SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone George located within 40 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal zero south [15.0S]
longitude one hundred and nineteen decimal one east [119.1E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds : 50 knots
Central pressure: 972 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles
by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 50 knots near centre increasing to 80 knots by 0000 UTC 08
March 2007.
Within 50 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 40 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre by 1200 UTC 07 March 2007:
winds above 64 knots with very high to phenomenal seas.
At 1200 UTC 07 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.6 south 117.6 east
Central pressure 956 hPa.
Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 08 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 16.6 south 115.7 east
Central pressure 944 hPa.
Winds to 80 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 07 March 2007.
WEATHER PERTH
TC George: preliminary report issued
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Crostorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 2060
- Age: 50
- Joined: Mon Dec 25, 2006 3:51 pm
- Location: Croatia-Europe
- Contact:
George
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
(UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+12: 07/1800: 16.3S 117.0E: 030 (055): 080 (150): 944
+24: 08/0600: 17.7S 115.4E: 050 (095): 090 (165): 932
+36: 08/1800: 19.0S 114.4E: 090 (165): 100 (185): 916
+48: 09/0600: 20.1S 113.8E: 120 (220): 105 (195): 910
REMARKS:
Impressive banding is evident on the latest series of visible images, with an eye structure starting to show through. Dvorak constraints hold the FT to 4.5. Forecast intensity is held to the top end of category 4, however at this current development rate it is feasible that the system could reach category 5 prior to reaching cooler SST.
Models continue to either under represent or over represent the sibling TC, Jacob in their analysis fields. Both UKMO and TXLAPS exhibit excessive direct cyclone interaction, and have been excluded from the consensus. NOGAPS is also suspect in that regard.
Latest EC and GFDL models have an accelerated motion profile, and as anticipated the model consensus is shifting towards motion that suggests interaction with the coast. However, caution is advised as no model represents the current scenario sufficiently well.
UPDATE as at 1604 07/03/2007
Good afternoon all
The BOM plotted Cat 2 TC George at 1230 WDT at position 15 S and 118.9 E (340 n.m. from Dampier at 021 degrees true) and tracking WSW at 8 knots. Central pressure was 966 hPa and maximum winds were 55 – 80 knots with gale radius 80 nm. On present indications the BOM has George at a closest point of approach with Dampier (240 n.m. to the NNW) at mid-day on Thursday 8th March. This may change should the cyclone track deviate.
On Thursday George is expected to be reclassified as Cat 3 with a central pressure of 941 hPa, winds of 80-115 knots and a gale radius of 105 n.m.
BOM advice is that sea conditions offshore and within Mermaid Strait will increase overnight with 2-metre seas in Mermaid Sound on Thursday. This sea state increase was originally predicted for Wednesday but George slowed slightly and did not intensify as quickly as earlier forecasted. Winds on Thursday are predicted as 30-35 knot easterlies.
The Port is functioning on a limited basis. Parker Point terminal closed at 1212 WDT on Wednesday 7th in anticipation of increasing wind and sea states. The outer anchorage remains clear of vessels to minimise risk of ships dragging anchor onto a lee shore. Withnell Bay terminals are expected to be vacated on Thursday morning and East Intercourse Island terminal will be vacated either tonight or during Thursday forenoon depending on TC George developments.
Dredging and wharf construction projects have been paused and relevant support vessels gone to their cyclone moorings.
The oilfield support bases continue to provide fuel and essential stores to supply vessels as required.
Present wind is from the east at 25 knots and the swell is half a metre in Mermaid Sound. Cloud cover is increasing rapidly from the north and east.
Captain Vic Justice
Harbourmaster
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
(UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+12: 07/1800: 16.3S 117.0E: 030 (055): 080 (150): 944
+24: 08/0600: 17.7S 115.4E: 050 (095): 090 (165): 932
+36: 08/1800: 19.0S 114.4E: 090 (165): 100 (185): 916
+48: 09/0600: 20.1S 113.8E: 120 (220): 105 (195): 910
REMARKS:
Impressive banding is evident on the latest series of visible images, with an eye structure starting to show through. Dvorak constraints hold the FT to 4.5. Forecast intensity is held to the top end of category 4, however at this current development rate it is feasible that the system could reach category 5 prior to reaching cooler SST.
