Long range runs of Global Models,Gamma in Caribbean?

#41 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:04 pm

12z GFS.

Now this run shows a low in the caribbean and others in the western atlantic.Hmmm I will be watching for more input to see if this caribbean scenario will be shown by other models.

DESTRUCTION5 · #42 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:14 pm

I don't buy that Easward Movement though with the Ridge that it shows inplace?

#43 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:17 pm

Later tonight I think cmc with go more along with gfs.

#44 Postby **cjrciadt** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:24 pm

The Atlantic as off now.

jusforsean · #45 Postby **jusforsean** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:46 pm

Thank you to all who posted links for me. Apparently i have been looking at the right thing I guess i wasnt sure under the box inital time where you see ie. 20051111102 what to choose. Im learning and to think my friends refer to me as mrs mayfield because i am a weather addict this season and what little i know. 8-)

#46 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 12:48 pm

jusforsean wrote:Thank you to all who posted links for me. Apparently i have been looking at the right thing I guess i wasnt sure under the box inital time where you see ie. 20051111102 what to choose. Im learning and to think my friends refer to me as mrs mayfield because i am a weather addict this season and what little i know.

your welcome ... I remember when I was try to find all those links for forcast models and then trying to figure out how to read them on my own. S2K has helped a lot to learn also.

#47 Postby **cjrciadt** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 1:00 pm

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html
This has moved

jusforsean · #48 Postby **jusforsean** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 1:48 pm

anyone ever read of hurricane after nov 30th? Like who says it end there , based on history, water temps etc? Not like the altlantic hurricane police are out on the waters turning the waves away, scary thought though.

#49 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:12 pm

18z GFS shows the caribbean area developing as it moves NE thru the greater antilles into the atlantic.

#50 Postby **msbee** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:29 pm

northeast???
like Lenny?

#51 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:32 pm

msbee wrote:northeast???
like Lenny?

Well almost as Lenny moved almost eastward.But we will have to watch how this evolves.

wxmann_91 · #52 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:43 pm

jusforsean wrote:anyone ever read of hurricane after nov 30th? Like who says it end there , based on history, water temps etc? Not like the altlantic hurricane police are out on the waters turning the waves away, scary thought though.

Most times it ends on Nov. 30 due to increasing shear and cooler waters. But sometimes there are exceptions:

CHRISTY · #53 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:55 pm

boca · #54 Postby **boca** » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:11 pm

Let Gamma form as long as its away from Florida.

#55 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 6:01 am

00z GFS.

Look how this run develops and moves the low pressure in the Caribbean and moves it northeast thru Hispanola and emerges in the atlantic whee it deeepens more.

NOGAPS is in the parade too.

#56 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 8:08 am

00z NOGAPS just came out.

Weatherfreak14 · #57 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 8:39 am

All I can say is a mininimal threat to flordia and maybe just some surf for cuba and flordia and some east coast.

CHRISTY · #58 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 8:54 am

way to early to be saying that theres not even a depression there yet so well see......

CHRISTY · #59 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:34 am

x-y-no · #60 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 10:13 am

Euro is signing on to the idea also:

Long range runs of Global Models,Gamma in Caribbean?

Thanks

Re: Thanks

Nov 30th

Re: Nov 30th

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