Hurricane Patricia's remains in the Gulf

[Sanibel]

The predicted game-ending shear is over it now.

[Steve]

Yeah. Its just a matter of time. We have one last boss storm coming up in the next 25-30 minutes. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix/

Lucky too because my street was starting to fill up. You'll appreciate it Sanibel, but it's like we have been in a warm air sector all day. I'm wondering if the TN Valley doesn't get smacked tomorrow.

[Sanibel]

Correct. Warm flow from the south. Nice.

[lovingseason2013]

In Pensacola, it has been very windy all day, tropical storm force I would think. And huge waves are rolling in off the gulf on what looks to be about a 2-3 foot storm surge, maybe more. Rain has been coming in buckets for hours now. Quite a non tropical system.

[Steve]

Be careful. There ended up being coastal and tidal flooding across South LA as well as a ton of rain. I believe both New Orleans and Baton Rouge had 1 day totals in the Top 5 all time. There were numerous rescues including 15-20 kids on a school bus up in BR. Lafitte in south Jefferson Parish, LA Highway 1 south of Golden Meadow and most of Delacroix and areas in eastern St Bernard Parish had roads closed (some houses flooded). Mandeville had water on the lakefront and a lot of Madisonville was flooded also North of the lake. I don't know that they reanalyze in the future, but like I said yesterday, this was an STS. We even got the circulation by today which despite the water vapor showing brown (dry air) across the area, we probably picked up another 1/3" of rain. So I guess dry is relative. Winds are out of the South which happens when a circulation is north or NNW of here. Fronts go west and then over toward North. I realize a front is attached in the form of a strong line of showers to our east, but that's evolution of what was here yesterday. Anyway, they can call it whatever they want. Anyone who was in the area yesterday knows what blew through.

[rolltide]

I'm in P-cola too. I just checked the rain gauge and it's showing 4.25 inches and it's pouring down rain. I'd say the wind gusts have been up to 30 - 35 MPH at times today. Very windy right now. It's a drought buster for sure.

[Weatherwatcher98]

Glad you guys got some much needed rain

[lovingseason2013]

Drought? Here? I think that was just a figure of speech. We have no drought going on here. Plenty of rain this year. And 4 inches for here is nothing. Eazy peazy.

[rolltide]

Drought? Here? I think that was just a figure of speech. We have no drought going on here. Plenty of rain this year. And 4 inches for here is nothing. Eazy peazy.

Per the NWS the Pensacola area is in a drought. We've had no rain for a month. Maybe you have a different personal opinion.

[NDG]

It might have had a small hint of a subtropical system Sunday morning before all the convection got decapitated by the strong shear near the low pressure center but yesterday this looked as extra tropical as it can be.

[Steve]

Agreed on extra-tropical yesterday

[LarryWx]

Wow, amazingly, the Sav., GA area (Fort Pulaski near Tybee) just had its highest tide since 1947 (no, that's not a typo) and its 3rd highest tide on record (since 1935)!!! This was produced by a combo of the longlasting 20 knot NE winds produced by the gradient between the slow moving Patricia remnant low (was then 1007 mb over SW MS) and a slow moving 1035 wedging NE US high and quite high astronomical tides. To be honest, I'm kind of stunned that 24 hours of 20-25 knot NE winds were strong and long enough in combo with admittedly astronomically quite high tides (9.2 feet) to produce the 3rd highest tide since 1935. I'm not at all a global warming alarmist but I do have to wonder if higher sea levels from GW are playing a small part in this, too. (I don't know if the slightly higher sea level from that is already taken into account in the 10.43 feet above mean low tide measurement.) As you can see based on the list at the bottom of this post, this 10.43 foot tide has been exceeded since 1935 only by two hurricanes (1947/1940) whose centers passed very closeby!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
950 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2015

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0842 AM COASTAL FLOOD 3 WNW FORT SCREVEN 32.03N 80.90W
10/27/2015 CHATHAM GA TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 10.43 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE FORT PULASKI TIDE GAGE LOCATED NEAR THE SAVANNAH
RIVER ENTRANCE. THIS IS THE THIRD HIGHEST TIDE LEVEL
RECORDED AT THE FORT PULASKI TIDE GAGE SINCE RECORDS
BEGAN IN 1935. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS
ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER GEORGIA COASTS WHEN LEVELS AT
FORT PULASKI REACH 10.0 FT MLLW.

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KCHS/1510271351.nwus52.html
-----------------------------------------------------------------

The entire corridor from the GA coast (including the Golden Isles) up through CHS, SC, had major coastal flooding!

...HISTORIC TIDES ALONG SOUTH COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH
COASTAL GEORGIA...

HERE ARE THE HIGHEST 10 TIDES ON RECORD AT CHARLESTON AND FORT
PULASKI...

FORT PULASKI /RECORDS GO BACK TO 1935/...

1. 10.87 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 15 1947 (hurricane eye passed barely S as it moved westward)
2. 10.47 FT MLLW ON AUGUST 11 1940 (hurricane eye passed barely N as it moved westward)
3. 10.43 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 27 2015 <---- TODAY
4. 10.27 FT MLLW ON DECEMBER 3 1971
5. 10.23 FT MLLW ON FEBRUAR7 7 1993
6. 10.07 FT MLLW ON JUNE 24 2009
7. 9.96 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 17 2001
8. 9.94 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 3 2015
9. 9.89 FT MLLW ON MAY 8 2012
10. 9.88 FT MLLW ON JANUARY 30 2010


CHARLESTON /RECORDS GO BACK TO 1921/...

1. 12.56 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 21 1989 /HURRICANE HUGO/
2. 10.27 FT MLLW ON AUGUST 11 1940
3. 8.84 FT MLLW ON JANUARY 1 1987
4. 8.69 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 27 2015 <---- TODAY
5. 8.67 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 4 1979
5. 8.67 FT MLLW ON MAY 28 1934
6. 8.57 FT MLLW ON NOVEMBER 2 1947
7. 8.29 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 3 2015
8. 8.17 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 15 1947
8. 8.17 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 29 1959
9. 8.10 FT MLLW ON JUNE 23 2009

[Sanibel]

Good example of what dry Texas CONUS air can do when it gets slotted in to a system.


2-3 inches of rain refilled the wetlands that were drying up.