, after Humberto and Ike, Houston/BPT area has a few years of break due.



But probabilities are only probabilities,


Texas, a standard 60 mph tropical storm, and Delaware to Massachusetts, due for a high end Cat 2.


All unofficial, of course.

And if JB's 1960s analogs hold, New Orleans to Pensacola, a rough August ahead.

Interesting

[KWT]

Well we are starting to really get close, soon will only be 2 months away and the very real chance of something beocming sub-tropical is nearly with us already, though such systems in April are very rare still.

[caribepr]

A couple notes...(I've not logged on here for awhile but today it seemed right).

1 - tomorrow is Earth Hour. From 8:30 to 9:30 where ever you live, it's lights out to show an awareness for our impact on the earth. Google it. If nothing else, it's a fun hour to have a candle light dinner, play games with your kids by lantern light, get together with friends and dance in the dark or...

2. Due to the economy this year, while no one here is starving and no one will, it is a lot tighter than normal. So I'm starting to restock my hurricane supplies now. A gallon of water here and there (which I pitch in the chest freezer, good for the freezer, good for me - yes, I know they are supposed to leach cancer causing bits: if that concerns you hugely, put the water in glass with headroom for freezing room - if needed), a couple extra cans of beans or veg, every time I'm shopping, freezing leftovers instead of letting them molder in the back of the fridge. Taking the bones of fowl and meat and boiling for stock, which also goes in the freezer (cool it down, put it in a freezer baggie, done). Getting the propane tanks checked and filled.

Just some thoughts. It's pretty painless to start now rather than try to do a big *extra* shopping.

Happy Spring!

[cycloneye]

A couple notes...(I've not logged on here for awhile but today it seemed right).

1 - tomorrow is Earth Hour. From 8:30 to 9:30 where ever you live, it's lights out to show an awareness for our impact on the earth. Google it. If nothing else, it's a fun hour to have a candle light dinner, play games with your kids by lantern light, get together with friends and dance in the dark or...

2. Due to the economy this year, while no one here is starving and no one will, it is a lot tighter than normal. So I'm starting to restock my hurricane supplies now. A gallon of water here and there (which I pitch in the chest freezer, good for the freezer, good for me - yes, I know they are supposed to leach cancer causing bits: if that concerns you hugely, put the water in glass with headroom for freezing room - if needed), a couple extra cans of beans or veg, every time I'm shopping, freezing leftovers instead of letting them molder in the back of the fridge. Taking the bones of fowl and meat and boiling for stock, which also goes in the freezer (cool it down, put it in a freezer baggie, done). Getting the propane tanks checked and filled.

Just some thoughts. It's pretty painless to start now rather than try to do a big *extra* shopping.

Happy Spring!

Welcome back Mj.I will do 1 and 2 always is my priority every year,even if it turns out to be a quiet season for us.But as you know,it only takes one and that is why we do the annual ritual preparations.

[caribepr]

Luis I read there are some neat activities for Earth Hour in San Juan...have fun there for me. On Culebra, everyone I talk to says...hey, I'm asleep by then, my lights will be out!

and yes...as ever, be prepared. If it's good enough for the Boy Scouts, it's good enough for me (I still have my foil pack of Spam to keep hurricanes away...the universe would not be so cruel as to make me actually eat that)

[southerngale]

Not a prediction...


Texas, as a whole, gets a tropical storm every other year,and a hurricane, about half as often, and Southeast Texas, once a decade,


Well, after Humberto and Ike, Houston/BPT area has a few years of break due.



But probabilities are only probabilities,


Texas, a standard 60 mph tropical storm, and Delaware to Massachusetts, due for a high end Cat 2.


All unofficial, of course.

And if JB's 1960s analogs hold, New Orleans to Pensacola, a rough August ahead.

I don't know how many decades you had to go back to come up with that average, but after THREE hurricanes (plus a TS) in just under 3 years, I don't think you'd find a soul in this part of SE TX to believe that average. We feel like we're being bombarded by them.