Rita Recon Reports

[Thunder44]

78kts at flight level in NW Quad. There are probably even stronger winds in NE Quad. This should be a hurricane now.

That supports a 80 mph hurricane right?

They are flying at 850mb so that equats to about 62kts at the surface. So just under it.

[cycloneye]

UZNT13 KNHC 201217
XXAA 70128 99237 70804 08130 99985 28000 34508 00639 ///// /////
92544 24608 27503 85285 21621 05001 88999 77999
31313 09608 81204
61616 AF300 1018A RITA OB 08
62626 EYE SPL 2372N08035W 1205 LST WND 012 MBL WND 33503 AEV 2050
7 DLM WND 31002 984855 WL150 34006 071 =
XXBB 70128 99237 70804 08130 00985 28000 11843 20418
21212 00985 34508 11948 00000 22929 28003 33855 29501 44843 07504
31313 09608 81204
61616 AF300 1018A RITA OB 08
62626 EYE SPL 2372N08035W 1205 LST WND 012 MBL WND 33503 AEV 2050
7 DLM WND 31002 984855 WL150 34006 071 =


Dropsonde

[Derecho]

the 12Z Model init does have the 985 mb pressure, but with the init wind at 60 kts.

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201241
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 26 KNHC
1230. 2445N 08126W 01532 0026 059 057 170 170 057 01590 0000000000
1231 2446N 08127W 01519 0026 059 056 176 170 057 01577 0000000000
1231. 2447N 08129W 01528 0029 059 055 172 170 056 01589 0000000000
1232 2449N 08130W 01522 0033 060 053 172 172 054 01587 0000000000
1232. 2450N 08131W 01523 0035 061 050 174 168 052 01590 0000000000
1233 2451N 08133W 01524 0036 060 048 174 170 049 01592 0000000000
1233. 2452N 08134W 01527 0037 060 045 174 168 046 01596 0000000000
1234 2454N 08135W 01521 0038 061 044 176 166 046 01592 0000000000
1234. 2455N 08136W 01525 0039 060 042 176 166 042 01596 0000000000
1235 2456N 08138W 01523 0040 056 040 170 170 041 01596 0000000000
1235. 2457N 08139W 01525 0041 057 040 172 168 041 01598 0000000000
1236 2459N 08140W 01523 0042 057 040 168 168 041 01597 0000000000
1236. 2500N 08142W 01524 0044 055 039 168 168 040 01600 0000000000
1237 2501N 08143W 01525 0045 058 040 166 166 041 01602 0000000000
1237. 2502N 08144W 01525 0046 058 038 164 164 038 01603 0000000000
1238 2503N 08145W 01520 0046 058 039 164 162 039 01599 0000000000
1238. 2505N 08147W 01526 0049 057 039 162 154 039 01607 0000000000
1239 2505N 08149W 01527 0051 056 040 170 152 040 01610 0000000000
1239. 2503N 08149W 01524 0050 052 039 168 148 040 01606 0000000000
1240 2502N 08148W 01520 0047 048 036 168 148 036 01599 0000000000

[Brent]

the 12Z Model init does have the 985 mb pressure, but with the init wind at 60 kts.

[cycloneye]

330
URNT11 KNHC 201246
97779 12374 30250 81708 15300 06038 16168 /2500
40125
RMK AF300 1018A RITA OB 11

[cycloneye]

URNT14 KNHC 201245
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01229 10787 12495 11715 19045
02230 20789 22486 21616 19047
03232 30791 32475 31616 19051
04233 40793 42459 41615 19056
05235 50796 52428 51515 19064
06236 60798 62383 61515 21062
07237 70801 72330 71919 19026
MF235 M0796 MF069
OBS 01 AT 11:33:00Z
OBS 07 AT 11:59:10Z
OBS 01 SFC WND 15035
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01239 10806 12317 11919 04040
02241 20807 22364 21616 06067
03243 30809 32421 31817 06075
04244 40811 42453 41616 06060
05246 50813 52470 51515 06058
06248 60815 62486 61717 06054
07250 70817 72497 71616 06040
MF242 M0808 MF078
OBS 01 AT 12:09:00Z
OBS 07 AT 12:36:00Z
OBS 07 SFC WND 01025
AF300 1018A RITA OB 12



Suplemental Vortex.

