2009 TCRs

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#41 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 12, 2010 11:34 am

Tropical Storm Danny report is up at the first post of thread.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22984
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: 2009 TCRs

#42 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 13, 2010 9:58 am

I've heard that Ida's report is almost complete. Should be out by early next week.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#43 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jan 13, 2010 10:13 am

Mexico has also a TCR for both basins.

Link - http://smn.cna.gob.mx/ciclones/ciclones.html
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs=Hurricane Ida report is posted

#44 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 10:47 am

The final post season report that was left is now released.Hurricane Ida report is up at first post of thread.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#45 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 14, 2010 12:09 pm

Now we wait for a lot from the Pacific. I think a lot of discussions with the CPHC are having to be done.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22984
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: 2009 TCRs=Hurricane Ida report is posted

#46 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 15, 2010 7:21 pm

cycloneye wrote:The final post season report that was left is now released.Hurricane Ida report is up at first post of thread.


Note the reclassification of Ida as a 75kt hurricane just off the SE LA coast during that convective burst on the afternoon of the 9th.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#47 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 25, 2010 2:44 pm

Tropical Storm Dolores post season report is up and posted at first post of thread.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2009 TCRs

#48 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 25, 2010 3:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Dolores post season report is up and posted at first post of thread.


Hopefully we get the rest of the EPAC stuff soon.

Also notice the NHC determined in Ida that the Nor'easter that followed was a totally separate system, and not extratropical Ida. (One irony that would have created - if it weren't for name retirements, it would have been Isabel again in the same area hit hard in 2003 for the Nor'easter areas).
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#49 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:13 am

Hurricane Jimena post-season report is up and is posted at the first post of thread.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#50 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:36 pm

I disagree with several things on Jimena. The biggest disagreements are on August 29 and 30. They stuck with Dvorak estimates until the Recon flight, yet they basically were unchanged when Recon found 135 kt (Dvorak at that time suggested about 120 kt).

I believe it peaked at least at 130-135 kt, perhaps at Cat 5, at 30/1800, then flatlined to about 120 kt by 31/0600 before restrengthening as the eye was not as well defined. All intensities between 29/1200 and 31/0000 are too low IMO.

Also, since the ADT rose more until just after 01/0000 after the Recon flight, I would have bumped the peak intensity to 140 kt at that point, with a 929mb pressure.

Landfalls seem fairly reasonable IMO.
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: 2009 TCRs

#51 Postby Macrocane » Wed Feb 03, 2010 11:07 pm

:uarrow: I absolutely agree with you, Jimena IMO reached cat 5.
0 likes   

User avatar
Juliancolton
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 21
Joined: Thu May 14, 2009 12:24 pm

Re: 2009 TCRs

#52 Postby Juliancolton » Thu Feb 04, 2010 10:22 am

Wonder what's taking Felicia so long.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#53 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Feb 04, 2010 2:31 pm

the BT for Felicia will partially come from CPHC
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#54 Postby cycloneye » Tue Feb 09, 2010 8:36 am

Hurricane Felicia post-season report is up and posted at the first post of thread.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#55 Postby cycloneye » Fri Feb 12, 2010 12:07 pm

Tropical Storm Hilda post season report is up at first post of thread.Only two reports are left,Hurricane Guillermo and Tropical Storm Lana.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2009 TCRs

#56 Postby cycloneye » Fri Feb 12, 2010 3:14 pm

Hurricane Guillermo post-season report is up and posted at first post of thread.Tropical Storm Lana report is the one that is left.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Juliancolton
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 21
Joined: Thu May 14, 2009 12:24 pm

Re: 2009 TCRs

#57 Postby Juliancolton » Sat Feb 13, 2010 11:36 am

Kinda off-topic, but I was doing some research this week and found that TD 2E 1998's TCR (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1998td2e.html) was published a day after it dissipated, while TS Celia's TCR (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1998celia.htmlp) wasn't published until eight months later. Am I missing something, or were they just very inconsistent back then?
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#58 Postby Chacor » Sat Feb 13, 2010 2:20 pm

You're kidding, right? If there's no change from operational and it was a short lived depression, I see no reason why a TCR would take only one day.
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

Re: 2009 TCRs

#59 Postby P.K. » Sat Feb 13, 2010 2:25 pm

Looks like they only used to issue BTs for TDs back then and not full TCRs. If this was the case then there is no reason they couldn't have issued the BT pretty soon after the event.
0 likes   

User avatar
Juliancolton
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 21
Joined: Thu May 14, 2009 12:24 pm

Re: 2009 TCRs

#60 Postby Juliancolton » Sat Feb 13, 2010 3:46 pm

P.K. wrote:Looks like they only used to issue BTs for TDs back then and not full TCRs. If this was the case then there is no reason they couldn't have issued the BT pretty soon after the event.

Well, what about Agatha 1998, whose TCR was issued 10 days later?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Ulf and 71 guests