Gulf Blob....

[Swimdude]

Not a single drop of rain in West Houston. Ominous clouds all day long - but no rain. Perhaps tomorrow. Very breezy though!

[vbhoutex]

We've had one little shower that wet the pavement here where I am. Looks like the elements will come together in the next few days to give us a good wetting over a few days. I sure hope so!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

We got some amazing clouds and breezy winds here 30 minutes ago, and now it is RAINING with occasional thunder! We are also under a Severe T-storm watch!

[Portastorm]

Oh baby ... we had some nice rains here in Austin this morning. Generally between 2-3 inches of rain fell.

Hope you all get some of this ...

[WXBUFFJIM]

I got a pretty good downpour at work today, in the willbrook area, this morning too... but that was it... maybe tomorrow... its windy out now...

Hey there!!

I was noticing that blob of convection over the northwest Gulf during the past few days with a surface trough embedded within that feature. Sounds like you got some wet weather there, but today's rain looks like a huge and possibly dangerous ordeal.

There is more trouble brewing in Houston's northwest suburbs with intense rain rates and thunderstorms, some severe on this Saturday. 1.2-1.5 inch per hour rates in northwest Harris County according to doppler estimates. This could mean very high rain totals in this region in a short period of time. While individual cells ahead of the line are moving north northeast bound, the line itself is stalled and training over the same spot in nw Harris County and across south central Montgomery County. This could mean flash flooding becomes a real possibility as we roll through the afternoon. In fact a flood statement for an urban small stream flood advisory has already been issued to cover this and I'll post it here now.

HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED AN URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HARRIS...WALLER AND
SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM CDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

AT 1115 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM WALLER AND
BROOKSHIRE TO TOMBALL TO WOODBRANCH. THESE STORMS WERE BEGINNING TO
TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR
ARE LIKELY.

FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR...
WALLER...BROOKSHIRE...JERSEY VILLAGE...TOMBALL...SPRING...THE
WOODLANDS...PORTER HEIGHTS...

This could be upgraded to a flash flood warning if this trend continues with the heavy training repeating rains.

Meanwhile we can't buy a drop of rain here in Maryland these days and reservoirs are starting to slip as a result. Groundwater supply is beginning to lack with a drought watch up for north central and eastern Maryland. Baltimore is 7.33 inches down for the year and that number will rise quickly in the coming days with dry weather and hot conditions in the forecast.

Be careful out there and if on the roads, "turn around don't drown." Have a safe weekend.

Jim

[Audrey2Katrina]

We got some amazing clouds and breezy winds here 30 minutes ago, and now it is RAINING with occasional thunder! We are also under a Severe T-storm watch!

LUCKY you... now if ONLY it'd move THIS way!

A2K

[vbhoutex]

1.42" this am in less than one hour! Still some storms around, but looks like the worst is over for now.

[MississippiHurricane]

YAY!!!!!! Its raining here (VERY hard) and probably will the next couple of days!

[Galvestongirl]

well....I am very disappointed, I thought we were going to get some rain........and all we got was spit on. I even put out some grass seed (my dogs wore out my dead grass and now its dust.) I was so counting on getting wet!

[Lindaloo]

Well, I am just so dang jealous!! My grass is brown and my trees are wilting. No rain in sight for us either.

[LAwxrgal]

We got a few sprinkles yesterday morning but that was about it. Nothing since. And it was boiling today.

And the NWS says 50% tomorrow and 60% Monday? They better be right.

[Yankeegirl]

We got slammed pretty good this morning, and the power here was out for most of the day today... it actually just got turned back on about an hour ago.. been off since noonish... looks like more to come overnight?

[mvtrucking]

Got some here in Monroe off and on also. 90% tonight and 80% tomorrow. Thank goodness.

[boca]

Send it to S FL because I looked in the paper and West Palm and FT Lauderdale are 8" and 9" below for the year.

[WXBUFFJIM]

We got slammed pretty good this morning, and the power here was out for most of the day today... it actually just got turned back on about an hour ago.. been off since noonish... looks like more to come overnight?

Hey there.

Yea it looks like that complex of storms situated over north central Texas will track towards the southeast and remain near severe levels through late tonight as it moves rapidly into southeast Texas The area affected by these include the northern suburbs of Houston or from Lake Livingston north and west into the College Station area. Strong gusty winds and heavy rains are the main threats with this.

Outflow boundaries left from overnight thunderstorms could focus new development of storms over southeast Texas later Sunday. Main threat with these storms will be heavy rainfall with 2-3 inches a good possibility.

Glad everything is back up for you Yankee!!! That was some potent storms earlier today, probably alot of lightning just gauging what I was looking at.

Have a safe weekend everyone!!!

Jim

[WXBUFFJIM]

We got a few sprinkles yesterday morning but that was about it. Nothing since. And it was boiling today.

And the NWS says 50% tomorrow and 60% Monday? They better be right.

Hopefully you get some much needed moisture, you folks got a huge deficit down there from what I understand.

For the year so far, Baton Rouge has only seen 11.25 inches of precipitation. The normal is 30.23 inches making for a huge deficit for the year of 18.98 inches.

In New Orleans, just 13.20 inches of precipitation fell this year to date. The average is 29.97 inches giving them a 16.77 inch deficit. This deficit is more of a blessing than anything else for New Orleans and alot of the Katrina affected areas since the clean up and restoration efforts can be done quicker and more effectively.

Bottom line, hopefully you get at least some much needed moisture, any little bit is gonna help in this case given this extreme drought in place. We could use some rains here in the Mid Atlantic also. A 7.44 inch deficit in Baltimore, MD for the year, 0.83 inch deficit for the month of June. Groundwater, streams, and to less of an extent, reservoirs are starting to feel this deficit.

I'll issue a drought report later in another thread.

Take care.

Jim

[Extremeweatherguy]

70% chance of rain/storms tonight in Houston as a strong MCS is expected to bring us lightning and wind overnight. Damaging winds may be a threat.

[WXBUFFJIM]

It definitely looks like a damaging wind threat, lots of lightning, and heavy rains, especially from Houston north and west late tonight. More thunderstorms with heavy rains and possible flooding could take place later Sunday as storms originate along old thunderstorm outflow boundaries. However areas further east really could use this rainfall, just a steadier rain given the extreme drought in places like New Orleans, Baton Rouge, and Mobile.

Jim

[Johnny]

I just made a thread on the potential for severe weather tonight in the 'USA Weather' forum.

[Audrey2Katrina]

I sure wish some of that would move EAST.... I know some of central La. got some; but over here it's just HOT and STICKY!

A2K