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201254
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 27 KNHC
1240. 2500N 08148W 01528 0046 046 036 166 150 037 01605 0000000000
1241 2458N 08147W 01521 0045 046 037 166 158 038 01598 0000000000
1241. 2457N 08147W 01525 0044 045 037 164 156 037 01602 0000000000
1242 2455N 08147W 01523 0044 047 036 162 162 036 01599 0000000000
1242. 2453N 08147W 01524 0043 045 036 164 164 036 01599 0000000000
1243 2451N 08147W 01525 0043 046 037 166 166 038 01601 0000000000
1243. 2449N 08146W 01524 0042 047 038 166 166 039 01598 0000000000
1244 2447N 08146W 01523 0041 045 039 168 168 040 01596 0000000000
1244. 2446N 08146W 01525 0040 043 039 168 168 040 01598 0000000000
1245 2444N 08146W 01523 0039 042 040 166 166 041 01595 0000000000
1245. 2442N 08146W 01523 0038 041 040 170 170 040 01594 0000000000
1246 2440N 08145W 01525 0036 037 042 166 166 042 01594 0000000000
1246. 2438N 08145W 01525 0033 035 042 168 168 042 01590 0000000000
1247 2436N 08145W 01523 0032 035 043 166 166 043 01587 0000000000
1247. 2434N 08145W 01526 0026 034 044 168 168 045 01585 0000000000
1248 2432N 08145W 01524 0030 033 046 166 166 046 01586 0000000000
1248. 2430N 08144W 01522 0029 033 046 166 166 047 01583 0000000000
1249 2429N 08144W 01524 0029 032 046 162 162 047 01585 0000000000
1249. 2427N 08144W 01524 0028 030 047 166 166 047 01584 0000000000
1250 2425N 08144W 01527 0027 030 049 160 160 050 01586 0000000000

[cycloneye]

477
UZNT13 KNHC 201246
XXAA 70128 99245 70811 08141 99003 26814 ///// 00017 26415 /////
92702 21400 05556 85435 17804 06056 88999 77999
31313 09608 81223
61616 AF300 1018A RITA OB 10
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2446N08117W 1225 LST WND 196 AEV 20507 DLM WND
04056 980890 =
XXBB 70128 99245 70811 08141 00003 26814 11938 22000 22901 20827
33853 18406 44844 16400
21212 00003 ///// 11980 03554 22974 03558 33890 06057 44844 06056
31313 09608 81223
61616 AF300 1018A RITA OB 10
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2446N08117W 1225 LST WND 196 AEV 20507 DLM WND
04056 980890 =


Dropsonde

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201302
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 28 KNHC
1250. 2423N 08144W 01522 0024 029 050 150 150 051 01578 0000000000
1251 2421N 08143W 01522 0024 031 048 152 152 049 01578 0000000000
1251. 2419N 08143W 01526 0023 030 047 170 170 048 01582 0000000000
1252 2417N 08143W 01525 0022 026 049 168 168 050 01579 0000000000
1252. 2415N 08143W 01522 0021 024 049 166 166 050 01575 0000000000
1253 2413N 08143W 01526 0020 019 049 170 170 049 01577 0000000000
1253. 2411N 08142W 01525 0018 018 051 164 164 052 01575 0000000000
1254 2409N 08142W 01522 0016 017 052 158 158 053 01570 0000000000
1254. 2407N 08142W 01526 0016 014 053 150 150 054 01574 0000000000
1255 2405N 08142W 01525 0014 012 051 146 146 052 01571 0000000000
1255. 2402N 08141W 01521 0013 009 049 144 144 049 01567 0000000000
1256 2400N 08141W 01523 0011 007 048 140 140 049 01566 0000000000
1256. 2358N 08141W 01527 0010 005 046 144 144 048 01569 0000000000
1257 2356N 08141W 01521 0009 010 044 148 148 045 01563 0000000000
1257. 2354N 08141W 01528 0009 006 045 144 144 046 01570 0000000000
1258 2352N 08140W 01522 0008 003 044 146 146 045 01563 0000000000
1258. 2350N 08140W 01524 0006 008 049 144 144 050 01562 0000000000
1259 2348N 08140W 01523 0007 356 047 144 144 047 01562 0000000000
1259. 2346N 08140W 01523 0007 352 045 150 150 046 01561 0000000000
1300 2344N 08139W 01526 0006 353 045 160 160 046 01564 0000000000

[superfly]

78kts at flight level in NW Quad. There are probably even stronger winds in NE Quad. This should be a hurricane now.

