INVEST 92L SE GOM [NRL: 02L.BARRY], waiting for 5 pm NHC

[cpdaman]

djones65

VERY very well put together post

and for the reason's mentioned above they should do what you said and they will IMO 2 many people dont see the big picture

[CrazyC83]

Technically it would mean 2007 has a 27 day lead on 2005 to form it's third storm.


I shudder to think it'll be as significant a storm as Hurricane Cindy. Currently shear is high and I'm very much fine with a 25 day lull of storm activity when "Barry" makes his appearance.

It has the subtropical jet stream ahead of it - I think it will be lucky to make it to Florida while still a tropical cyclone...

[Weatherfreak000]

I was referring to the coming third system Crazy, not Barry I understand all that.


Sorry for the confusion.

[Weatherboy1]

latest couple of satellite shots show some convection trying to fire just to the N of the center of this thing (which is easy to see because it's exposed). Definitely looks like Barry to me.

[windstorm99]

This is quite amazing if it gets a name and really hope its not a sign of things to come.

[MiamiensisWx]

I believe that we will have Barry by 5 p.m. EDT. NRL now indicates that we have 2L.NONAME (Barry). See this link.

[Category 5]

Well defined center. A bit exposed but well defined.

I think theres a good chance this will become Barry. In what form is still to be decided.

[cpdaman]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

[miamicanes177]

NRL now says 02L.NONAME!!!!!!

[Aric Dunn]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

.


its is closed off

[artist]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

I do believe recon found a closed off center- thus the vortex message and it is warm core thus tropical

[sevenleft]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

Que?

[tallywx]

In California parlance (where I spent 5 years of my recent life), a west wind at 40 mph is not just closed off, but "hella" closed off. No question about it.

[TrekkerCC]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

It will be a tropical storm as per the VDM, the center is warmer than the outside surroundings.

[cpdaman]

my bad fellas then 5 o'clock it is

[cycloneye]

Until there is official word from NHC about upgrading this system,this thread will continue open as invest 92L.If the official word comes,then this thresd is locked and a new TD2 or Tropical or subtropical storm Barry will be made.

[Bgator]

So where do you guys think it is going? Tampa?

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

So, now it comes... do I go to sleep tonite, or is this my first all-nighter pulled at S2K this year?! haha

After the suprising overnighter that Alberto pulled last year when I decided to go to sleep...I think I may have to stay up for this one!

[artist]

Isn't this system near the loop current or just past it?

[benny]

subtropical storm barry will be the name if the south side of the circulation closes off

I do believe recon found a closed off center- thus the vortex message and it is warm core thus tropical

The biggest question mark is the wind structure... if you noticed when the plane was flying in.. the winds were southwesterly aloft on the east side of the circulation... certainly not a tropical characteristic. only when the plane got very low did the winds shift. It could either either TS or STS Barry.. I'm sure there is a spirited debate going on...