Hurricane Katrina Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#501 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:18 pm

UZNT13 KWBC 251704
XXAA 7514/ 99262 70792 08069 99992 28214 ///// 00575 ///// 92617
24032 85356 210// 88999 77999
31313 09608 81420
61616 NOAA3 0612A KATRINA OB 11
62626 EYE=
XXBB 75148 99262 70792 08069 00992 28214 11985 27610 22967 26000
33916 23835 44833 20822
21212 00992 ///// 11833 28512
31313 09608 81420
61616 NOAA3 0612A KATRINA OB 11
62626 EYE=

992mb in the eye...
Last edited by StormsAhead on Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#502 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:19 pm

Time: 1638Z
Position: 27.4N 78.7W
Flight altitude: 1480 meters
Flight-level wind: SE (140°) 30 knots
Temperature/Dew Point: 19C/15C
Weather: Scattered Clouds
Surface Wind: ESE (120°) 30 knots

URNT11 KWBC 251638
97779 16384 50274 78700 14800 14030 19151 /2512 41230
RMK NOAA3 0612A KATRINA OB 09 KWBC
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#503 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:20 pm

URNT40 KWBC 251710
NOAA3 0612A KATRINA
170030 2712 08000 5107 +0151 062031 +195 +160 063031 030 002
170100 2711 07959 5108 +0142 061031 +194 +168 061031 030 003
170130 2709 07958 5108 +0139 062033 +191 +177 061034 030 003
170200 2707 07957 5108 +0135 062033 +190 +179 063034 032 003
170230 2705 07956 5110 +0133 066035 +193 +168 066036 032 003
170300 2704 07955 5111 +0130 067033 +196 +171 066035 034 002
170330 2702 07954 5106 +0125 069032 +195 +177 068033 032 002
170400 2700 07953 5109 +0115 069034 +192 +178 068035 032 002
170430 2658 07952 5106 +0107 067036 +190 +185 068037 033 004
170500 2657 07951 5110 +0099 070033 +196 +169 071034 032 002
170530 2655 07950 5105 +0091 071034 +195 +170 072035 033 002
170600 2653 07949 5108 +0084 073037 +190 +179 073038 031 003
170630 2652 07948 5105 +0080 073039 +189 +181 073039 034 003
170700 2650 07947 5102 +0073 065039 +189 +185 067040 035 005
170730 2648 07946 5103 +0065 061037 +195 +175 060039 038 003
170800 2647 07945 5107 +0059 062040 +192 +178 061040 040 003
170830 2645 07944 5104 +0049 062041 +189 +177 061042 039 003
170900 2643 07943 5109 +0039 065040 +192 +182 064041 040 005
170930 2641 07942 5111 +0029 068044 +200 +172 067047 043 004
171000 2639 07942 5109 +0016 066050 +193 +173 067052 049 003

52 knots FL...
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#504 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:30 pm

URNT40 KWBC 251720
NOAA3 0612A KATRINA
171030 2637 07941 5105 -0003 065051 +197 +164 065051 045 003
171100 2635 07940 5105 -0025 062051 +213 +156 064051 047 003
171130 2634 07940 5105 -0046 060055 +215 +146 059056 047 002
171200 2632 07939 5107 -0066 062058 +217 +154 062059 048 002
171230 2630 07938 5106 -0088 062060 +216 +167 065061 051 003
171300 2628 07937 5105 -0120 065061 +207 +178 066061 054 002
171330 2626 07936 5112 -0148 070062 +214 +185 071063 056 002
171400 2625 07935 5110 -0184 076060 +247 +172 077062 057 002
171430 2623 07935 5098 -0233 073059 +256 +164 074061 050 002
171500 2621 07934 5097 -0284 077051 +262 +168 078053 039 002
171530 2619 07934 5116 -0332 069047 +270 +163 071048 036 003
171600 2617 07933 5241 -0359 051037 +247 +173 055042 028 002
171630 2615 07932 5347 -0361 041025 +214 +189 043027 026 005
171700 2614 07930 5339 -0370 071015 +207 +199 055020 043 003
171730 2613 07929 5327 -0368 136010 +218 +196 153013 999 999
171800 2611 07929 5348 -0361 204014 +214 +190 208016 999 999
171830 2610 07931 5325 -0356 327007 +210 +195 350015 051 001
171900 2610 07933 5333 -0346 342019 +205 +200 328023 999 999
171930 2609 07934 5341 -0321 314029 +198 +193 317031 999 999
172000 2607 07934 5336 -0296 304033 +191 +187 306035 049 003