The strongest quadrant is usually the right front quadrant. Since the storm is moving to the west, the right front quadrant is the NW quad.

[Derek Ortt]

doppler radar is showing that the NE quadrant is the most intense quadrant by far

[Thunder44]

78kts at flight level in NW Quad. There are probably even stronger winds in NE Quad. This should be a hurricane now.

The strongest quadrant is usually the right front quadrant. Since the storm is moving to the west, the right front quadrant is the NW quad.

Looking back at recon reports earlier this morning, recon found the strongest winds in NE Quad.

[Anonymous]

ZCZC MIATCUAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
915 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

DOPPLER RADAR DATA...SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND PRESSURE FALLS FROM
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RITA HAS REACHED CATEGORY
ONE HURRICANE STRENGTH ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THIS
WILL BE REFLECTED ON THE 11 AM...1500Z ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
NNNN

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201311
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 29 KNHC
1300. 2342N 08139W 01524 0006 349 046 158 158 046 01563 0000000000
1301 2340N 08139W 01521 0006 347 045 156 156 046 01559 0000000000
1301. 2338N 08139W 01526 0006 347 044 146 146 044 01564 0000000000
1302 2336N 08139W 01525 0006 344 045 154 154 045 01563 0000000000
1302. 2334N 08138W 01525 0006 342 046 164 164 046 01563 0000000000
1303 2332N 08138W 01522 0007 343 044 166 166 044 01561 0000000000
1303. 2330N 08138W 01525 0008 340 043 168 168 044 01565 0000000000
1304 2328N 08138W 01526 0009 337 045 170 168 045 01567 0000000000
1304. 2326N 08138W 01523 0009 334 045 170 170 045 01564 0000000000
1305 2324N 08137W 01524 0009 336 044 170 170 045 01565 0000000000
1305. 2322N 08137W 01522 0010 332 043 174 158 044 01564 0000000000
1306 2320N 08137W 01525 0011 332 043 176 146 044 01568 0000000000
1306. 2318N 08137W 01524 0012 329 043 176 144 044 01568 0000000000
1307 2316N 08137W 01524 0013 325 042 176 142 042 01569 0000000000
1307. 2314N 08136W 01524 0013 323 041 174 138 041 01569 0000000000
1308 2312N 08136W 01523 0013 322 040 176 142 041 01568 0000000000
1308. 2310N 08136W 01526 0016 321 039 178 142 040 01574 0000000000
1309 2309N 08135W 01530 0018 317 037 176 140 038 01580 0000000000
1309. 2310N 08133W 01521 0013 317 035 180 140 035 01566 0000000000
1310 2311N 08132W 01525 0013 318 036 176 142 038 01569 0000000000

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201322
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 30 KNHC
1310. 2312N 08131W 01523 0011 320 038 166 156 039 01566 0000000000
1311 2313N 08129W 01524 0009 319 039 162 158 039 01565 0000000000
1311. 2315N 08128W 01524 0007 321 039 160 160 040 01563 0000000000
1312 2316N 08127W 01525 0004 322 040 156 156 041 01561 0000000000
1312. 2317N 08125W 01524 5000 322 042 150 150 042 01555 0000000000
1313 2318N 08124W 01524 5003 320 040 144 144 041 01553 0000000000
1313. 2319N 08123W 01519 5006 322 042 140 140 043 01545 0000000000
1314 2320N 08122W 01530 5008 329 044 156 156 045 01554 0000000000
1314. 2321N 08120W 01522 5011 333 046 156 156 047 01543 0000000000
1315 2322N 08119W 01524 5016 330 048 166 166 049 01541 0000000000
1315. 2323N 08118W 01522 5019 329 048 162 162 049 01535 0000000000
1316 2324N 08117W 01522 5022 332 048 166 166 048 01532 0000000000
1316. 2325N 08116W 01526 5027 332 049 170 170 049 01532 0000000000
1317 2326N 08115W 01523 5032 331 051 172 166 051 01522 0000000000
1317. 2327N 08114W 01524 5037 331 054 166 166 056 01518 0000000000
1318 2328N 08113W 01524 5043 329 056 170 166 058 01514 0000000000
1318. 2330N 08112W 01525 5048 330 060 174 164 062 01508 0000000000
1319 2331N 08110W 01525 5056 325 066 164 164 070 01502 0000000000
1319. 2332N 08109W 01525 5062 329 067 150 150 070 01495 0000000000
1320 2333N 08108W 01527 5064 335 067 148 148 068 01495 0000000000

