DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:Did you ever email the NHC with your synopsis?...if so what was their response?
Email was sent ... likely won't get a response until tomorrow or the next day ..
The fallacy of calling 94L Ivan ...
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Stormsfury
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SouthernWx
Mike, as far as I'm concerned....94L aka "Ivan jr", is going on my hurricane chart as "TS no-name".
I've analyzed and reviewed data after Ivan made landfall last week...and there's no way in good conscience I can call this developing TS south of New Orleans "Ivan". After landfall near Gulf Shores, Ivan passed inland hundreds of miles...passing over the rugged Appalachians and Great Smoky mountains. Ivan had no semblence of being a tropical cyclone as it passed over southern Virginia and into the Atlantic Ocean...appeared both from satellite imagery and surface obs to be an extra-tropical low pressure area....becoming absorbed by a surface cold front.
For any professional forecaster to look at what transpired with Ivan's remains once inland over Alabama and eastern Tennessee and have the nerve to call this new system in the GOM "Ivan" is an outrage (IMO he/she should have their AMS seal revoked...because if they've studied the science of meteorology, they should know better).
I am a scientist.....a weather and storm research analyst. I deal with raw data and common sense...not fantasy. What spawned this current TD in the Gulf of Mexico may have originated off the North Carolina coast, but that doesn't mean it's the former LLC of Ivan. That LLC was ripped to shreds over the spine of the southern Appalachians. Once destroyed over land, those LLC's don't suddenly appear in an extra-tropical storm moving offshore. To even think so is ridiculous....basic synoptic meteorology tells us IT ISN'T possible (it's just as impossible as a violent tornado at 20° F or a snowstorm at 90° F).
NHC and everyone else can do as they wish...but I'll be damned if I participate in such a farce. TD 14, soon to be T.S. 14 is on my chart as "TS no-name" (or "unnamed" TS)....and unless NHC changes the storm to "Mathew", that's the way it'll remain to my dying day).
I've analyzed and reviewed data after Ivan made landfall last week...and there's no way in good conscience I can call this developing TS south of New Orleans "Ivan". After landfall near Gulf Shores, Ivan passed inland hundreds of miles...passing over the rugged Appalachians and Great Smoky mountains. Ivan had no semblence of being a tropical cyclone as it passed over southern Virginia and into the Atlantic Ocean...appeared both from satellite imagery and surface obs to be an extra-tropical low pressure area....becoming absorbed by a surface cold front.
For any professional forecaster to look at what transpired with Ivan's remains once inland over Alabama and eastern Tennessee and have the nerve to call this new system in the GOM "Ivan" is an outrage (IMO he/she should have their AMS seal revoked...because if they've studied the science of meteorology, they should know better).
I am a scientist.....a weather and storm research analyst. I deal with raw data and common sense...not fantasy. What spawned this current TD in the Gulf of Mexico may have originated off the North Carolina coast, but that doesn't mean it's the former LLC of Ivan. That LLC was ripped to shreds over the spine of the southern Appalachians. Once destroyed over land, those LLC's don't suddenly appear in an extra-tropical storm moving offshore. To even think so is ridiculous....basic synoptic meteorology tells us IT ISN'T possible (it's just as impossible as a violent tornado at 20° F or a snowstorm at 90° F).
NHC and everyone else can do as they wish...but I'll be damned if I participate in such a farce. TD 14, soon to be T.S. 14 is on my chart as "TS no-name" (or "unnamed" TS)....and unless NHC changes the storm to "Mathew", that's the way it'll remain to my dying day).
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