Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

#421 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 12, 2007 2:48 pm

TD 7, 2002: Hours after forming

Are you kidding me, if that's a tropical depression, then Andrea is just being ignored, unbelievable.

#422 Postby **curtadams** » Sat May 12, 2007 2:51 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Hurry NHC! Andrea really wants your attention now! If this isn't a TD then I don't know what it is.

With a CDO like that the question is becoming "is it a TS?" Big round central CDOs usually suggest a mid-strength TS.

#423 Postby **drezee** » Sat May 12, 2007 2:53 pm

HURAKAN wrote:TD 7, 2002: Hours after forming

Are you kidding me, if that's a tropical depression, then Andrea is just being ignored, unbelievable.

As they say...IT'S THE WEEKEND BABY!!!!

wxmann_91 · #424 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat May 12, 2007 2:57 pm

It has really captured my attention.... looks good.

I'm banking that they will reupgrade Andrea at 21Z.

#425 Postby **Downdraft** » Sat May 12, 2007 2:58 pm

Maybe we should give it a "B" name so we can say it's not even June and we are up two. It's embedding itself and going to move out to sea and over colder water pretty quickly. It's up to the NHC but Andrea has had it's 15 minutes of fame as far as I'm concerned. Unless it regenerated to a full blown tropical storm I'd let it die a quiet death and get ready for the real season that's coming up soon. An interesting preface to the season but nothing more. Don't start buying out the canned ravoli just yet Florida.

HurricaneHunter914 · #426 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:00 pm

curtadams wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Hurry NHC! Andrea really wants your attention now! If this isn't a TD then I don't know what it is.

With a CDO like that the question is becoming "is it a TS?" Big round central CDOs usually suggest a mid-strength TS.

I was going to say TS, but I thought someone was going to disagree, so I said TD instead. I hope the NHC is watching her right now, she should be upgraded soon.

#427 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:02 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:It has really captured my attention.... looks good.

I'm banking that they will reupgrade Andrea at 21Z.

If you see another Special Tropical Disturbance Statement before 21z or 5 PM EDTwhere among the sentences,they say that advisories will resume on Andrea at 5 PM EDT,then bank of it.

#428 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:02 pm

If they decided to upgrade TD 10 in 2004 that was in the middle of the North Atlantic and already dying, then Andrea should be given a similar recognition.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #429 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:12 pm

Theres little question that its a depression or tropical storm right now. Nice cdo looks as good as it ever has...Really if they upgraded it the first time they surely should upgrade it now. We will see.

I will go look at more satellites to make sure that I don't look bad for saying the above. But looking at the stalls, I say easly.

Opal storm · #430 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:14 pm

Lay off the NHC, they're the pros we aren't. They will upgrade it when they feel its necassary, just be patient guys and see what happens.

#431 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:15 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Theres little question that its a depression or tropical storm right now. Nice cdo looks as good as it ever has...Really if they upgraded it the first time they surely should upgrade it now. We will see.

The first time we had recon also though...Anyone know what the local buoys are reporting? (if there are any there)

HurricaneHunter914 · #432 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:16 pm

If the NHC states in the next update that this system has the chance to become a TD in the next 12 hrs, then they are sadly wrong because this is a TS right NOW!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #433 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:16 pm

Opal storm wrote:Lay off the NHC, they're the pros we aren't. They will upgrade it when they feel its necassary, just be patient guys and see what happens.

We are here to discuse tropical cyclones, I just think its part of the discussion to discuse whats what? I'm not really bashing the nhc but saying my own option.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #434 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:17 pm

This area of low pressure has sure shown some
impressive convection...
Looks like a Tropical Storm, but I am no
expert. I'll wait to see what the NHC says.

artist · #435 Postby **artist** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:19 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:If the NHC states in the next update that this system has the chance to become a TD in the next 12 hrs, then they are sadly wrong because this is a TS right NOW!

Do you have acess to the all the info the NHC has? It is statements like this that brought about the strong restrictions on what could be discussed last year. If we don't want that to happen, I think it is a good idea to be a little easier on the powers that be. We don't even know yet what they will do at the next update time. Or know what type of data they have that we don't. Just my honest opinion.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #436 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:22 pm

Really looking at satellite the LLC is slightly displaced 50 miles or so from the center of the convection. But I don't see any reason why that should stop this from being upgraded,,,,This system reminds me of tropical storm Bonnie as it was moving at the gulf coast 2004, and Barry 2001. Yes it has some shear moving the convection off place, and I think the nhc is scared to upgrade based on the last few fall aparts.

#437 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:22 pm

ANDREA, KEEP IT UP!!!

#438 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:27 pm

I think the nhc is scared to upgrade based on the last few fall aparts.

Easy my friend.NHC does it's job based on scientific data and not on the court of public opinion.They know very well when to upgrade a system or not.

jaxfladude · #439 Postby **jaxfladude** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:
I think the nhc is scared to upgrade based on the last few fall aparts.

Easy my friend.NHC does it's job based on scientific data and not on the court of public opinion.They know very well when to upgrade a system or not.

#440 Postby **AnnularCane** » Sat May 12, 2007 3:33 pm

I'm as impatient as anybody to see an upgrade. But they will probably do so when they have enough data.

Andrea looks ready for anything! She is PUMPED!

Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

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