TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[deltadog03]

yeah, its happened before...i could very well happen...look how this recent trof was "suppose" to effect the south...hmmm..didn;'t

[gkrangers]

658
WHXX04 KWBC 250521
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM KATRINA 12L

INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 25

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 25.9 77.7 290./ 8.0
6 26.1 78.3 281./ 5.6
12 26.0 78.5 255./ 2.1
18 25.8 78.8 231./ 3.6
24 25.4 78.8 183./ 4.0
30 25.2 79.1 248./ 3.0
36 25.2 79.6 263./ 4.4
42 25.0 80.1 253./ 4.9
48 25.0 80.5 260./ 3.8
54 25.0 81.1 280./ 5.4
60 25.4 81.7 300./ 6.7
66 25.7 82.5 293./ 7.2
72 26.0 83.1 296./ 6.7
78 26.4 83.7 300./ 6.7
84 27.0 84.4 311./ 8.9
90 27.7 85.0 320./ 8.5
96 28.4 85.4 332./ 7.4
102 29.1 85.8 334./ 8.3
108 30.1 85.9 350./ 9.7
114 31.1 85.9 1./10.2
120 32.2 85.6 16./10.6
126 33.2 85.3 17./11.3

[JTD]

Question:

Does anyone have the ability to tell me how strong Andrew's ridge was in 1992 compared to the ridge we have right now? If one has a decibar comparision, that would be most helpful.

NOTE: I AM IN NO WAY COMPARING KATRINE TO ANDREW INTENSITY WISE-ONLY RIDGE WISE.

[gkrangers]

The NEW 00z GFDL still does the crazy south movement.

Not sure of the intensity yet.

[SouthFloridawx]

[SouthFloridawx]

The NEW 00z GFDL still does the crazy south movement.

Not sure of the intensity yet.

so does the MM5

[artist]

good rain starting here in Palm Beach county

[jpigott]

my dogs are restless tonight. If they ever get up in the middle of the night i take them out b/c they got to go to the bathroom. Tonight i have taken my 6 mo. old puppy out and all he does is just sit outside in the grass and whine. seems like he senses something is out there

[artist]

where are you located?

[weatherSnoop]

I just have to know! What breed/combination is the lil tyke?
Slightly weather related

[ConvergenceZone]

my dogs are restless tonight. If they ever get up in the middle of the night i take them out b/c they got to go to the bathroom. Tonight i have taken my 6 mo. old puppy out and all he does is just sit outside in the grass and whine. seems like he senses something is out there

yea, it's pretty wild how animals can detect pressure drops in the atmosphere. I guess it's kinda like our aches and pains. We know something is something .

[jpigott]

i have two siberian huskies. a 4yr old female and a 6 mo. old male. The little one seems to have finally gone to sleep, but he has definetley acted strangely tonight. i'm located in palm beach gardens, approx. 5-7 miles north of west palm beach

[Recurve]

The 48 hour position of that model is directly...over...my...house. 25.0 80.5

Not worried, it's a TS. But if it strengthens, I will know that the weather God hates me.

Good thing I've got gas, and cash, and doggie downers. Bear (chow mix mutt) has been as a little restless, and he never notices weather at all.

[weatherSnoop]

Not sure I would notice a difference in mine! lol. They always act strangely. I must admit we displace them to a "safer house" early on if there is a threat.

[wayoutfront]

well getting back on the topic



Conditions at SPGF1 as of
(2:00 am EDT)
0600 GMT on 08/25/2005:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone:

Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.
5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): NNE ( 30 deg true )
Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 25 kts
Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 28 kts
Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.78 in
Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.06 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 77.7 °F
Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 74.5 °F
Heat Index Heat Index (HEAT): 79.9 °F
Wind Speed, Wind Gust and Atmospheric Pressure Combined plot of Wind Speed, Gust, and Air Pressure

Continuous Winds TIME
(EDT) Wind Direction WDIR Wind Speed WSPD
2:00 am NE ( 39 deg ) 26 kts
1:50 am NE ( 52 deg ) 25 kts
1:40 am NE ( 52 deg ) 27 kts
1:30 am NE ( 45 deg ) 25 kts
1:20 am NE ( 34 deg ) 22 kts
1:10 am NE ( 40 deg ) 19 kts

[weatherSnoop]

I click and nothing happens...Guess I will follow the animals' lead and hit the hay for the night.

[wayoutfront]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Florida.shtml

the map was to let you know where the buoy is

[gkrangers]

Western side of the circulation is still having trouble wrapping around according to the Miami radar.

Note:

The 00z ECMWF runs north up the gulf coast of the Florida Peninsula.

That may encourage the NHC to shift track to the right some more....

[weatherSnoop]

I noticed it was having trouble closing up. Looking at WP loops, I think that will be a short term problem. What do I know? Very Little. I appreciate the thought of those with more knowledge.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

TPNT KGWC 250730
A. TROPICAL STORM KATRINA (TWELVE)
B. 25/0531Z (73)
C. 25.8N/5
D. 78.3W/8
E. FIVE/GOES12
F. T2.5/3.0/D0.5/30HRS -25/0531Z-
G. IR/EIR

38A/ PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .40 USING THE LOG10 SPIRAL
GIVING A DT OF 2.5. FT IS BASED ON DT, PT AND MET AGREE.

AODT: T4.3 (EMBEDDED CNTR CLD RGN)

ALEXANDER