Big wave emerging West Africa - (Is invest 94L)

[KWT]

Direct hit on Bermuda on this run, it does recurve but a little later on this run compared to the 12z.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Direct hit on Bermuda on this run, it does recurve but a little later on this run compared to the 12z.

Exactly, in this case the trend may not be our friend....


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Hurricaneman]

18zGFS seems to be slower too, could it be that the trades have slowed that much as shown in this run

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[cycloneye]

I imagine NHC is waiting for the whole complex to emerge the coast and see if there is a surface low forming before they begin to mention it on the TWO's.The same for having invest up.

[Gustywind]

I imagine NHC is waiting for the whole complex to emerge the coast and see if there is a surface low forming before they begin to mention it on the TWO's.The same for having invest up.

Right Cycloneye . We have only one thing to do wait and see

[cycloneye]

Saved image at 00:00 UTC.



http://sat24.com/en/wa

[gatorcane]

Direct hit on Bermuda on this run, it does recurve but a little later on this run compared to the 12z.

Exactly, in this case the trend may not be our friend....


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Yeah it's recurves a bit more west but that trough along the Eastern Seaboard of the U.S. is quite amplified. The CMC, GFS, and ECMWF are showing this type of pattern for the next a couple of weeks, and the GFS and ECMWF are both recurving the system every run for the past several runs. Granted things can change with the models but plenty of time to watch this.

[boca]

Cape Verde storms for the last couple of years have been recurving between 50 and 60 w it a weird pattern maybe its the norm and system that make itr this far west is an oddity.

[Aric Dunn]

large explosion of convection around the low level circ observed earlier... should be an invest in the morning and with that amount of very very cold cloud tops could be looking at 40%.

[cycloneye]

large explosion of convection around the low level circ observed earlier... should be an invest in the morning and with that amount of very very cold cloud tops could be looking at 40%.

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