Invest 90L:East Atlantic,Discussions,Analysis and Sat Pics

[hurricanefloyd5]

wow look at the wave behide 90L

[cycloneye]

wow look at the wave behide 90L

When you say a oneliner like that,a link is needed to show what you are saying.

[EyELeSs1]

this definitely appears to be a TD now.... lets wait for vis for the upgrade and then maybe tomorrow i can start making necessary preparations

[Aric Dunn]

wow look at the wave behide 90L

When you say a oneliner like that,a link is needed to show what you are saying.

i'll post it for him ... the wave exiting the coast ahs a clear low level circ ... and the wave even farther back but lower lat is alos strong
\
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

[hurricanefloyd5]

wow look at the wave behide 90L

When you say a oneliner like that,a link is needed to show what you are saying.

I am truely sorry cycloneye

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

At this point, I don't think west florida has anything to worry about as far as a direct hit. There just isn't a strong front in the forecast and the ridge doesn't look like it will be in the position to have a system do any more than travel north alon gits periphery if it does break down in the gulf. There would be such a slight possibility of a storm running parallel up the west coast, but not a turn inward aka Charlie path looks possible with teh synoptics setting up. Of course, this doesn't mean that the west coast would be completely off the hook if a storm impacted SE florida first and then traversed the state, emerging out the west side and then traveling on to other gulf points aka frances or jeane. This looks very possible or else a more southern route that could very likely miss florida altogether. In any case, I predict that the storm's motion will be going predominently wnw once it hits the carribean, as it follows the periphery of the ridge, which indications are pointing to now as being pretty well established over much of the northern half of florida and the eastern gulf -and possibly all of florida at the time that Dean is around. I strongly believe that points from AL to Texas have to watch for this one, whether they are getting 1st impact , or it second hand after crossing florida first. The gulf is so warm that any storm will quickly reintensify if land diminished it a little first.
I think Dean will be a retired name after this run. The prognosis doesn't currently show anything that would preclude this from becoming a powerful storm.

[RL3AO]

The sun is about 4 hours away from 10N 30W. So we should have visibles around 4:40am.

[chadtm80]

More importantly you need to stop with the nonsense posts. We have told you repeatedly. Have you not realized how many of your posts we have had to remove today? Suspension is looming

[Aric Dunn]

this is off topic .. but dont miss the persied meteor shower !! 12:30 to till dawn is the peak

[Stormtrack03]

Would be very surprised if it wasnt classified as TD or TS by morning.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This is very well organized, and is likely to intensify to
at least a tropical storm the next 2-3 days. The
ocean heat content will support strengthening:
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

[Aric Dunn]

wow this system (aka soon to be dean ) is starting to develop much better outflow on the east side!!!!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
Look at that region that supports sub-900 mb maximum
potential.

I would say that rapid intensification is very likely if organization
continues. If the outflow stays healthy we could get a very
severe system.

[Sanibel]

No doubt Aric. This one is launching from the blocks.

[RL3AO]

It is hard to ever say rapid intensification is ever likely. The conditions aren't that good.

[mgpetre]

Aric,

I'm trying to watch the Perseids tonight, but I'm on the south side of houston, so I'm not so sure how much I'll get out of it. Right now I'm really missing rural Mississippi. Would you mind keeping us posted on how the meteor viewing is going your way? Perhaps a different thread here? I know it's not weather related, but so many of us are night owls and astronomy buffs too... What do you think. BTW, I still believe the Carribean is just as important for us to watch as 90L.

Out of curiosity, do the Sats ever pic up a meteor as it is crossing the field of view? I've never seen this, but do suppose it could happen...

[boca]

If 90L develops into a powerful system wouldn't it cause it to move more poleward due to the upper levels of the atmosphere.

[RL3AO]

If 90L develops into a powerful system wouldn't it cause it to move more poleward due to the upper levels of the atmosphere.

According to the Pro Mets, it won't recurve.

[boca]

If 90L develops into a powerful system wouldn't it cause it to move more poleward due to the upper levels of the atmosphere.

According to the Pro Mets, it won't recurve.

Actually I meant to say a more WNW track rather than the west track that the GFS has been showing.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I went out on a limb there but I felt that that heat content was something
that was certainly remarkable...and of course there are other conditions. So
based on the shear, moisture content, etc. we will see what happens.
I hope this does not intensify because it poses a threat to the islands...
But I am still very concerned about the heat content...rarely is it that
high across the central atlantic.

And this is very important for those in the islands...the heat
content factor. Shear, moisture, and organization will play
roles. Also, if feedback from the system enhances the high
to the north and that enhances conditions for the system that would
be of concern.