Convection in Yucatan
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TwisterFanatic
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Which way is this moving?
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Ok now that loop is VERY interesting, got a good shot at being invested at this rate...
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TwisterFanatic
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Re:
KWT wrote:Ok now that loop is VERY interesting, got a good shot at being invested at this rate...
I agree
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Development probably isn't the most likely solution but you can't rule out something that has a decent MLC, much depends on what the ULL to the NE decides to do.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
Pressure down to 1009 in Campeche so something may be trying to form at the surface
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Michael
If 99L got invested then this really should, esp given the possible track and the fact this one actually does look pretty decent right now. Could all implode if it doesn't get to water but could well be invested tomorrow if this keeps up.
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srainhoutx
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
Ivanhater wrote:Pressure down to 1009 in Campeche so something may be trying to form at the surface
Down from 1014 this morning. I agree this is probably worth an Invest. Could happen overnight.
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jasons2k
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
Hmm, this needs to be watched IMO...that loop does look almost like a LLC b/c there are some cumulus bands swirling around that 'center'. I wonder how it will interact with the upper low to its north? Will it shred it or ventilate it?
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
no model support I can see..if it had this look tomorrow then a invest tag is likely..Pretty straight forward steering.....
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html
plenty of heat potential...
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html
plenty of heat potential...
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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Ivanhater
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
90L may be here in the morning
Nice vorticity
anticyclone building over
Nice vorticity
anticyclone building over
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Michael
All depends on what the upper level low does in the Gulf but this one has a chance IMO for sure...
Wow this season really is turning into 1936 with all these possible west basin systems.
Wow this season really is turning into 1936 with all these possible west basin systems.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Ivanhater
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
ROCK wrote:think it will be mentioned in the TWO? what is that like 8pm CDT
7CDT, but will probably be out around 6:35
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Michael
Re: Convection in Yucatan
Ivanhater wrote:ROCK wrote:think it will be mentioned in the TWO? what is that like 8pm CDT
7CDT, but will probably be out around 6:35
gracias......I dont keep up with them like I should. I rather take a quick peek at the vis in the morning before work and sort of figure things out from there....
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
one thing I did find interesting about this was it spit out a low level eddy to the NW earlier....so maybe there is some credence to how close this is to the surface...
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Whether or not its at the surface I'm not sure abovut, I'd be surprised to be honest other then maybe the odd eddy. However its got a good presentation and when you see systems coming offland looking decent enough then you do at least need to pay attention to the.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cycloneye
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
No mention at the 8 PM TWO.
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tolakram
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Re: Convection in Yucatan
Visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=25
Speed it up. Looks like a lot of potential down there, but it's headed in the direction of the ULL and pretty quickly.
Speed it up. Looks like a lot of potential down there, but it's headed in the direction of the ULL and pretty quickly.
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M a r k
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