2013 TCR's

#41 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Nov 14, 2013 9:05 pm

To me, it was Nada, not Narda. The saddest storm of the year I agree.

hurricanes1234 · #42 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Thu Nov 14, 2013 9:38 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:To me, it was Nada, not Narda. The saddest storm of the year I agree.

The name suited it right.

The NHC also made a sentence stating that it was on its way to becoming Nada. :lol:

hurricanes1234 · #43 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Mon Dec 02, 2013 1:19 pm

Um...is a report coming out anytime soon? It's been more than 2 weeks since the last one, and the season is over. :lol:

hurricanes1234 · #44 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Tue Dec 03, 2013 1:52 pm

Lorenzo in the Atlantic now out. Peak: 45 knots
Ivo in the Pacific now out. Peak: 40 knots
Octave in the Pacific now out. Peak: 55 knots/994 mbar

See: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2013atlan.shtml and http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2013epac.shtml for Atlantic reports and EPAC reports respectively.

#45 Postby **CrazyC83** » Tue Dec 03, 2013 7:42 pm

Lorenzo probably too low IMO - they went with the very low end of the data, despite the eye feature. I would have gone with a 55 kt peak.

Octave probably warranted 60 kt as well based on the structure and blend of data.

Hammy · #46 Postby **Hammy** » Tue Dec 03, 2013 8:50 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Lorenzo probably too low IMO - they went with the very low end of the data, despite the eye feature. I would have gone with a 55 kt peak.

I agree, especially since for 12 hours all but one satellite agency was showing winds >50kts.

hurricanes1234 · #47 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Wed Dec 04, 2013 8:08 pm

SLIGHTLY OFF-TOPIC: Hi, does anyone here think that Raymond was a Category 4? It had the sub-950 mbar pressure of a Category 4, and a distinct eye at its peak.

hurricanes1234 · #48 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Fri Dec 13, 2013 10:45 am

Hurricane Dalila is now out. The peak intensity has been upgraded to 70 knots/984 mbar. Operationally, it was estimated at 65 knots.

2013 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season

RainbowAppleJackDash · #49 Postby **RainbowAppleJackDash** » Sat Dec 14, 2013 9:10 pm

YAAAAWWWWWNNNNN, wake me up, Humberto. (it's all over)
When I'm wiser and I'm older
All this time I was waiting for your TCR and I
Didn't know I was lost.

When is he coming out? Henny? Ray?

hurricanes1234 · #50 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Sat Dec 14, 2013 10:34 pm

RainbowAppleJackDash wrote:YAAAAWWWWWNNNNN, wake me up, Humberto. (it's all over)
When I'm wiser and I'm older
All this time I was waiting for your TCR and I
Didn't know I was lost.

When is he coming out? Henny? Ray?

Waiting on all three of their reports. :double:

Let's see if Raymond will get upgraded in the report to a Category 4. It certainly had the pressure of a Category 4 (<950 mbar). Humberto and Henriette - not so much...maybe Humberto might be 90 mph? Who knows? :lol:

hurricanes1234 · #51 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:36 pm

TICK.......TOCK........TICK.......TOCK...... :blow:

My guess on which tropical cyclones will have their peaks revised:

Hurricane Henriette (Initial Peak on August 6) - 85 knots
Hurricane Manuel - 70 knots
Hurricane Raymond - 115 knots
Tropical Storm Sonia - 45 knots

Hurricane Humberto - 80 knots
Tropical Storm Jerry - 50 knots

THIS POST IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST AND SHOULD NOT BE USED AS SUCH. IT IS JUST THE OPINION OF THE POSTER AND MAY OR MAY NOT BE BACKED BY SOUND METEOROLOGICAL DATA. IT IS NOT ENDORSED BY ANY PROFESSIONAL INSTITUTION INCLUDING STORM2K.ORG. FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO THE NHC AND NWS PRODUCTS.

#52 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:39 pm

It seems they aren't in any rush. Most likely they are depressed over the lack of activity in 2013.

hurricanes1234 · #53 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Fri Jan 03, 2014 2:47 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:It seems they aren't in any rush. Most likely they are depressed over the lack of activity in 2013.

