T0701 (KONG-REY)
Issued at 00:00 UTC 1 Apr 2007
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010000UTC 09.7N 152.8E FAIR
MOVE NW 21KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 020000UTC 12.0N 147.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
48HF 030000UTC 14.2N 143.1E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
72HF 040000UTC 17.0N 140.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
NWP: Developed Low former TS Kong-rey
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
WTPN31 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 152.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 152.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 10.9N 150.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 12.1N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 13.3N 146.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 14.6N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 17.5N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 19.5N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.1N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 152.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 01W HAS INTENSIFIED AT A GREATER
THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 14 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.
//
NNNN
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 152.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 152.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 10.9N 150.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 12.1N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 13.3N 146.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 14.6N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 17.5N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 19.5N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.1N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 152.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 01W HAS INTENSIFIED AT A GREATER
THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 14 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.
//
NNNN
0 likes
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
200 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
...TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY MOVING QUICKLY TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.4
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 160 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FANANU
575 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND ROTA
580 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
KONG-REY IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY TO NEAR TYPHOON INTENSITY
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 80
TO 120 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AND BETWEEN 60 TO 80 MILES
SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DAMAGING WIND REACHING THE MARIANAS BY
EARLY MONDAY EVENING. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
ISLANDS WITHIN THE PATH OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE FEATURE CAN EXPECT
BETWEEN 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN.
A TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT. RESIDENTS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KONG-REY AS IT APPROACHES THE
MARIANAS.
REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND 152.4 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 50 MPH.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
8 PM GUAM LST.
$$
EDSON
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
200 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
...TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY MOVING QUICKLY TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.4
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 160 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FANANU
575 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND ROTA
580 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
KONG-REY IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY TO NEAR TYPHOON INTENSITY
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 80
TO 120 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AND BETWEEN 60 TO 80 MILES
SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DAMAGING WIND REACHING THE MARIANAS BY
EARLY MONDAY EVENING. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
ISLANDS WITHIN THE PATH OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE FEATURE CAN EXPECT
BETWEEN 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN.
A TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT. RESIDENTS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KONG-REY AS IT APPROACHES THE
MARIANAS.
REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND 152.4 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 50 MPH.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
8 PM GUAM LST.
$$
EDSON
0 likes
WTPQ31 PGUM 010710
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
500 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
..TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA..TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY.
AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.1
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 185 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
110 MILES NORTH OF FANANU
540 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
545 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...AND MAY BECOME A TYPHOON BY MONDAY
MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUT TO 85 MILES
FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 152.1 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
50 MPH.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
11 PM.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
TCCOR 3 has been issued for Guam as well.
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
500 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
..TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA..TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY.
AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.1
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 185 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
110 MILES NORTH OF FANANU
540 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
545 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...AND MAY BECOME A TYPHOON BY MONDAY
MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUT TO 85 MILES
FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 152.1 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
50 MPH.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
11 PM.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
TCCOR 3 has been issued for Guam as well.
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Previous 72 hour forecast is up to 60kts now.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010900UTC 10.3N 151.6E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 020900UTC 12.7N 146.3E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 030600UTC 14.7N 142.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 040600UTC 17.6N 141.1E 290NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010900UTC 10.3N 151.6E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 020900UTC 12.7N 146.3E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 030600UTC 14.7N 142.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 040600UTC 17.6N 141.1E 290NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Note this is the earliest storm formation since Sudal (0401) which was upgraded on the 5th April. That went on to peak at 90kts with a centre pressure of 940hPa.
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/200401.html.en
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/200401.html.en
0 likes
WTPQ31 PGUM 011009
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
800 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
..TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY TRACKING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST...A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...
ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
140 MILES NORTH OF FANANU
500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
505 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON ON
MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUT TO 85 MILES
FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 151.6 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
50 MPH.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 2 AM MONDAY MORNING.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
800 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
..TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY TRACKING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...
AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST...A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...
ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN.
AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
140 MILES NORTH OF FANANU
500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
505 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON ON
MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUT TO 85 MILES
FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 151.6 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
50 MPH.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 2 AM MONDAY MORNING.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
0 likes
WTPQ20 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 10.4N 151.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
30KT 160NM
FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 12.7N 146.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
48HF 031200UTC 15.0N 142.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 041200UTC 18.0N 141.6E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT =
Up to 45 kt.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 10.4N 151.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
30KT 160NM
FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 12.7N 146.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
48HF 031200UTC 15.0N 142.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 041200UTC 18.0N 141.6E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT =
Up to 45 kt.
0 likes
GUZ001-002-003-004-011700-
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
1115 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AND STORM INFORMATION
...GUAM NOW IN CONDITION OF READINESS 2...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...EXPECTED BY MONDAY NIGHT.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 505 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING ERRATICALLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT AN
AVERAGE SPEED OF 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH.
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT 9 PM...THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
ALL GOVGUAM EMPLOYEES ARE TO REPORT TO WORK MONDAY TO SECURE THEIR
WORK SITES AND IMPLEMENT DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLANS. UNLESS ADVISED
OTHERWISE...GOVERNMENT OFFICES WILL REMAIN OPEN.
ROTA REMAINS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION OF READINESS 3.
BEGIN PREPARATIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. INSTALL TYPHOON
SHUTTERS BEFORE DAMAGING WINDS ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT. CHECK THE
CONTENTS OF YOUR DISASTER SUPPLIES KIT. FILL YOUR CAR WITH GAS.
SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS AROUND YOUR YARD.
GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. CHECK SUPPLIES OF
PRESCRIPTION DRUGS. EXPECTANT MOTHERS SHOULD MAKE ARRANGEMENTS WITH
THE HOSPITAL IF NECESSARY. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN.