Models continue to either under represent or over represent the sibling TC, Jacob in their analysis fields. Both UKMO and TXLAPS exhibit excessive direct cyclone interaction, and have been excluded from the consensus. NOGAPS is also suspect in that regard.
Latest EC and GFDL models have an accelerated motion profile, and as anticipated the model consensus is shifting towards motion that suggests interaction with the coast. However, caution is advised as no model represents the current scenario sufficiently well.
UPDATE as at 1604 07/03/2007
Good afternoon all
The BOM plotted Cat 2 TC George at 1230 WDT at position 15 S and 118.9 E (340 n.m. from Dampier at 021 degrees true) and tracking WSW at 8 knots. Central pressure was 966 hPa and maximum winds were 55 – 80 knots with gale radius 80 nm. On present indications the BOM has George at a closest point of approach with Dampier (240 n.m. to the NNW) at mid-day on Thursday 8th March. This may change should the cyclone track deviate.
On Thursday George is expected to be reclassified as Cat 3 with a central pressure of 941 hPa, winds of 80-115 knots and a gale radius of 105 n.m.
BOM advice is that sea conditions offshore and within Mermaid Strait will increase overnight with 2-metre seas in Mermaid Sound on Thursday. This sea state increase was originally predicted for Wednesday but George slowed slightly and did not intensify as quickly as earlier forecasted. Winds on Thursday are predicted as 30-35 knot easterlies.
The Port is functioning on a limited basis. Parker Point terminal closed at 1212 WDT on Wednesday 7th in anticipation of increasing wind and sea states. The outer anchorage remains clear of vessels to minimise risk of ships dragging anchor onto a lee shore. Withnell Bay terminals are expected to be vacated on Thursday morning and East Intercourse Island terminal will be vacated either tonight or during Thursday forenoon depending on TC George developments.
Dredging and wharf construction projects have been paused and relevant support vessels gone to their cyclone moorings.
The oilfield support bases continue to provide fuel and essential stores to supply vessels as required.
Present wind is from the east at 25 knots and the swell is half a metre in Mermaid Sound. Cloud cover is increasing rapidly from the north and east.
Captain Vic Justice
Harbourmaster
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0707UTC 7 MARCH 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone George located within 25 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal three south [15.3S]
longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal six east [118.6E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 65 knots
Central pressure: 958 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles
by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 65 knots near centre increasing to 90 knots by 0600 UTC 08
March 2007.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 50 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre : winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas.
At 1800 UTC 07 March: Within 30 nautical miles of 16.3 south 117.0 east
Central pressure 944 hPa.
Winds to 80 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 08 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.7 south 115.4 east
Central pressure 932 hPa.
Winds to 90 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 07 March 2007.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0707UTC 7 MARCH 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone George located within 25 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal three south [15.3S]
longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal six east [118.6E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 65 knots
Central pressure: 958 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles
by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 65 knots near centre increasing to 90 knots by 0600 UTC 08
March 2007.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 105 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 50 nautical miles of
centre by 0000 UTC 08 March 2007:
winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre : winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas.
At 1800 UTC 07 March: Within 30 nautical miles of 16.3 south 117.0 east
Central pressure 944 hPa.
Winds to 80 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 08 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.7 south 115.4 east
Central pressure 932 hPa.
Winds to 90 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 07 March 2007.
WEATHER PERTH
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5597
- Age: 37
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
FORECAST DATA
REMARKS:
George has been relocated to the east on the basis of recent microwave imagery which now shows an emerging eye and greatly improved structure. Dvorak based on eye pattern at a strong 4.5 and further intensification is expected. Forecast intensity is held to the top end of category 4, however at this current development rate it is feasible that the system could reach category 5 prior to either landfall or reaching cooler SST off the northwest coast.
Despite the slow movement south or south southwest, models continue to move the system reasonably rapidly to the southwest in the next 48 hours. Adding to the uncertainty of model accuracy is the under representation of the sibling TC, Jacob in their analysis fields. Some models such as the UKMO have been excluded on the basis of the incorrect interaction between the two cyclones.
