TS Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #6

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TreasureIslandFLGal
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Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!

#481 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:00 pm

fox13weather,

Please don't take my post as a personal attack on you. I never claimed that you have no credibility. (I have no clue who you even are.)

I just made an observation on what I saw on that station early on. That is all. I have already said that I watch you guys too to get your input. I posted my OPINION about what I felt was just an irresponsible statement that was made with no caveat at the time. A speech of coulds & shoulds taking up all your air time is not what I ever called for. Predicating with "we feel right now that x..." ending with "keep watching as things could change", does nto consititute a speech.

I also acknowledged that your channel did correct its path, just as EVERY station had to adjust. The difference I pointed out is that the simple caveat was missing, that was all.

You don't have to agree with me, its ok. I'll still check 13 for weather updates just like I check the rest of them.

p.s. many northerners new to Florida assume weather forecasters are as accurate as their northern counterparts that may have much simpler weather patterns to deal with. it just seems to me that you can make your own call and still let people know to be on guard and still pay attention as things do change, especially when trying to forecast tropical systems.
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shawn67
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#482 Postby shawn67 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:01 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Look at this visible loop. You can get a better hint and idea of the LLC circulation and movement, and note the movement appears to be nearly due northwest, not really west-northwest as many have been stating. Also, you can see the effects of the trough slowly showing signs of eroding the mid-level Atlantic ridging, reducing the slight easterly shear over Ernesto.

As a side (unrelated) note, up go the back and side shutters at my house now... sturdy shutters...


I think that loop reflects a fundamental difference of opinion in regards to where the LLC is located. Im seeing a circulation center to the SW of the larest area of convection. Im probably wrong but that is my opinion
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Sanibel
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#483 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:03 pm

Maybe more N and closer to Miami now. - not sure.
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FritzPaul
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#484 Postby FritzPaul » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:08 pm

It is hard to see the center this far off on radar due to attenuation (Basically means that you cannot look accurately past the thunder storms that are closer to the radar; maybe someone can explain it better than me!)
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