Large Wave Rolling Off Africa!

[BigA]

Here is the weather from Bissau, Guinea Bissau, which the wave should pass over in the next day as it exits Africa.

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/61766.html

Should be interesting to see if there are any significant pressure changes and/or wind shifts

[Gustywind]

:D The more images the better. We get a lot of great graphs, maps, radars from our members.

Thanks for your input.

Once again Stephanie you're welcomed que se monten en el avion de Storm2k

Is that French or Spanish?

Spanish for sure!

[Gustywind]

How 'bout if it does develop, you eat your sock, OK somethingfunny?

[somethingfunny]

How 'bout if it does develop, you eat your sock, OK somethingfunny?

I don't have any more.

[Gustywind]

How 'bout if it does develop, you eat your sock, OK somethingfunny?

I don't have any more.

buy a new one

[HURAKAN]

[Gustywind]

On the verge of exiting Africa, poof-test beginning to be interresting...

[Gustywind]

Our guest has a low attached with it 1007 hpa
000
AXNT20 KNHC 281052
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC...


...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS INLAND OVER AFRICA FROM 05N-19N ALONG 12W
MOVING W AT 10 KT. HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM ANALYSIS OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS SHOWS A DISTINCT CLOUD SIGNATURE MOVING WESTWARD
ACROSS INTERIOR AFRICA WITH GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO
INDICATING THE POSITION OF THE WAVE IN THE LOW-LEVEL POTENTIAL
VORTICITY FIELDS. A 1007 MB LOW IS ANALYZED NEAR 16N15W AS THE
NORTHERN VORTEX OF THE WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO PASS DAKAR
SENEGAL AND TRACK SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN THE
NEXT 24-36 HOURS. A LARGE SAHARAN AIR LAYER IS ALSO NOTED WEST
OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-23N BETWEEN 17W-35W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-14N BETWEEN 13W-18W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN

[Vortex]

GFS tracks what appears to be this low into the Leewards in about 7-8 days.

GFS 28/6z at H+162 in the Leewards

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

[Gustywind]

GFS tracks what appears to be this low into the Leewards in about 7-8 days.

GFS 28/6z at H+162 in the Leewards

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Another twave on the Leewards, it's a joke, same scenario since two weeks at least a good and a juicy system on the EC, what a start of June But let's wait and see what could really happens as we're far away from the reality.

[SFLcane]

GFS tracks what appears to be this low into the Leewards in about 7-8 days.

GFS 28/6z at H+162 in the Leewards

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Indeed vortex the GFS appears to be developing another cape-verde cyclone in the coming days approaching the northern islands on its 06z run.

[Stephanie]

GFS tracks what appears to be this low into the Leewards in about 7-8 days.

GFS 28/6z at H+162 in the Leewards

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Another twave on the Leewards, it's a joke, same scenario since two weeks at least a good and a juicy system on the EC, what a start of June But let's wait and see what could really happens as we're far away from the reality.

From the most recent images above, it doesn't look it's poofing...

[Gustywind]

GFS tracks what appears to be this low into the Leewards in about 7-8 days.

GFS 28/6z at H+162 in the Leewards

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Another twave on the Leewards, it's a joke, same scenario since two weeks at least a good and a juicy system on the EC, what a start of June But let's wait and see what could really happens as we're far away from the reality.

From the most recent images above, it doesn't look it's poofing...

Agree too what could i say something to keep an eye during the next couple of days as poof-test seems favorable

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

I think it will nearly poof, if not poof. That dry Saharan air in front of it will certainly keep it in check. It won't be able to wind anything up until it gets to the caribbean and can shake the dry air influence. It will probably be a slow, painful process to watch get going, like most early season storms are (similar to Alex), as it has to fight the shear that will likely be prevalent once it gets to the caribbean. It is still very early in the season for these african origin systems.

[Gustywind]

I think it will nearly poof, if not poof. That dry Saharan air in front of it will certainly keep it in check. It won't be able to wind anything up until it gets to the caribbean and can shake the dry air influence. It will probably be a slow, painful process to watch get going, like most early season storms are (similar to Alex), as it has to fight the shear that will likely be prevalent once it gets to the caribbean. It is still very early in the season for these african origin systems.

yeah and hope that SAL will make it effects quickly on this one...

[KWT]

Ah the SAL is increasing as per Climo, always happens at this time of year as the ITCZ lifts out and the pressure belt moves north. Nothing will come from this for a while yet...the CV season is still a while away despite very favourable conditions, though I think we have a fair shot at a July CV system...

[CourierPR]

I recall reading an article by former NHC Director, Max Mayfield, in which he discussed the affect of SAL on development. He indicated that the presence of African dust doesn't necessarily preclude development of a system. So, let's sit tight and watch what happens and not over-hype the SAL factor.

[Aquawind]

94L had a very similar blob of Sal associated with it and proceeded to punch right through it only to bump into the UL trough and ended up still being a invest..

We still have a nice little twist with the wave at 45W and they all will become more of the threat as they progress towards the islands this early..

[NOLA2010]

Anybody have a current image of it?

[Hugo1989]

SALUDOS;

QUE HA PASADO EN EL ATLANTICO??? HAY ALGUNA ONDA CON ALGUN POTENCIAL DE DESARROLLO?