Code: Select all
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
(UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+12: 08/0000: 16.5S 118.5E: 050 (095): 085 (155): 942
+24: 08/1200: 17.6S 117.3E: 080 (150): 095 (175): 926
+36: 09/0000: 18.5S 116.3E: 110 (205): 105 (195): 912
+48: 09/1200: 19.2S 115.7E: 130 (240): 105 (195): 912REMARKS:
George has been relocated to the east on the basis of recent microwave imagery which now shows an emerging eye and greatly improved structure. Dvorak based on eye pattern at a strong 4.5 and further intensification is expected. Forecast intensity is held to the top end of category 4, however at this current development rate it is feasible that the system could reach category 5 prior to either landfall or reaching cooler SST off the northwest coast.
Despite the slow movement south or south southwest, models continue to move the system reasonably rapidly to the southwest in the next 48 hours. Adding to the uncertainty of model accuracy is the under representation of the sibling TC, Jacob in their analysis fields. Some models such as the UKMO have been excluded on the basis of the incorrect interaction between the two cyclones.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1307UTC 7 MARCH 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone George located within 20 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal seven south [15.7S]
longitude one hundred and nineteen decimal one east [119.1E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 4 knots
Maximum winds : 75 knots
Central pressure: 952 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 75 knots near centre increasing to 95 knots by 1200 UTC 08
March 2007.
Within 120 nautical miles of centre:
clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre:
winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre : winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas.
At 0000 UTC 08 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.5 south 118.5 east
Central pressure 942 hPa.
Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 08 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.6 south 117.3 east
Central pressure 926 hPa.
Winds to 95 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 07 March 2007.
WEATHER PERTH
George's Track
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1307UTC 7 MARCH 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone George located within 20 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal seven south [15.7S]
longitude one hundred and nineteen decimal one east [119.1E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 4 knots
Maximum winds : 75 knots
Central pressure: 952 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 75 knots near centre increasing to 95 knots by 1200 UTC 08
March 2007.
Within 120 nautical miles of centre:
clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre:
winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre : winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas.
At 0000 UTC 08 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.5 south 118.5 east
Central pressure 942 hPa.
Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 08 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.6 south 117.3 east
Central pressure 926 hPa.
Winds to 95 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 07 March 2007.
WEATHER PERTH
George's Track
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 30
Issued at 1:05 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Pardoo to Mardie.
A CYCLONE WATCH is current for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Mardie.
At 12:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
460 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
555 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south southwest at 13 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has shown recent movement to the south southwest
and slowed in speed. The system has intensified during Wednesday and further
development is expected as it approaches the Pilbara coastline.
Gales with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop in central Pilbara
coastal areas between Pardoo and Mardie later on Thursday extending to areas
further west towards Exmouth during Friday and possibly Coral Bay later in the
day.
On Friday, DESTRUCTUVE winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour may develop
on the Pilbara coast as the system nears the coast.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 12:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 16.2 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south southwest at 13 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 952 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
The next advice will be issued by 4:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
___________________________________________________________________
Another push by Mother Nature and a Cat. 4 (Australian Scale) is born.
Issued at 1:05 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Pardoo to Mardie.
A CYCLONE WATCH is current for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Mardie.
At 12:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
460 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
555 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south southwest at 13 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has shown recent movement to the south southwest
and slowed in speed. The system has intensified during Wednesday and further
development is expected as it approaches the Pilbara coastline.
Gales with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop in central Pilbara
coastal areas between Pardoo and Mardie later on Thursday extending to areas
further west towards Exmouth during Friday and possibly Coral Bay later in the
day.
On Friday, DESTRUCTUVE winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour may develop
on the Pilbara coast as the system nears the coast.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 12:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 16.2 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south southwest at 13 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 952 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
The next advice will be issued by 4:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
___________________________________________________________________
Another push by Mother Nature and a Cat. 4 (Australian Scale) is born.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 31
Issued at 4:05 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Wallal to Onslow and adjacent inland parts.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends further south to include Coral Bay, Mt Augustus and
Newman.
At 3:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
405 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
505 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 15 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has intensified and may reach category 4 intensity
today with wind gusts to 250 kilometres per hour near the centre.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop along he central
and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Wallal and Mardie during today
extending to areas further south and west on Friday and Saturday.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 250 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding are likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 3:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 16.7 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 15 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal and
Onslow including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha, Dampier and Onslow
should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 7:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
_______________________________________________________
Pressure down two hectopascals.
Issued at 4:05 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Wallal to Onslow and adjacent inland parts.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends further south to include Coral Bay, Mt Augustus and
Newman.
