A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
Tropical Wave in BOC (Is Invest 99L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW
TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW
TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
Could be a weak twist finally cooking up there. Not sure.
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
Well the wave axis has finally moved into the eastern BOC, looks pretty sharp and should have a day or two or maybe even three to develop.
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
Look west or WNW of Merida. Nice twist showing up lets see if develops some convection tonite. Conditions seems pretty decent with a little westerly shear.
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TheStormExpert
Re:
I think it is due to the front that is draped across the GoM, S. FL, and the W. Atlantic.
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
I see the twist...1012 Low on the map right now....needs to sit and stew some....no model support i can find but its not unheard of for something to pop up!!
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in Yucatan / BOC: 20%-20%
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW
TO OCCUR BEFORE THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW
TO OCCUR BEFORE THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Seems to be some weak turning about 50 or so miles west of the Yucatan, though there is probably far too much shear to support development.
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SeGaBob
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in BOC (Is Invest 99L)
This area in now Invest 99L. Go to the Invest 99L discussion thread.
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