Another pass through the eye...63 knots for 10 seconds, and 62 knots for 30 seconds
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#505 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:38 pm

pressure is lot lower that 992. I've been hearing 986
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#506 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:40 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:pressure is lot lower that 992. I've been hearing 986


Wouldn't be surprised at all...not sure what happened there, but it's most likely an error.
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#507 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:42 pm

URNT40 KWBC 251730
NOAA3 0612A KATRINA
172030 2605 07933 5331 -0259 290043 +196 +196 290046 074 003
172100 2603 07931 5316 -0218 278055 +192 +192 275059 999 999
172130 2601 07930 5554 -0159 249058 +181 +181 255061 999 999
172200 2559 07929 5535 -0111 252054 +179 +174 252055 999 999
172230 2557 07927 5206 -0098 260054 +183 +181 253055 999 999
172300 2556 07926 5246 -0063 254049 +184 +184 254051 999 999
172330 2554 07925 5177 -0044 246042 +186 +185 245047 999 999
172400 2552 07924 5172 -0026 245044 +185 +184 247047 999 999
172430 2550 07923 5096 -0016 246044 +188 +182 248045 046 009
172500 2549 07922 5068 -0002 241041 +185 +183 240041 042 007
172530 2547 07921 5055 +0008 243040 +185 +185 242041 040 006
172600 2545 07920 5058 +0018 244038 +183 +183 243039 040 006
172630 2544 07919 5058 +0027 241039 +183 +181 242039 040 005
172700 2542 07918 5057 +0031 240039 +184 +178 241040 074 001
172730 2540 07917 5060 +0041 240039 +182 +178 241040 035 005
172800 2539 07915 5056 +0049 238037 +187 +174 240038 037 006
172830 2537 07914 5059 +0055 235037 +183 +171 236038 037 008
172900 2536 07913 5061 +0062 238037 +183 +168 238038 034 006
172930 2534 07911 5060 +0069 240038 +183 +176 236039 038 006
173000 2533 07910 5059 +0075 235036 +180 +173 233036 037 008

61 knots FL again...and SFMR says 74 knots.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#508 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:46 pm

StormsAhead wrote:
61 knots FL again...and SFMR says 74 knots.


Second to last column is SFMR?
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#509 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:48 pm

x-y-no wrote:
StormsAhead wrote:
61 knots FL again...and SFMR says 74 knots.


Second to last column is SFMR?


Yes
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#510 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:48 pm

So we may have a hurricane now?
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#511 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:49 pm

storms in NC wrote:So we may have a hurricane now?


The pressure argues for a hurricane, but either Recon is missing the winds or they haven't caught up yet.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#512 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:49 pm

StormsAhead wrote:
x-y-no wrote:
StormsAhead wrote:
61 knots FL again...and SFMR says 74 knots.


Second to last column is SFMR?


Yes


Thanks.

This is good - I learned something today. Never knew how to read the obs from the NOAA planes before this.

8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#513 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:51 pm

If we use a blend from SFMR values and FL winds, we find that we have a 70 MPH tropical storm, ALMOST a hurricane. This will probably be reflected in the next advisory.