At 3:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
405 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
505 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 15 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has intensified and may reach category 4 intensity
today with wind gusts to 250 kilometres per hour near the centre.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop along he central
and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Wallal and Mardie during today
extending to areas further south and west on Friday and Saturday.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 250 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding are likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 3:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 16.7 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 15 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal and
Onslow including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha, Dampier and Onslow
should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 7:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
_______________________________________________________
Pressure down two hectopascals.
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Coredesat
-
AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 32
Issued at 6:50 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Wallal to Onslow and extending inland to Tom Price.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends further south to include Coral Bay, Mt Augustus and
Newman.
At 6:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
350 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
455 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 19 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has only intensified slowly overnight though may still
reach category 4 intensity today.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop along
central and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Wallal and Mardie during today
extending to areas further south and west on Friday and Saturday.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 235 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding is likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 6:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 17.2 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 19 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal
and Mardie including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha and Dampier
should be taking action in preparation for the cyclone's arrival.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Mardie and
Onslow should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 10:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
Issued at 6:50 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Wallal to Onslow and extending inland to Tom Price.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends further south to include Coral Bay, Mt Augustus and
Newman.
At 6:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
350 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
455 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 19 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has only intensified slowly overnight though may still
reach category 4 intensity today.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop along
central and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Wallal and Mardie during today
extending to areas further south and west on Friday and Saturday.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 235 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding is likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 6:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 17.2 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 19 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal
and Mardie including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha and Dampier
should be taking action in preparation for the cyclone's arrival.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Mardie and
Onslow should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 10:00 am WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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- Age: 38
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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 33
Issued at 10:00 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is now current for coastal
areas from Onslow to Broome, extending inland to include Tom Price, Marble Bar
and Nullagine.
A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Onslow, and
extending into the southern Pilbara and northern Gascoyne to include Newman and
Mt Augustus.
At 9:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
305 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
415 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 16 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has only intensified slowly overnight though it may
still reach category 4 intensity today.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop along
central and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Bidyadanga and Mardie during
today extending to areas further south and west tonight.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 235 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding are likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
Wallal and Dampier.
Residents on the coast between Wallal and Dampier including Port Hedland and
Karratha, Dampier and Roebourne are specifically warned of the potential of a
very dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. Tides are likely to
rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with very dangerous flooding
and damaging waves.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 9:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 17.6 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 16 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal
and Mardie including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha and Dampier
should be taking action in readiness for the cyclone's arrival.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Mardie and
Onslow and between Wallal and Broome should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 1:00 pm WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
Issued at 10:00 am WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is now current for coastal
areas from Onslow to Broome, extending inland to include Tom Price, Marble Bar
and Nullagine.
A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Onslow, and
extending into the southern Pilbara and northern Gascoyne to include Newman and
Mt Augustus.
At 9:00 am WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be
305 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
415 kilometres north northeast of Karratha
and moving south at 16 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone George has moved southwards overnight taking it closer
to the coast. The system has only intensified slowly overnight though it may
still reach category 4 intensity today.
GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop along
central and eastern Pilbara coastal areas between Bidyadanga and Mardie during
today extending to areas further south and west tonight.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with wind gusts to 235 kilometres per hour may develop
along the central Pilbara coast overnight tonight or Friday morning as the
cyclone approaches.
Widespread heavy rain and flooding are likely across the Pilbara in the next two
days.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
Wallal and Dampier.
Residents on the coast between Wallal and Dampier including Port Hedland and
Karratha, Dampier and Roebourne are specifically warned of the potential of a
very dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. Tides are likely to
rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with very dangerous flooding
and damaging waves.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 9:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of
latitude 17.6 south longitude 119.0 east
Recent movement : south at 16 kilometres per hour
Central Pressure : 950 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 195 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3
FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Wallal
and Mardie including Port Hedland, Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha and Dampier
should be taking action in readiness for the cyclone's arrival.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Mardie and
Onslow and between Wallal and Broome should commence taking precautions.
The next advice will be issued by 1:00 pm WDT Thursday 08 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
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Another pounding cyclone along the NW Coast. TC George is rapidly intensifying. Amazing deepening is occuring as the eye wall explodes with convection. Brings back memories of Rita and Katrina wrapping up into a very powerful storm.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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