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201334
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 31 KNHC
1320. 2334N 08107W 01524 5072 340 062 150 150 067 01484 0000000000
1321 2335N 08106W 01524 5079 332 067 152 152 074 01477 0000000000
1321. 2336N 08105W 01530 5085 337 072 154 154 077 01477 0000000000
1322 2336N 08104W 01519 5090 343 067 156 156 069 01462 0000000000
1322. 2337N 08103W 01521 5098 345 064 150 150 065 01455 0000000000
1323 2338N 08102W 01525 5104 345 065 156 156 066 01454 0000000000
1323. 2339N 08101W 01525 5110 345 065 158 158 067 01447 0000000000
1324 2340N 08100W 01521 5117 348 067 156 156 068 01436 0000000000
1324. 2341N 08059W 01529 5121 351 065 156 156 067 01440 0000000000
1325 2342N 08058W 01523 5126 359 058 166 166 062 01429 0000000000
1325. 2343N 08057W 01523 5127 360 051 186 186 051 01428 0000000000
1326 2343N 08056W 01523 5134 355 039 196 196 044 01421 0000000000
1326. 2343N 08054W 01524 5140 356 031 202 188 032 01416 0000000000
1327 2344N 08052W 01523 5144 357 028 202 186 029 01411 0000000000
1327. 2344N 08050W 01524 5147 002 025 202 188 027 01409 0000000000
1328 2344N 08048W 01524 5151 001 023 200 190 024 01405 0000000000
1328. 2344N 08047W 01525 5153 004 017 200 198 019 01404 0000000000
1329 2344N 08045W 01524 5156 002 014 200 200 016 01400 0000000000
1329. 2344N 08043W 01522 5158 008 010 202 188 011 01396 0000000000
1330 2344N 08041W 01526 5159 013 006 204 188 008 01398 0000000000


Here comes another Vortex Message.

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 201342
AF300 1018A RITA HDOB 32 KNHC
1330. 2344N 08039W 01524 5161 082 003 204 200 004 01395 0000000000
1331 2343N 08038W 01525 5162 166 007 208 198 009 01394 0000000000
1331. 2343N 08036W 01522 5162 176 011 210 186 012 01393 0000000000
1332 2343N 08034W 01525 5160 173 017 214 184 019 01397 0000000000
1332. 2343N 08032W 01525 5156 174 021 212 180 023 01401 0000000000
1333 2344N 08031W 01534 5156 165 025 212 184 026 01410 0000000100
1333. 2346N 08031W 01733 5139 157 025 202 174 026 01627 0000000000
1334 2348N 08032W 02043 5113 145 023 188 142 025 01963 0000000000
1334. 2349N 08034W 02339 5106 129 021 174 126 022 02279 0000000000
1335 2348N 08036W 02590 5084 124 019 166 110 021 02552 0000110010
1335. 2348N 08038W 02831 5063 118 017 152 104 018 02815 0000000000
1336 2349N 08039W 03023 5048 112 023 136 092 024 03022 0000000000
1336. 2351N 08039W 03064 5041 119 025 134 082 025 03070 0000000000
1337 2353N 08037W 03052 5035 125 026 140 084 026 03064 0000000000
1337. 2353N 08035W 03044 5035 136 025 144 084 026 03056 0000000000
1338 2352N 08033W 03039 5036 139 027 146 098 028 03050 0000000000
1338. 2352N 08031W 03043 5035 146 031 148 076 032 03055 0000000000
1339 2353N 08029W 03044 5031 144 035 148 074 037 03060 0000000000
1339. 2354N 08028W 03039 5032 143 041 144 094 043 03055 0000000000
1340 2355N 08027W 03043 5028 141 043 140 106 043 03062 0000000000

[cycloneye]

URNT12 KNHC 201344
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 20/13:30:40Z
B. 23 deg 43 min N
080 deg 38 min W
C. 850 mb 1291 m
D. 55 kt
E. 244 deg 033 nm
F. 335 deg 077 kt
G. 252 deg 026 nm
H. 982 mb
I. 16 C/ 1522 m
J. 21 C/ 1525 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E310/40/30
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 1018A RITA OB 14
MAX FL WIND 78 KT NW QUAD 12:16:20 Z

[LAwxrgal]

The pressure's down another 3 mb. The winds will respond soon.