Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

[x-y-no]

Agree....first name storm in '92 wasn't until mid-August....and the season didn't make up with a high number of storms....total named storms = 7, hurricanes = 4, major hurricanes = 1

how bad could those numbers be?

My gut, this is going to be a very low number season, most of it quite boring.


Just like 1992.

Yeah, but what a major hurricane!

[Ed Mahmoud]

Agree....first name storm in '92 wasn't until mid-August....and the season didn't make up with a high number of storms....total named storms = 7, hurricanes = 4, major hurricanes = 1

how bad could those numbers be?

My gut, this is going to be a very low number season, most of it quite boring.


Just like 1992.

Yeah, but what a major hurricane!

Just back from my Summer job in California, waiting for cable to be installed at the apartment.

It seems like Hugo and Andrew were the beginning of either an active time for the US, or at least the perception of an active time.

I suppose the warm cycle AMO starting around 1995 might have something to do with that, but those two were in the slower part of the cycle.

[Category 5]

We have a TS and an invest in the EPAC, and a TD and 3 invests in the WPAC. the pacific is heating up, the tropics are very much alive.

[jinftl]

Nothing organized but even the atlantic has perked up some in terms of disturbed weather...

We have a TS and an invest in the EPAC, and a TD and 3 invests in the WPAC. the pacific is heating up, the tropics are very much alive.

[Category 5]

it gives us all something to track while the atlantic is quiet.

[jinftl]

A teaser of the africa wave train to come in the coming months?

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Season is starting. Pacific is ramped up. Atlantic is never more than 3 weeks behind. Gonna be a busy one

[DanKellFla]

"Buhler.... Buhler...."

[DanKellFla]

IT"S ALIVE!!!!!
(Now, Fact, go sing Danka Sheign (sp?))

[Category 5]

Invests and storms pop up all over the pacific and its dead.

A single low chance invest pops up in the atlantic and ZOMG ITS ALIVE!

Please excuse me for finding that extremely hilarious.

[vbhoutex]

Season is starting. Pacific is ramped up. Atlantic is never more than 3 weeks behind. Gonna be a busy one

Give us your reasoning. No one else seems to think this will be the case.

[Stormcenter]

There is no doubt we'll see some action but all signs point to below average to average season
and I see nothing so far to change my mind.

Season is starting. Pacific is ramped up. Atlantic is never more than 3 weeks behind. Gonna be a busy one

[wxman57]

FSU just issued its dynamical forecast for the 2009 season. They're forecasting 8 named storms with 4 of them hurricanes. No forecast of the number of major hurricanes.

[KWT]

Agreed Stormcenter BUT you can still have active spells. Really if you look at 2004 for example it only really had a 5-6 week where conditions became very favorable, apart from that conditions were actually very poor as you'd expect in El Nino. Same thing happened in 2002 with a glut of activity in September.

Seems fairly reasonable wxman57 given we've not had any named storms so far.

[Cookie]

Invests and storms pop up all over the pacific and its dead.

A single low chance invest pops up in the atlantic and ZOMG ITS ALIVE!

Please excuse me for finding that extremely hilarious.

you forget the Atlantic is center of the universe

[Downdraft]

Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.

[Macrocane]

Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.

So do you want us to say that this will be a very active season? That wouldn't be true, 1992 was an inactive season but as we have been saying, it only takes one, and that's what people need to understand, active or inactive season but it only takes one storm to destroy your properties or even your life, so take it easy my friend, don't be upset it has been a slow season and that's it, a slow one but we don't have to let down our guard.

[jinftl]

Haven't seen this so far this season...does this mean we are about to repeat 2004 and 2005....not likely any season...but is this an indication that we are heading towards the heart of the tropical season in the coming weeks and months? Yep. That could be one storm, that could be 10.

There is nothing so extreme in the Atlantic right now as far as adverse conditions that categorically rule out any chance of any system developing any where this season between now and November 30.

[Category 5]

[Cyclenall]

There is nothing so extreme in the Atlantic right now as far as adverse conditions that categorically rule out any chance of any system developing any where this season between now and November 30.

This board would be entertaining if there were 0 named storms this hurricane season. The season would only be fascinating then in terms of an inactive season.

Assuming there is nothing that affects landmass that is.