Although, one would argue it's already a hurricane based on the surface estimated winds...
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#514 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:52 pm

URNT40 KWBC 251740
NOAA3 0612A KATRINA
173030 2531 07909 5057 +0085 236034 +180 +178 235035 034 005
173100 2530 07907 4936 +0094 236035 +183 +166 235036 032 004
173130 2528 07906 4875 +0093 233035 +187 +157 234036 031 004
173200 2527 07904 4874 +0098 232032 +185 +163 232032 029 005
173230 2525 07903 4873 +0102 229032 +183 +166 228032 028 005
173300 2524 07901 4880 +0105 228033 +182 +172 229034 028 004
173330 2523 07859 4869 +0112 226033 +185 +165 225035 999 999
173400 2525 07858 4861 +0108 222036 +185 +160 224036 999 999
173430 2526 07900 4860 +0111 221033 +184 +169 219035 999 999
173500 2525 07900 4858 +0102 226033 +183 +170 226034 027 004
173530 2523 07858 4881 +0103 227034 +184 +169 227034 025 006
173600 2522 07857 4951 +0103 231033 +181 +181 233036 034 006
173630 2521 07855 5013 +0105 214031 +181 +178 212032 999 999
173700 2519 07854 4947 +0116 218034 +184 +175 217035 999 999
173730 2518 07853 4956 +0127 219034 +188 +162 218034 039 007
173800 2516 07852 4888 +0130 218033 +193 +157 217033 037 005
173830 2514 07851 4866 +0130 217032 +190 +157 217033 034 005
173900 2513 07850 4863 +0130 221033 +187 +155 223033 032 005
173930 2512 07848 4876 +0133 223032 +187 +148 223033 032 004
174000 2510 07847 4874 +0140 221030 +185 +149 225031 031 005
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#515 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:00 pm

URNT40 KWBC 251750
NOAA3 0612A KATRINA
174030 2509 07846 4874 +0147 218029 +187 +149 218030 030 005
174100 2507 07844 4873 +0151 220029 +185 +151 220029 030 006
174130 2506 07843 4873 +0158 217029 +184 +155 217030 999 999
174200 2507 07841 4864 +0157 216030 +186 +158 217030 032 005
174230 2509 07839 4867 +0153 215030 +184 +155 215030 031 006
174300 2511 07838 4875 +0153 215031 +182 +154 215031 031 006
174330 2513 07837 4875 +0153 213031 +181 +154 212031 032 005
174400 2515 07836 4872 +0154 210031 +183 +152 210031 035 004
174430 2517 07835 4869 +0154 210031 +182 +153 210031 034 005
174500 2519 07834 4868 +0150 208032 +182 +155 207032 037 004
174530 2521 07833 4869 +0147 207034 +182 +154 207034 030 004
174600 2523 07832 4867 +0142 204034 +181 +153 204034 030 004
174630 2525 07831 4873 +0139 205034 +185 +146 204035 028 004
174700 2527 07830 4870 +0140 204035 +186 +147 204035 028 003
174730 2529 07829 4871 +0140 204035 +187 +147 203035 025 004
174800 2531 07828 4872 +0140 201035 +186 +146 201035 027 005
174830 2533 07827 4868 +0141 203036 +185 +149 203036 029 007
174900 2535 07826 4871 +0140 206035 +184 +152 205035 029 008
174930 2537 07825 4870 +0140 207036 +187 +150 206036 030 006
175000 2539 07824 4870 +0140 204035 +187 +155 205035 029 006
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#516 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:02 pm

URNT12 KNHC 251800
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/1718Z
B. 26 DEG 12 MIN N
79 DEG 30 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1336 M
D. 50 KT
E. 340 DEG 20 NM
F. 073 DEG 64 KT
G. 343 DEG 16 NM
H. 990 MB
I. 19 C/ 1556 M
J. 22 C/ 1630 M
K. 19 C/ NA
L. OPEN WEST
M. C12
N. 12345/8
O. 1/2 NM
P. NOAA3 0612A KATRINA OB 13
MAX FL WIND 64 KTS NW QUAD 1713Z
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#517 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:03 pm

No pressure drop, things are steadying out a bit...
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#518 Postby StormsAhead » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:05 pm

jkt21787 wrote:No pressure drop, things are steadying out a bit...


True, although the eyewall is closing and the winds are slowly increasing.
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#519 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:07 pm

Best part about Katrina is that we'll get real good surface obs once it makes landfall.

FLL and FXE should be right in the eye and eyewall.

No intensity debates!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#520 Postby dhweather » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:07 pm

jkt21787 wrote:No pressure drop, things are steadying out a bit...


The winds will take a little time to catch up.
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 39 guests