INVEST 93L Comments Thread #2

[gatorcane]

Wouldn't that trough off the SE coast naturally pull 93L more northward rather than WNW or thats for a system that is vertically stacked in which this is still low level.

that ULL east of Florida is being eroded by a ridge that will keep this wave on a westerly course. Also, the easterlies will return to South Florida starting tomorrow in response to this building ridge.

[boca]

The wave does look like it has alittle spin to it.

[TS Zack]

I thought I was young at 17. Jeez, 13........ Thats like still in grade school.

Anyway, 93L doesn't look to great at the moment.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn.jpg

Seems like Invest 93L doesn't give a crap about shear, look how well its holding up.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

Wow look how unpopular this thread because of the new Invest. Any way, it looks like banding features are appearing.

[The Hurricaner]

Wouldn't that trough off the SE coast naturally pull 93L more northward rather than WNW or thats for a system that is vertically stacked in which this is still low level.

that ULL east of Florida is being eroded by a ridge that will keep this wave on a westerly course. Also, the easterlies will return to South Florida starting tomorrow in response to this building ridge.

This will bring SF rain, mark my words.

[cycloneye]

Well invest 93L is history in the NRL site.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[HurricaneHunter914]

Maybe because the shear is so high that chances for this to develop are now zero.

[Opal storm]

Maybe this will make a comeback in a few days.Looks like 94L is the hot topic now.

[Grease Monkey]

Maybe since 93L now has competition, it will try to get it's act together.

[GeneratorPower]

My untrained eye sees a big flare up of convection near this wave. It is still on the TWO for 5:30pm EDT 6/29.

[Opal storm]

TWO for 5:30pm

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

[dixiebreeze]

Well invest 93L is history in the NRL site.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Just noticed that Luis. Wonder if it was inadvertantly removed and will be reinstated.

[gatorcane]

some increased convection this evening, deep reds are showing up on sat pics:

Here is the IR loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[dixiebreeze]

And convection continues to deepen in the east and SE areas of 93:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/avn-l.jpg

[SouthFloridawx]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 300000
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 68W/69W
SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH
A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH... PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS THAT EXTEND FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...ACROSS
THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW
HUNDRED MILES. THESE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO PROHIBIT
ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SAN JUAN DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO
SHOW SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS MOVING ACROSS THESE ISLANDS
UNDER A SE WIND FLOW. BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE IS A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING
AND MUDSLIDES.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Wow I guess this is because of the decreasing shear because this looks even more organized than ever!

[dixiebreeze]

Wow I guess this is because of the decreasing shear because this looks even more organized than ever!

Yes, it does. Doesn't look like it's being greatly inhibited at this point.:

[HurricaneHunter914]

Reminds me of Epsilon.

[SouthFloridawx]

000
FXUS62 KMFL 291750
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
150 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW N OF THE BAHAMAS WILL MOVE NW NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WHILE
WEAKENING ALLOWING FOR UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD BACK IN FROM THE ATL
ACROSS S FLA. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW TROP WAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED
NEAR PUERTO RICO TO MOVE W TOWARDS S FLA INTO THE WEEKEND. AS
THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES COME IN SYNC, S FLA WILL BE UNDER SOME
SUBSIDENCE ON FRI AND THUS ONLY SCATTERED POPS EXPECTED. THEN AS
THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE WAVE MOVE ACROSS S FLA ON SAT, POPS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR THE WEEKEND AND THEN GO BACK TO AOB
CLIMO EARLY NEXT WEEK.