Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #1

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senorpepr
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#441 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:02 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I don't expect a 28 storm season. But I do expect a 15 to 18 storm season. With a 180 to 200 mph cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico or two. But yes the SAL is weaker overall then it was last year. In shear over the central to eastern Atlatnic is to. In which should give us a nice cape verde season.


You expect a 180-200 mph cyclone in the GOM? What brings you to that idea?
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CHRISTY

#442 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:04 pm

Latest VISIBLE pic of the wave approaching the islands.

Image
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#443 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:12 pm

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#444 Postby WindRunner » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:26 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I looked at the models are there seems to be nothing to note. I'm bored with the tropics right now. No action in any basin currently.


Get used to it . . . it's only been 6 days without activity . . . that's nothing compared to the beginning of August last year . . . that was 3 weeks with about this much to watch IIRC.

Link: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

Nope, during those 3 weeks of August there were Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic, compared to right now where there are no TC's in the Atlantic.


Yeah . . . TS Harvey, whose best eye was present while he was an invest, tropical wave Irene, and the ever-exciting TD 10 - not one of which threatened land, and after the start last season had, people were complaining much more about the "lack of activity." Comparatively, more people were bored then then are now.
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#445 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:32 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I looked at the models are there seems to be nothing to note. I'm bored with the tropics right now. No action in any basin currently.


Get used to it . . . it's only been 6 days without activity . . . that's nothing compared to the beginning of August last year . . . that was 3 weeks with about this much to watch IIRC.

Link: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

Nope, during those 3 weeks of August there were Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic, compared to right now where there are no TC's in the Atlantic.




Yeah . . . TS Harvey, whose best eye was present while he was an invest, tropical wave Irene, and the ever-exciting TD 10 - not one of which threatened land, and after the start last season had, people were complaining much more about the "lack of activity." Comparatively, more people were bored then then are now.


TD 10 did effect land since it helped to develop Katrina!
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#446 Postby drezee » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:49 pm

Looking a bit better...

Image
Last edited by drezee on Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#447 Postby WindRunner » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:55 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:TD 10 did effect land since it helped to develop Katrina!


I knew someone would catch me on that, even if it didn't officially do anything. Sadly, everyone hyping that wave/depression was probably the most exciting part of that time frame, and then arguing over whether it was dead, and if it would regenerate, . . . ahhh, August in the tropics at S2K . . . priceless!
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#448 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:57 pm

It looked like it was all but gone this morning,but convection is definitley refiring.I will be surprised if no invest in the next 24 hours
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#449 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:58 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I looked at the models are there seems to be nothing to note. I'm bored with the tropics right now. No action in any basin currently.


Get used to it . . . it's only been 6 days without activity . . . that's nothing compared to the beginning of August last year . . . that was 3 weeks with about this much to watch IIRC.

Link: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

Nope, during those 3 weeks of August there were Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic, compared to right now where there are no TC's in the Atlantic.


Yeah . . . TS Harvey, whose best eye was present while he was an invest, tropical wave Irene, and the ever-exciting TD 10 - not one of which threatened land, and after the start last season had, people were complaining much more about the "lack of activity." Comparatively, more people were bored then then are now.

Yeah, there was TC's active during that time. How could people be bored then? At least there were systems to track and watch unlike right now. It's funny how people are less bored now then when there was TC's in the Atlantic!!!
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#450 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:06 pm

Yeah, there was TC's active during that time. How could people be bored then? At least there were systems to track and watch unlike right now. It's funny how people are less bored now then when there was TC's in the Atlantic!!!


It's only JUNE, so I wouldn't be worried about "boredom".... frankly, I'm enjoying it!

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CHRISTY

#451 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:08 pm

Here are 2 IR images of this wave that continue's to flare up tonight!

Image


Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#452 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:12 pm

Here is the latest 72 hour surface forecast:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif
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#453 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:22 pm

Image
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#454 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:13 pm

Looks like a moderate wave moving into a region of increasingly hostile conditions. Not much to be concerned about.
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#455 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:19 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like a moderate wave moving into a region of increasingly hostile conditions. Not much to be concerned about.


Yes 57,it's getting close to the TUTT wall that surely will tear it apart like what happened yesterday to the front wave.I would not mind seeing the TUTT hang on all season long. :)
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#456 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Looks like a moderate wave moving into a region of increasingly hostile conditions. Not much to be concerned about.


Yes 57,it's getting close to the TUTT wall that surely will tear it apart like what happened yesterday to the front wave.I would not mind seeing the TUTT hang on all season long. :)


Just out of curiosity, did you know about the impending TUTT from a TWO or TWD? or do you use other sources to keep up with all the variables that could be affecting these things... as to your sentiments... Roger That!

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#457 Postby drezee » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:47 pm

A MORE IMPRESSIVE TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN MOVED AHEAD ALONG 54W
SOUTH OF 16N BASED UPON TURNING ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN
INCREASE IN WINDS BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS. THIS WAVE IS MOVING
RATHER QUICKLY WESTWARD NEAR 20 KT. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE MAINLY BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN 300 NM. A BURST OF
MODERATE CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG AND JUST AHEAD
OF THE AXIS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 54W-56W.
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#458 Postby drezee » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:48 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like a moderate wave moving into a region of increasingly hostile conditions. Not much to be concerned about.


True...but it's the only game in town :lol: :lol: :lol:

Unless we want to beat the SST mule a little more...
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#459 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:49 pm

Its going to have a hard time developing with the dry air surronding this system.
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#460 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Jun 18, 2006 6:49 pm

drezee wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Looks like a moderate wave moving into a region of increasingly hostile conditions. Not much to be concerned about.


True...but it's the only game in town :lol: :lol: :lol:

Unless we want to beat the SST mule a little more...


You made me laugh with that one. :lol:
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