04 vs 05 vs 06 Scorecard

dwg71 · #41 Postby **dwg71** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:34 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 4th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 4th 13/6/4 Next storm Nate formed on 9/6 remainder of season 15/09/3.

2006 as of Sept 4th 5/1/0 Next storm ?

2004's Sept was 4/4/3 - 2005's Sept was 5/5/2 Both were powerful months where every named storm became a hurricane and 56% of those became majors. This is the month that will determine 2006 IMO.

UPDATED THROUGH MONDAY, I WILL BE OUT OF POCKET UNTIL TUESDAY. HAVE A SAFE HOLIDAY WEEKEND!

Stratusxpeye · #42 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:36 am

Wow that put it into perspective well. And that 1 for hurricanes in 06 was for only 5-6 hours. It has been very slow. Very unexpected. Well have to see what happens in september.

dwg71 · #43 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Sep 05, 2006 11:15 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 6th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 6th 14/7/4 Next storm Ophelia formed on 9/7 remainder of season 14/8/3.

2006 as of Sept 6th 6/1/0 Next storm ?

2004's Sept was 4/4/3 - 2005's Sept was 5/5/2 Both were powerful months where every named storm became a hurricane and 56% of those became majors. This is the month that will determine 2006 IMO.

dwg71 · #44 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Sep 06, 2006 9:19 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 7th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 7th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 7th 6/1/0 Next storm ?

dwg71 · #45 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:23 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 12th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 12th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 12th 6/2/0 Next storm ?

#46 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:26 am

dwg71 wrote:Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 12th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 12th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 12th 6/2/0 Next storm ?

2006 is really pathetic so far isnt it? 8-)

dwg71 · #47 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 2:34 pm

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 12th 9/6/4 Next storm Jeanne 9/14 remainder of season 6/3/2.

2005 as of Sept 12th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 12th 7/2/0 Next storm ?

Nice number of named storms, but the devastation is not anywhere near 04-05 levels, lets hope it stays that way.

dwg71 · #48 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 11:25 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 14th 10/7/5 Next storm Karl 9/16 remainder of season5/2/1.

2005 as of Sept 14th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 14th 7/3/0 Next storm ?

dwg71 · #49 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:22 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 15th 10/7/5 Next storm Karl 9/16 remainder of season5/2/1.

2005 as of Sept 15th 15/8/4 Next storm Philippe formed on 9/17 remainder of season 13/7/3.

2006 as of Sept 15th 8/3/1 Next storm ?

wxwatcher91 · #50 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Sep 14, 2006 6:49 pm

woohoo! we have over half the named storms as at this time last year! lol

differences:
2004-2006= 2/4/4
2005-2006= 7/5/3

dwg71 · #51 Postby **dwg71** » Fri Sep 15, 2006 1:44 pm

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 17th 11/8/6 Next storm Lisa formedo n 9/20 remainder of season 4/1/0.

2005 as of Sept 17th 16/9/4 Next storm Rita formed on 9/18 remainder of season 12/6/3.

2006 as of Sept 17th 8/3/1 Next storm ?

UPDATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

2004 was all but done by this point, 2005 still had a full season's worth of storms left.

dwg71 · #52 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 18, 2006 10:16 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 20th 12/9/6 Next storm Matthew formed on 10/08 remainder of season 3/0/0.

2005 as of Sept 20th 17/10/5 Next storm Stan formed on 10/02 remainder of season 11/5/2.

2006 as of Sept 20th 8/4/2 Next storm ?

Both 2004 and 2005 had pretty substantial lulls from Mid-September to early October. 2004 had only 3 weak tropical storms after Sept 20th. While 2005 still had a full season left with 11 named storms and 5 hurricanes and 2 majors (Wilma & Beta)

#53 Postby **TheEuropean** » Tue Sep 19, 2006 11:04 am

dwg71 wrote:2006 as of Sept 20th 8/3/2 Next storm ?

Did I miss something? Isn't it 8/4/2 for 2006?

dwg71 · #54 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 25, 2006 12:00 pm

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 26th 12/9/6 Next storm Matthew formed on 10/08 remainder of season 3/0/0.

2005 as of Sept 26th 17/10/5 Next storm Stan formed on 10/02 remainder of season 11/5/2.

2006 as of Sept 26th 8/4/2 Next storm ?

Both 2004 and 2005 had pretty substantial lulls from Mid-September to early October. 2004 had only 3 weak tropical storms after Sept 20th. While 2005 still had a full season left with 11 named storms and 5 hurricanes and 2 majors (Wilma & Beta)

NOTHING TO UPDATE, MY HEART SAYS SEASON CANCEL, MY HEAD SAYS NOT YET...

If we get to the 15th of OCT with same patterns in place, I would rule out any more majors affecting CONUS. JMO.

Jim Hughes · #55 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Mon Sep 25, 2006 7:19 pm

dwg71 wrote:
NOTHING TO UPDATE, MY HEART SAYS SEASON CANCEL, MY HEAD SAYS NOT YET...

I think it is just the opposite for many people around here. Their head / brain says cancel but their heart, or their love of tropical action, says not just yet. This inability to seperate what they want, and what will happen, is what clouded everyone's mind about the El Nino effect early on.

dwg71 · #56 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 10:40 am

Jim Hughes wrote:
dwg71 wrote:
NOTHING TO UPDATE, MY HEART SAYS SEASON CANCEL, MY HEAD SAYS NOT YET...

I think it is just the opposite for many people around here. Their head / brain says cancel but their heart, or their love of tropical action, says not just yet. This inability to seperate what they want, and what will happen, is what clouded everyone's mind about the El Nino effect early on.

I think it just takes time and experience to learn to be unaffected by what one wants and what one thinks. I think it would be unlikely that we don't have at least one or two named storms the remainder of the season. Could be completely over, but I would expect at least one more...

dwg71 · #57 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 10:35 am

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of Sept 29th 12/9/6 Next storm Matthew formed on 10/08 remainder of season 3/0/0.

2005 as of Sept 29th 17/10/5 Next storm Stan formed on 10/02 remainder of season 11/5/2.

2006 as of Sept 29th 9/4/2 Next storm ?

Yeah, something to report!!!

Ptarmigan · #58 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:49 pm

The 2006 Hurricane Season is comparable to 2000 or 1996. In 1996, we did not see Josephine until early October. I read the 1996 season had an ACE that is considered very active. The thing is we are use to a more active season with many hurricanes forming, since 2003. 2003, 2004, and 2005 are considered very active seasons.

#59 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:53 pm

what is scary about 2005 is that in just Oct and Nov, it pumped out more storms that we have seen this entire hurricane season in 2006 so far. Unbelievable. :eek:

Ptarmigan · #60 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:56 pm

gatorcane wrote:what is scary about 2005 is that in just Oct and Nov, it pumped out more storms that we have seen this entire hurricane season in 2006 so far. Unbelievable.

It sure is. In September of 2002, eight storms formed, which is a lot for less than active season.

04 vs 05 vs 06 Scorecard

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