...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED AS EARLY AS MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH TYPHOON FORCE WINDS LIKELY TUESDAY ALONG THE TRACK OF
KONG-REY.
...COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION...
STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED AS KONG-REY
PASSES THROUGH THE ISLANDS.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES MAY PRODUCE LOCAL FLOODING IN LOW-LYING
AREAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 AM MONDAY MORNING.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR
UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BULLETINS. FOR GUAM AND ROTA...NOAA
WEATHER RADIO IS BROADCAST AT 162.40 MHZ AND IS AVAILABLE ON GUAM BY
CALLING 211. ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AT
162.55 MHZ OR ON THE LOCAL CABLE TV.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
1115 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 1 2007
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AND STORM INFORMATION
...GUAM NOW IN CONDITION OF READINESS 2...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...EXPECTED BY MONDAY NIGHT.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 505 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM/ROTA
510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN/SAIPAN.
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY IS MOVING ERRATICALLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT AN
AVERAGE SPEED OF 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH.
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT 9 PM...THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
ALL GOVGUAM EMPLOYEES ARE TO REPORT TO WORK MONDAY TO SECURE THEIR
WORK SITES AND IMPLEMENT DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLANS. UNLESS ADVISED
OTHERWISE...GOVERNMENT OFFICES WILL REMAIN OPEN.
ROTA REMAINS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION OF READINESS 3.
BEGIN PREPARATIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. INSTALL TYPHOON
SHUTTERS BEFORE DAMAGING WINDS ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT. CHECK THE
CONTENTS OF YOUR DISASTER SUPPLIES KIT. FILL YOUR CAR WITH GAS.
SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS AROUND YOUR YARD.
GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. CHECK SUPPLIES OF
PRESCRIPTION DRUGS. EXPECTANT MOTHERS SHOULD MAKE ARRANGEMENTS WITH
THE HOSPITAL IF NECESSARY. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN.
...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED AS EARLY AS MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH TYPHOON FORCE WINDS LIKELY TUESDAY ALONG THE TRACK OF
KONG-REY.
...COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION...
STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED AS KONG-REY
PASSES THROUGH THE ISLANDS.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES MAY PRODUCE LOCAL FLOODING IN LOW-LYING
AREAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 AM MONDAY MORNING.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR
UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BULLETINS. FOR GUAM AND ROTA...NOAA
WEATHER RADIO IS BROADCAST AT 162.40 MHZ AND IS AVAILABLE ON GUAM BY
CALLING 211. ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AT
162.55 MHZ OR ON THE LOCAL CABLE TV.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
0 likes
-
Typhoon Hunter
- WesternPacificWeather.com
- Posts: 1221
- Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
- Location: Tokyo
- Contact:
!
Here's the latest satellite bulletin in my inbox:
WWPN20 KNES 011528
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
MTSAT IRNIGHT WEST PACIFIC OCEAN
.
APRIL 01 2007
.
11.2N 151.0E T3.5/3.5/D2.0/24HRS KONG-REY(01W)
.
PAST POSITIONS... 9.9N 152.2E 01/0233Z VIS/IRDAY
8.0N 153.8E 31/1433Z IRNIGHT
REMARKS....8/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET IS 2.5 AND PT IS
3.0. FT OF 3.5 BASED ON DT.
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 01/2200Z.
Here's a note on the name:
KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
WWPN20 KNES 011528
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
MTSAT IRNIGHT WEST PACIFIC OCEAN
.
APRIL 01 2007
.
11.2N 151.0E T3.5/3.5/D2.0/24HRS KONG-REY(01W)
.
PAST POSITIONS... 9.9N 152.2E 01/0233Z VIS/IRDAY
8.0N 153.8E 31/1433Z IRNIGHT
REMARKS....8/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET IS 2.5 AND PT IS
3.0. FT OF 3.5 BASED ON DT.
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 01/2200Z.
Here's a note on the name:
KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
0 likes
-
JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
Typhoon Hunter
- WesternPacificWeather.com
- Posts: 1221
- Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
- Location: Tokyo
- Contact:
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/tc/wnp/tcname.html
http://www.tcsphilippines.org/docs/LIST ... 0NAMES.pdf
Page 6
Kong-rey is pronounced, Kong-rey.
http://www.tcsphilippines.org/docs/LIST ... 0NAMES.pdf
Page 6
Kong-rey is pronounced, Kong-rey.
0 likes
-
Typhoon Hunter
- WesternPacificWeather.com
- Posts: 1221
- Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
- Location: Tokyo
- Contact:
!
I'm a moron!! Damn April Fools!!
Well if it's any consolation I posted my response at 0006 2nd April - so technically I ain't a fool!
Well if it's any consolation I posted my response at 0006 2nd April - so technically I ain't a fool!
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Upgraded.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0701 KONG-REY (0701) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 10.9N 150.8E FAIR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 13.9N 147.4E 80NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
48HF 031800UTC 18.2N 144.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 041800UTC 22.8N 147.5E 290NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0701 KONG-REY (0701) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 10.9N 150.8E FAIR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 13.9N 147.4E 80NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
48HF 031800UTC 18.2N 144.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 041800UTC 22.8N 147.5E 290NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT =
0 likes
WTPQ30 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR STS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
POSITION ACCURACY AT 020000 UTC IS FAIR.
STS WILL THEN ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
STS WILL RECURVE WITHIN 60 HOURS FROM 020000 UTC.
STS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTHEAST.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
STS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FI-NUMBER WILL BE 4.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR STS 0701 KONG-REY (0701)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
POSITION ACCURACY AT 020000 UTC IS FAIR.
STS WILL THEN ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
STS WILL RECURVE WITHIN 60 HOURS FROM 020000 UTC.
STS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTHEAST.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
STS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FI-NUMBER WILL BE 4.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Stratton23 and 62 guests