Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Website · #441 Postby **Brent** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:43 pm

I don't think the track will go much more north... certainly not north of Tampa.

#442 Postby **sponger** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:44 pm

Yep looking like a sw florida event. But alot can change in 5 days!

fasterdisaster · #443 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:46 pm

Oh God...Oh God..Oh God

Lol here in Miami.

#444 Postby **fci** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:55 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:Oh God...Oh God..Oh God

Lol here in Miami.

The track is moving more and more towards a big effect on Miami.

Bgator · #445 Postby **Bgator** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:57 pm

Here in miami im waiting a couple more days before i flip out, i had plans this weekend that may get ruined! All i can do is sit and watch the information that comes in!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #446 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:59 pm

This is a very tight compacted system. Deep convection/Cdo right over the center...With inflow moving in from all quads. WOW WOW WOW!!!

I would not be suprized if it was close to hurricane now...

This is not a Katrina or Rita but a Charley or 1935 Maybe a Andrew like storms.

floridahurricaneguy · #447 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:00 pm

South Florida gets everything! Not that I really want to come here and destroy something but I do want to do some local hurricane "chasing." Heck I probably wont even get off school up here.

Matt

Bgator · #448 Postby **Bgator** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:02 pm

We do not get everything this year has been opretty busy but not to much other than andrew and irene has come here, i want school off kinda too at same time i really dont want wilma to come!

CHRISTY · #449 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:02 pm

floridahurricaneguy · #450 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:03 pm

Bgator wrote:We do not get everything this year has been opretty busy but not to much other than andrew and irene has come here, i want school off kinda too at same time i really dont want wilma to come!

Well I mean that general area got Rita and Katrina.

Matt

fasterdisaster · #451 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:07 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I think it will peak around 145 mph west of Cuba or the extreme SE GOM and make landfall at 120 mph, maybe 125.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #452 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:09 pm

So faster around Katrina's landfall Strength??? I agree I think this maybe a hurricane with in the next 6 hours. In peak around the tip of Cuba around 140 or 145 mph. This could very well turn into a very powrful hurricane. A landfall about where Charley went in as 115 mph cat3.

#453 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:10 pm

00z GFS has Wilma coming out in the Yucatan Channel.

CHRISTY · #454 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:11 pm

can you post a link... thanks

fasterdisaster · #455 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:12 pm

A bad thing with the models shifting south and east today is the SSTs are warmer is the SE GOM than in the N GOM. So it would weaken, but maybe not as much as if it went towards say Apalachicola.

#456 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:14 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml
GFS link

Looks like it is following the NHC track

Dr Dvortex · #457 Postby **Dr Dvortex** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:27 pm

OH NO NO NO OH NO!!!!! Not another Charley..... Here comes the lack of sleep

#458 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:27 pm

wilma is looking better tonight wow

#459 Postby **fci** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:28 pm

canetracker wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml
GFS link

Looks like it is following the NHC track

Even a little further South than the NHC track.
This looks to go right up the Keys through SE Fla.

I really do think that models will continue to slide further South maybe even missing the Florida Peninsula entirely.

Each run seems to do so.

#460 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:29 pm

they will go farther south and then eventually farther north

Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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