If you look at this WV loop you can see everything N and W of Flo is moving to the east. She will have no choice but to follow. I don't think there is anyway this thing will miss the trough. She seems to be moving along the trop fcst pnts the way she should be. Maybe a little N of them but her eastward turn should start to happen really soon.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
TS Florence,Analysis,Sat Pics Thread #6
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O Town wrote:If you look at this WV loop you can see everything N and W of Flo is moving to the east. She will have no choice but to follow. I don't think there is anyway this thing will miss the trough. She seems to be moving along the trop fcst pnts the way she should be. Maybe a little N of them but her eastward turn should start to happen really soon.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
Also note on that WV loop which direction the cirrus "arrow" is pointing now. The cirrus is extending northward to Bermuda. That points the path Florence will be taking. Very high confidence in the forecast. No east U.S. Coast threat.
As a side note, 93L is being sheared apart.
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