SE Coast

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#61 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:18 pm

If i can gain any deep convection then I wouldn't rule out something subtropical but at the moment I don't think anything is likely.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: SE Coast

#62 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:19 pm

area i think to watch as the whole boundary shifts east over the next 24hrs or so ... but will se

anywhere really along that boundary something may organize more. i dont think that little swirl to the east of jacksonville has much of a chance but still needs to be watched.

the latest gfs shows something coming off florida and does the 12z ukmet ..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/se/loop-rgb.html

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: SE Coast

#63 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:00 pm

The one to the north now looks better than the one to the south. Both appear to be weakening this afternoon, I don't expect development out of either of them. I do agree, Aric, that frontal boundary further to south, needs to be watched, for more lows to spin up.
0 likes   
Top
Stormavoider
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 671
Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:37 pm
Location: Spring Hill Fl.

Re:

#64 Postby Stormavoider » Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:35 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

The lowest pressure being reported by the ships and buoys in the area is 1015 mb.



1011 mb here off Cape fear
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#65 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:53 pm

Image

Accuweather is also keeping an eye on this one.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#66 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:56 pm

I wonder if this could play any role in the future track of 94L, if it does then even if it doesn't develop into anything it still needs to be watched closely?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: SE Coast

#67 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:59 pm

The Hurricane Hunter returning from the mission to Bertha appears to be diverting to check this out

Image
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: SE Coast

#68 Postby RL3AO » Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:03 pm

gotoman38 wrote:The Hurricane Hunter returning from the mission to Bertha appears to be diverting to check this out


Maybe. Lets see if they lower in altitude in the next few groups of HDOBs.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: SE Coast

#69 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:18 pm

I'm not sure recon is going to check it out. They just may be taking a little different flight path back to base. We will see if they descend over there.
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#70 Postby RL3AO » Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:28 pm

They've already passed it. They were just getting on line for the approach for landing.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: SE Coast

#71 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:30 pm

They passed over the general area, but didn't descend. Already at 31.19N 079.17W - motoring home.

I guess that Henk turned off his updates, my KMZ is static now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#72 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:59 pm

I think something may form in the NE gulf, cross Florida,
accelerate NE towards the Carolinas, bringing much
needed rain to the Carolinas- this is based on the 12Z EURO/CMC. :wink:
Or something could form off the East Coast...
Tricky tricky...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 46 guests