Rita Recon Reports

dwg71 · #441 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:25 pm

Last NHC fix 23.1N 77W, lets see how that compares to next vortex...

dwg71 · #442 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:26 pm

Last NHC fix 23.1N 77W, lets see how that compares to next vortex...

Scorpion · #443 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:26 pm

Definitely weaker than anticipated. IMO maybe 991 mb or so. Storm isnt behaving. Backing off significantly on my intensity ideas.

#444 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:28 pm

jkt21787 wrote:51 knots max in that pass, not that impressive even for the weaker side.

I'm backing off my hurricane predicition for right now.

Pressure will be critical as the winds may need some time to respond.

#445 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:30 pm

jkt21787 wrote:51 knots max in that pass, not that impressive even for the weaker side.

I'm backing off my hurricane predicition for right now.

Pressure will be critical as the winds may need some time to respond.

Website · #446 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:30 pm

This has got to be a hurricane... I'm sorry folks.

#447 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:30 pm

it's looking very ominious on satellite pics. It's got to be a hurricane. If not by 11am, surely by an intermediate 2am advisory. She has the perfect environment right now. :eek:

#448 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:34 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 200227
AF304 0818A RITA HDOB 21 KNHC
0216. 2324N 07751W 03046 0033 037 035 128 084 036 03126 0000000000
0217 2326N 07752W 03050 0036 037 033 122 088 034 03133 0000000000
0217. 2327N 07754W 03045 0038 042 034 118 096 035 03131 0000000000
0218 2328N 07755W 03050 0042 040 036 116 100 036 03139 0000000000
0218. 2329N 07757W 03046 0043 039 036 116 102 037 03136 0000000000
0219 2331N 07758W 03052 0045 048 039 112 098 040 03144 0000000000
0219. 2332N 07759W 03045 0048 051 041 108 098 041 03140 0000000000
0220 2333N 07801W 03049 0050 055 043 106 096 044 03147 0000000000
0220. 2334N 07802W 03046 0054 053 045 106 100 046 03148 0000000000
0221 2336N 07803W 03048 0059 039 043 106 106 044 03154 0000000000
0221. 2337N 07805W 03048 0061 039 043 112 112 044 03157 0000000000
0222 2338N 07806W 03052 0064 046 043 108 108 044 03163 0000000000
0222. 2339N 07807W 03046 0066 053 042 106 106 046 03160 0000000000
0223 2341N 07809W 03047 0069 057 049 106 106 051 03164 0000000000
0223. 2342N 07810W 03047 0072 058 052 104 104 053 03167 0000000000
0224 2343N 07812W 03048 0074 059 054 106 106 056 03169 0000000000
0224. 2345N 07813W 03049 0077 059 058 106 106 059 03173 0000000000
0225 2346N 07815W 03047 0082 058 059 110 074 059 03175 0000000000
0225. 2347N 07816W 03049 0086 055 057 110 068 059 03182 0000000000
0226 2349N 07817W 03049 0089 057 056 108 070 057 03185 0000000000

59kts.

superfly · #449 Postby **superfly** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:36 pm

Still no data to support above a 60 MPH TS.

Scorpion · #450 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:36 pm

No pressure reading?

soonertwister · #451 Postby **soonertwister** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:38 pm

Can we just observe the recon stuff, rather than cheerleading for a hurricane? I'm in zero mood to want another bad storm, the last one is going to make life a little tougher for most people in the country, and was devastating to those directly affected.

Be happy if recon finds winds of less than 55 knots. Personally, if she fell apart by tomorrow I couldn't be happier.

mtm4319 · #452 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:39 pm

23 degrees 46 minutes N, 78 degrees 15 minutes W: location of highest winds so far. (This isn't the center.)

#453 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:44 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 200237
AF304 0818A RITA HDOB 22 KNHC
0226. 2350N 07819W 03048 0091 060 056 106 072 057 03186 0000000100
0227 2351N 07820W 03049 0094 063 056 106 070 057 03191 0000000100
0227. 2353N 07822W 03047 0098 064 056 104 090 057 03192 0000000000
0228 2354N 07823W 03049 0100 065 052 104 094 054 03196 0000000000
0228. 2355N 07825W 03047 0102 065 050 106 082 051 03197 0000000000
0229 2357N 07826W 03048 0107 066 050 100 084 050 03202 0000000000
0229. 2358N 07828W 03048 0108 067 050 094 078 050 03204 0000000000
0230 2359N 07829W 03048 0110 070 052 090 086 052 03205 0000000000
0230. 2401N 07831W 03048 0110 071 053 088 088 054 03205 0000000000
0231 2402N 07832W 03048 0112 069 053 092 092 054 03207 0000000000
0231. 2403N 07834W 03049 0113 070 054 090 090 055 03210 0000000000
0232 2405N 07835W 03047 0115 070 051 088 088 053 03209 0000000000
0232. 2406N 07837W 03048 0115 072 053 086 086 054 03211 0000000000
0233 2408N 07838W 03049 0118 071 052 090 090 054 03214 0000000000
0233. 2409N 07840W 03047 0119 069 049 074 074 050 03213 0000000000
0234 2410N 07841W 03049 0120 066 052 078 078 053 03216 0000000000
0234. 2412N 07843W 03048 0121 066 056 076 076 057 03217 0000000000
0235 2413N 07844W 03046 0122 067 054 072 072 055 03216 0000000000
0235. 2414N 07845W 03050 0123 064 053 072 072 054 03221 0000000000
0236 2416N 07847W 03048 0124 063 054 066 066 056 03219 0000000100

Scorpion · #454 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:44 pm

Argh I want to go to sleep but the vortex isnt out yet.

Website · #455 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:46 pm

990 mb... 11pm. Still a TS.

#456 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:46 pm

399
URNT12 KNHC 200243
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 20/02:13:50Z
B. 23 deg 18 min N
077 deg 44 min W
C. 700 mb 3037 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 225 deg 051 kt
G. 141 deg 031 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 9 C/ 3053 m
J. 15 C/ 3050 m
K. 7 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF304 0818A RITA OB 04
MAX FL WIND 51 KT SE QUAD 02:05:00 Z
GOOD BANDING FEATURES CONSISTENT WITH FL CNTR
ABOUT 30 PERCENT EYE FEATURE SSE THRU SSW

jkt21787 · #457 Postby **jkt21787** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:47 pm

bombing cancel.

soonertwister · #458 Postby **soonertwister** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:48 pm

45 knot sustained, medium-strength TS.

Very good news.

Website · #459 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:50 pm

soonertwister wrote:45 knot sustained, medium-strength TS.

Very good news.

Uh no... it's VERY close to being a hurricane.

#460 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:52 pm

Brent wrote:
soonertwister wrote:45 knot sustained, medium-strength TS.

Very good news.

Uh no... it's VERY close to being a hurricane.

Also, that's the SE Quadrant, usually one of the weakest ones.

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