I emailed the NHC about when all of the reports should be available and they said that their goal is to have all of them posted by the end of 2013, but we're 3 days into 2014 and half are still missing. Maybe by the end of January? Not sure why it should take so long, but maybe they know something we don't, so let's wait and see what happens by the end of this month.

Edit: I just thought about it and I think they may be busy with the snowstorms going on presently. The snowstorms are really severe with blizzard conditions and poor visibility. And not to mention thousands of lives are on the line, which can really make the reports a difficult task at this time when punctual advisories are of high importance.

#54 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Jan 03, 2014 8:52 pm

I went through the KMZ files and the only updated one (so a TCR soon) is for Humberto - 80 kt and 979mb.

hurricanes1234 · #55 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Fri Jan 03, 2014 9:23 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I went through the KMZ files and the only updated one (so a TCR soon) is for Humberto - 80 kt and 979mb.

I KNEW IT!!! CONGRATULATIONS HUMBERTO!!! ALMOST A CATEGORY 2! Where's RainbowAppleJackDash? It got revised, RainbowAppleJackDash, just as we thought!

:jump:

Hammy · #56 Postby **Hammy** » Sat Jan 04, 2014 3:46 am

It's a sad statement of how weak last year was that the strongest storm being upped to -almost- a Cat 2 is reason for excitement :lol:

supercane4867 · #57 Postby **supercane4867** » Sat Jan 04, 2014 3:57 am

Well, let's hope they will bump Raymond up to a Cat 4

or stay as a -almost- Cat 4 :grr:

hurricanes1234 · #58 Postby **hurricanes1234** » Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:18 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Well, let's hope they will bump Raymond up to a Cat 4

or stay as a -almost- Cat 4

I hope it would be revised to a Category 4 as well! If not, this will be the first year in the 21st century so far, whose strongest hurricane (both Atlantic and East Pacific) was below Category 4 strength. Also, it would be sad because it was so close, especially considering its <950 hPa pressure. The winds, if it is left as a Category 3, would be just 5 mph or less, shy of a Category 4! I'm waiting in excitement right now for Raymond.

RainbowAppleJackDash · #59 Postby **RainbowAppleJackDash** » Sun Jan 05, 2014 3:17 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:I went through the KMZ files and the only updated one (so a TCR soon) is for Humberto - 80 kt and 979mb.

I KNEW IT!!! CONGRATULATIONS HUMBERTO!!! ALMOST A CATEGORY 2! Where's RainbowAppleJackDash? It got revised, RainbowAppleJackDash, just as we thought!

Hey-diddly-dowdiddly-dawwdiggity-diddly-there, hurricanes1234!
Because Humberto got upgraded? (where's the TCR?) WE ARE GONNA HAVE A PARTY, HUMBERTO STYLE!!! WOOOOOOOOO!!!!
LET'S CELEBRATE HUMBERTO DAY!!!!!!!!

Yup, my reaction to Humberto getting upgraded.
Anyway... I'm just wondering about Ray and Henny right now. I'm pretty sure Ray will be upgraded to a 4 and Henny to a 3, but... WHAT ABOUT MEL? How would she fare? Cat 1 or staying as a tropical storm? Can I have a look at the file of Humberto please? Thanks!

RainbowAppleJackDash · #60 Postby **RainbowAppleJackDash** » Sun Jan 05, 2014 3:20 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Well, let's hope they will bump Raymond up to a Cat 4

or stay as a -almost- Cat 4

I hope it would be revised to a Category 4 as well! If not, this will be the first year in the 21st century so far, whose strongest hurricane (both Atlantic and East Pacific) was below Category 4 strength. Also, it would be sad because it was so close, especially considering its <950 hPa pressure. The winds, if it is left as a Category 3, would be just 5 mph or less, shy of a Category 4! I'm waiting in excitement right now for Raymond.

I don't think that will happen- I'm sure Ray will get upgraded to a 4.

2013 TCR's

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