What have we here?--(old title: Monster in the making?)
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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tornadochaser86
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Hyperstorm
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I had to resuscitate this thread because it appears that Cape Verde season is not yet over.
It's back...The well-defined tropical wave we were monitoring a couple of days ago has made a SIGNIFICANT comeback this evening, with impressive signs of trying to become better organized. There is definitely a mid-level cyclonic turning with this tropical wave which is located SW of the Cape Verde islands near 9N, 28W. Convection has become much better developed over the past few hours and it has gathered a pre-cyclonic structure.
My experience tells me that this system has a fairly good potential to it (If it wasn't for the lack of persistent systems that far east this year, I would say development appears imminent.). Models over the past few days forecasted the development of a large upper-level ridge over the East Atlantic and that has come to fruition with light upper-level winds right where the system is now. SSTs are still VERY favorable in that region and the system is surrounded by fairly high moisture levels.
There is really no reason to believe that we won't see an invest come out of this during the day on Tuesday, however, given that strange lack of persistence this year, I would only say...monitor it.
It's back...The well-defined tropical wave we were monitoring a couple of days ago has made a SIGNIFICANT comeback this evening, with impressive signs of trying to become better organized. There is definitely a mid-level cyclonic turning with this tropical wave which is located SW of the Cape Verde islands near 9N, 28W. Convection has become much better developed over the past few hours and it has gathered a pre-cyclonic structure.
My experience tells me that this system has a fairly good potential to it (If it wasn't for the lack of persistent systems that far east this year, I would say development appears imminent.). Models over the past few days forecasted the development of a large upper-level ridge over the East Atlantic and that has come to fruition with light upper-level winds right where the system is now. SSTs are still VERY favorable in that region and the system is surrounded by fairly high moisture levels.
There is really no reason to believe that we won't see an invest come out of this during the day on Tuesday, however, given that strange lack of persistence this year, I would only say...monitor it.
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Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
Easy come, easy go...
Even though there is a well-defined area of high pressure in the upper-levels in the far Eastern Atlantic and environmental conditions appear favorable, the tropical wave succumbed to the 2005 eastern Atlantic unfavorability. As it moves westward, this wave will encounter a screamingly hostile upper-level atmosphere very soon, so no further development is possible.
The majority of the tropical Atlantic is extremely unfavorable for development over the new few days. Only a few isolated areas in the far eastern Atlantic and just east of Florida are under marginally favorable conditions.
Signs of winter quickly approaching...
Even though there is a well-defined area of high pressure in the upper-levels in the far Eastern Atlantic and environmental conditions appear favorable, the tropical wave succumbed to the 2005 eastern Atlantic unfavorability. As it moves westward, this wave will encounter a screamingly hostile upper-level atmosphere very soon, so no further development is possible.
The majority of the tropical Atlantic is extremely unfavorable for development over the new few days. Only a few isolated areas in the far eastern Atlantic and just east of Florida are under marginally favorable conditions.
Signs of winter quickly approaching...
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